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Don't Blame Bernanke: Here's Who's REALLY To Blame For Surging Food Prices
The Business Insider ^ | 10-11-2010 | Matt Lehrer

Posted on 10/12/2010 8:53:02 AM PDT by blam

Don't Blame Bernanke: Here's Who's REALLY To Blame For Surging Food Prices

Matt Lehrer
Oct. 12, 2010, 11:23 AM

Marshall Auerback claims today that Ben Bernanke and the expectation of more quantitative easing are causing the surge in world food prices.

He's wrong.

His argument centers on the flood of money due to the expectation of QE2 and the “financialisation” of commodities due to the Commodities Futures Modernization Act of 2000. He's correct that the game changed for commodities the minute the legislation passed -- ten years ago. That doesn't explain the surge this year but it does explain the increased volatility of the last decade.

The move up is helped by the expectation of more liquidity but supply and demand are much bigger factors.

Click here for the evidence >

[snip]

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: currency; economy; food; inflation
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1 posted on 10/12/2010 8:53:11 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam

It’s the price of coffee that pissed me off this weekend.


2 posted on 10/12/2010 8:54:46 AM PDT by angcat (YANKEES, YANKEES, YANKEES)
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To: blam

That corn jump is amazing.

So it's because the Chinese are getting wealthier and eating more meat, eh? Oh, boy...PETA is gonna love this!

3 posted on 10/12/2010 8:55:47 AM PDT by Gondring (Paul Revere would have been flamed as a naysayer troll and told to go back to Boston.)
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To: blam
Rampant Inflation In 2011? The Monetary Base Is Exploding, Commodity Prices Are Skyrocketing And The Fed Wants To Print Lots More Money

But what is even more troubling is the dramatic spike in commodity prices that we have seen in 2010.

Wheat futures have surged 63 percent since the month of June. Wheat has recently been selling well above 7 dollars a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade.

But wheat is far from alone. In his recent column entitled "An Inflationary Cocktail In The Making", Richard Benson listed many of the other commodities that have seen extraordinary price increases over the past year....

*Agricultural Raw Materials: 24%

*Industrial Inputs Index: 25%

*Metals Price Index: 26%

*Coffee: 45%

*Barley: 32%

*Oranges: 35%

*Beef: 23%

*Pork: 68%

*Salmon: 30%

*Sugar: 24%

*Wool: 20%

*Cotton: 40%

*Palm Oil: 26%

*Hides: 25%

*Rubber: 62%

*Iron Ore: 103%

Now, as those price increases enter the chain of production do you think that there is any chance that they will not cause inflation?

4 posted on 10/12/2010 8:58:08 AM PDT by blam
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To: angcat

End the Fed and the shenanigans cease almost immediately. Prices would begin to normalize under a truly free market - one that is allowed to move freely without these injections and interventions...

Ever wonder why the Fed claims to be scared of Deflation?


5 posted on 10/12/2010 9:04:28 AM PDT by WAW (Which enumerated power?)
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To: blam
The wheels are coming off now. I posted this on another thread this morning with regard to pensions.

All these headlines are just from TODAY and there are more. And there will be more tomorrow. It is happening NOW!! Most people do not see it. It is going down NOW.

1. US Cities Face Half a Trillion Dollars of Pension Deficits

2. What O'Malley, Ehrlich say about fixing pensions

3. Record retirements stress New Jersey state pension system

4. The First 10 City Pensions That Will Run Out Of Money

5. Municipal Pension Tabs Average $15,000 Per Household

6. Bloomberg Administration Takes on Pensions

7. UK reported to have the biggest pension deficit in Europe

8. Ventura city workers protest calls to pay more for rising retirement costs

9. Pensions may be targeted

10. Ed Miliband warns unions against pension reform strikes

6 posted on 10/12/2010 9:05:00 AM PDT by Pete (29thday.org Exponential problems require exponential solutions)
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To: blam

“Soylent Green is PEOPLE!”


