Posted on 11/12/2008 6:31:58 AM PST by reaganaut1
As Richard Nixon wrote, history is written by liberals, but the story of the 2008 campaign is too important to cede to them the analysis of what happened. A close analysis of the returns indicates several key realities:
a) Sarah Palin made a vast difference in McCains favor. Compared to 2004, McCain lost 11 points among white men, according to the Fox News exit poll, but only four points among white women. Obamas underperformance among white women, evident throughout the fall, may be chalked up, in large part, to the influence of Sarah Palin. She provided a rallying point for women who saw their political agenda in terms larger than abortion. She addressed the question of what it is like to be a working mother in todays economy and society and resonated with tens of millions of white women who have not responded to the more traditional, and liberal, advocates for their gender.
b) Turnout did not increase substantially. Despite predictions (by me and others) of a vastly greater voter turnout, it didnt happen. About 127 million people voted in 2008, compared to 122 million in 2004. By contrast, turnout rose by almost 20 million between 2000 and 2004. The emphasis on early voting and the heavy participation in primaries indicated the likelihood of a huge increase in turnout, but, on Election Day, the turnout was modest.
c) The black vote made a huge difference; but young people did not. Obama, as expected, generated a big increase in African-American voter turnout. Fox Newss exit polls estimate that blacks constituted 13 percent of the turnout in 2008, compared with 11 percent in 2004 and 10 percent in 2000. But voters under 30 years of age were still the same 11 percent of the vote that they were in 2004.
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
I’ve been asking some of my liberal friends about that, why Palin got such incredible visceral personal hatred from the left this election. All they do is whine “well, she called us anti-American” and “Barack got insulted too, they called him Hussein!”. Oh really? People all over the blogosphere were calling Sarah Palin a c-—...funny, I never saw Obama referred to with ANY sexual or racist slur, not once. I can’t make them see that Palin caught more sheer hell this campaign than any other candidate I can remember since 1984, and can’t understand how Palin would cause people who otherwise liked McCain to vote against him.
}:-)4
Apparently, it does now. May God help us all.
“Compared to 2004, McCain lost 11 points among white men,”
Remember that when we’re accused of being racist.
How do you come by that one?
McCain was already losing the “woman's vote” by a big margin BEFORE Gov Paling was even nominated.
McCain shot ahead by 4% at RCP after Gov Paalin energized the base with her rousing RNC speech. McCain's speech was a snoozefest.
McCain sank after his notorious vote for that $700 billion bailout vote, and his speech blaming the Republican appointed Chairman of the SEC instead of blaming the Dims and Barney Frank the real culprits). He never recovered. No one can save a guy that is determined to lose like McCain was.
“I just wonder about vote fraud, and by that I dont mean just inflated numbers on the Dem side. I wonder about Republican votes being lost, or otherwise not counted. The intensity of the Republican voters I know was higher than 2004, or even 2000. It doesnt add up, for me at least.”
I think Republican votes were counted. I also believe many Republicans voted third party or none of the above, voted for Obama to teach the RNC a lesson, and many stayed home. Trouble is we all will suffer greatly for those voting decisions which helped Obama win the White House.
“Apparently, it does now”
If it did, Utah and Oklahoma would have voted for Hussein. They didn’t. They voted overwhelmingly for McCain.
Had it not been for Palin on the ticket, McCain would have had a humiliating defeat. He was running behind when he nominated her.
Many, including me, thought he would maverick for Lieberman — and that would have resulted in absolute defeat. But some of his handlers were knowledgeable enough to know that that choice would be certain defeat.
The main problem in having Palin on the ticket was that she turned out to be a bigger draw and more popular than the top of the ticket was That grated on McCain’s ego. She drew tens-of-thousands; he drew a few hundred. Instead of unleashing her, the handlers (by instruction from the top?) kept her from many TV and media interviews.
==
Well, his O-ness has been president-elect for a week and the DOW has dropped again today. So far, it is down about 1,000 points since the election.
DOW 8514 at -174 and fluctuating.
It's right in the article -- the 2008 share of the "women's vote" dropped off 4% from the 2004 share of the "women's vote".
My sample is pretty small, but I noticed a pattern among my female friends: Fat women conservatives voted against Sarah. Perhaps she was just too attractive for them to feel anything but jealousy. Either that or those fat women spent too much time watching MSM TV and believed the anti-Sarah propaganda. Its a shame if that is the case. What can one do about envious women?
Exactly how do you define that?
You might want to read this:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2130715/posts
If Palin is posted about. A picture is required.
I wondered what that was!
So how's that President McCain thing workin' out for us?
Amen
McCain never really found a message.
During the primaries/debates his only message was that he support the surge.
By the general election, Iraq was basically off the table. McCain didn’t have much else to run on.
And the boondoggle bailbout didn’t help. Especially after just weeks before, McCain saying he didn’t know much about economics. And then he helped construct and vote for the $700 Billion plus the additional $150 Billion or so pork.
Afterward, he had the nerve to continue to say that he, as president, would veto any pork bills.
His numbers went down hill after that ‘stunt’ of suspending his campaign and voting for that boondoggle and its pork.
Only in your mind.
I hadn't thought of that before, but it does make sense.
What can one do about envious women?
They are a curse, aren't they? Insecure people in general tend to be bitter and underhanded and are more destructive than constructive.
You are still missing the point.
McCain had a low share of the women's vote in polls BEFORE he nominated Gov Palin.
Gov Plain pushed his overall poll numbers UP above Hussein's, only for McCain ti drive his numbers back down again, with his erractoc performance when the markets crashed.
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