Posted on 09/07/2010 2:47:49 PM PDT by jern
B.J. Lawson Polling Ahead of Rep. David Price Likely voters choose Lawson over Price 46.5 percent to 46.1 percent
RALEIGH, N.C., September 7, 2010 – William (B.J.) Lawson, MD, Republican challenger to Rep. David Price in North Carolina’s Fourth District, announces a turning point in his campaign as a recent poll shows that 46.5 percent of likely voters would elect him, as opposed to 46.1 percent who would vote to re-elect 22-year incumbent Rep. Price.
“This proves that voters know that Washington insiders aren't serving their best interests, especially not one who votes with Nancy Pelosi more than any other congressman," said Dr. Lawson. “Nearly half of these respondents are Democratic voters, so regardless of political affiliation, Americans know you can't spend yourself out of a recession just like you can't drink yourself sober. Americans know that you need to cut taxes and wasteful government spending, stop the bailouts, and let North Carolina keep more of our money to allow us to create jobs and prosperity in our own communities. Americans are hurting and responsibly tightening their belts and their spending, so it's time for the government to have enough respect for us to do the same.”
This poll was conducted in mid-August by Action Solutions, which carries out its polls via a state-of-the-art automated telephone system using standard statistical methods to select a representative sample of registered voters. Action Solutions polled 1,038 registered likely voters here in the Fourth District – respondents included 45.4 percent Democrat, 28.2 percent Republican, 23.6 percent Unaffiliated and 2.8 percent other/third party – which accurately reflects the expected off-year turnout in the district.
Other data from respondents included: • 95 percent were "very likely” to vote in the November midterm elections • 71 percent believe that Congress is doing a poor job here in the Fourth District • 52 percent do not think government spending helps the economy
These poll results also come on the heels of an influx of endorsements from key conservative congressmen including Virginia Foxx (NC-05), Walter Jones (NC-03) and Tom McClintock (CA-04), as well as former Charlotte Mayor Pat McCrory. Lawson has also been endorsed by key North Carolina state legislators including House Minority Leader Paul "Skip" Stam, Reps. Marilyn Avila and Nelson Dollar, and State Senator Richard Stevens.
A resident of Apex where he lives with his wife and three children, Dr. William (B.J.) Lawson is a Constitutional Conservative running for Congress in North Carolina’s 4th Congressional District. For more information, see the campaign’s Web site, www.lawsonforcongress.com. ###
Can’t stand Price!
Would be amazing if Lawson could beat Price. Actually, Price was beaten for re-election in the 1994 GOP wave, though he got the seat back in 1996. History repeating itself?
HALLELUJAH !!!
My crooked, silver tongued congresscritter.
Will love to see him turned out but Chapel Hill will go for him by a wide margin.
It’s hard to believe he is behind or even close. He’s been untouchable .
Who paid for the poll?
no clue
This one I don’t believe. The GOP will pick up 5 other House seats in NC before they will beat Price. I’m nt saying that the GOP candidate can’t possibly be ahead of Price, just that he couldn’t be ahead of Price while Miller in NC-13 isn’t on anyone’s list of vulnerable incumbents, and that if Price was losing right now then Renee Ellmers would be up by 10% over Ethridge.
“Who paid for the poll?”
Well...that’s good and bad.
It’s good in the sense that internal polls are often more reliable than external polls. On the other hand internal polls are usually kept internal rather than being waved about to the media.
What does look good was this, “52 percent do not think government spending helps the economy”. That number doesn’t seem skewered at all so to me that’s a good indication it’s not a biased or pushed poll.
This is a heavily dim district...and this is encouraging.
NC will be going back to republican all around.
The free laptops for all the college kids to go vote a straight party ticket Obama dem reign will END!
I even saw some college voting sites where only Obama/Biden signs were up such and such feet away from the voting place.
ACORN and move on put jobs in the paper for people to tell people who to vote for and give away prizes.
NC is done being democrat.
Not where I live. Butterfield is untouchable.
your thought process is completely wrong. Elmers has no money and has never ran. Lawson ran last time and has a good network going into this election
There are some stronghold democratic liberal areas of NC of course.
But overall the state is against Obama.
Ellmers is running in a district that gave President Bush 53% in 2000 and 54% in 2004, while Lawson is running in a district that gave President Bush 46% in 2000 and 44% in 2004. As for money, Ellmers had raised $184,000 as of the June 30 reporting deadline and has probably doubled that amount since then (she got a big boost when that video went up on YouTube of Etheridge accosting those college students in the middle of the street); Lawson had raised $152,000 by the June 30 deadline. I seriously doubt that Lawson could be running stronger than Ellmers right now.
I wish Mr. Lawson the best of luck in ridding our nation of David Price, and hope that his internal poll is correct, but I still think that it sounds too good to be true.
Well, sure, it's an internal poll.
But it may be as accurate as the Democrat polls for Shuler and Kissel's districts.
NC-4 is theoretically winnable. A lot of its Democratic strength is dependent on blacks and students.
Price ran even with Obama in 2008. He'd have to lose 15 points on turnout plus a 6 point swing in voter preference. 15 points is tsunami territory, and Lawson would need $ to manage to swing the 6 points to him.
It's unlikely, but unlike some districts, not wholly unwinnable.
AuH20 wrote: “if Price was losing right now then Renee Ellmers would be up by 10% over Ethridge.”
since Etheridge is polling under 40%, I’d say he is done. Incumbents under 50% almost always lose, under 40% done like dinner...
www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nc/north_carolina_2nd_district_ellmers_vs_etheridge-1462.html
AuH20 wrote: “if Price was losing right now then Renee Ellmers would be up by 10% over Ethridge.”
since Etheridge is polling under 40%, I’d say he is done. Incumbents under 50% almost always lose, under 40% done like dinner...
www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/house/nc/north_carolina_2nd_district_ellmers_vs_etheridge-1462.html
lawson will get a higher % than elmers
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