7 posted on 10/12/2010 9:11:25 AM PDT by WayneS (Respect the 2nd Amendment; Repeal the 16th)
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To: Pete

“The End Of Cheap Food”

By John James

04 August,2007
Countercurrents.org

http://www.countercurrents.org/james040807.htm


“Why Rogers, Soros, Faber invest in commodities”
Published on: February 22, 2010 at 09:10

http://www.commodityonline.com/news/Why-Rogers-Soros-Faber-invest-in-commodities-25834-3-1.html


8 posted on 10/12/2010 9:12:18 AM PDT by combat_boots (The Lion of Judah cometh. Hallelujah. Gloria Patri, Filio et Spiritui Sancto.)
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To: blam

Big government, here, there, everywhere, is the cause of our miseries.


9 posted on 10/12/2010 9:18:35 AM PDT by pallis
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To: blam

Add to the list oil prices, which are up about $10 a barrel in the past month, and inflation is definitely going to be a problem. Of course, it’s all Bush’s fault.

FUBO


10 posted on 10/12/2010 9:18:44 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: blam
When the food riots begin... A country boy can survive!

Mike

11 posted on 10/12/2010 9:24:25 AM PDT by MichaelP (Democrats are the party of Special Re-education)
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To: Pete

Informative and very sobering links. Thank you.


12 posted on 10/12/2010 9:28:48 AM PDT by whinecountry (Semper Ubi Sub Ubi)
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To: MichaelP
When the food riots begin... A country boy can survive!

That assumes you can stay in the country to do it. I've had to travel to San Diego to keep my current employment while my family sits at home in Pocatello. There simply aren't decent paying jobs around Pokey in my field. I've had the ability to do my contracts from my home office from 2003 to 2008. All of that work collapsed when Obama took office.

13 posted on 10/12/2010 9:37:31 AM PDT by Myrddin
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To: MichaelP
I'm planning on ripping out a tree this coming weekend, roots and all. That will make way for a 120’x75'’ garden expansion in a bottom area I have that has always been my best pasture. I'll only grow storage crops in it, black eyed peas, potatoes, maybe try some wheat next fall/winter. That is if the gov’t doesn't ban backyard gardening. I also have deer out the wazoo back there.
14 posted on 10/12/2010 9:40:40 AM PDT by east1234 (Cut, Kill, Dig and Drill!)
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To: blam

bump


15 posted on 10/12/2010 9:43:40 AM PDT by gibsosa
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To: angcat

The doubling of the cost of butter over what I paid for it the last time got to me this past weekend.

About everything is going up in price, but some items are leaping upwards in price increases.

Same thing happened during Carter’s term in office.

Remember in November, and take out the trash.


16 posted on 10/12/2010 9:44:08 AM PDT by rockinqsranch (Dems, Libs, Socialists, call 'em what you will, they ALL have fairies livin' in their trees.)
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To: east1234

making me jealous here. I only have a 30 x 50 raised bed garden (i live on a “wetland” and can’t use my backyard per the DEC)


17 posted on 10/12/2010 9:53:38 AM PDT by AbolishCSEU
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To: blam

“He’s correct that the game changed for commodities...”

Stop saying “game change.” That’s enough already.


18 posted on 10/12/2010 9:58:50 AM PDT by Tublecane
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To: blam

I am sure the foreign demand for U.S produced food products is affected by crop failures in foreign countries, but I think the falling value of the dollar has made our domestic food products more competitive.

And the “traders” are also a factor. They realize that the dollar is slipping in value and see physical commodities as a method of holding value. That speculation is driving up the prices, although I do not see the price increases listed in the article on the shelf in the grocery stores yet.

Will it be an inflationary depression or a deflationary depression or one then the other? Speculation can create a false bubble for a while, but eventually they fail.


19 posted on 10/12/2010 10:00:17 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one.)
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To: WAW

“Ever wonder why the Fed claims to be scared of Deflation?”

I don’t wonder. The entire reason for the Fed’s existence (as you can gather from its somewhat more honest original justification) is to inflate currency so that: 1) people will accept the money government prints for itself to buy things, and 2) well-connected business interests don’t go bankrupt.


20 posted on 10/12/2010 10:03:21 AM PDT by Tublecane
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