Posted on 10/29/2008 12:16:06 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
If current survey trends continue, Obama will finish with less than 50 percent in the polls. Even discounting the Nader vote (some people never learn), the undecided voters could tip the race either way. How will they break?
Since there is no incumbent, they cannot automatically be assigned to the challenger; and since turnout is likely to be huge, the current undecided voters will probably make their way to the polls and cast their ballots.
But for whom?
At the beginning of this contest, Obama effectively made the case that the election was a referendum on Bush's performance in office. Painting a vote for McCain as a desire for "four more years of the same failed policies," he made the most of Bush's dismal approval rating. Had he been able to keep the focus on Bush, he would likely have inherited most of the undecided vote.
But as Obama surged into a more or less permanent lead in October, animated by the financial crisis, he has assumed many of the characteristics of an incumbent. Every voter asks himself one question before he or she casts a ballot: Do I want to vote for Obama? His uniqueness, charisma, and assertive program have so dominated the dialogue that the election is now a referendum on Obama.
As Obama has oscillated, moving somewhat above or somewhat below 50 percent in all the October polls, his election likely hangs in the balance. If he falls short of 50 percent in these circumstances, a majority of the voters can be said to have rejected him. Likely, a disproportionate number of the undecideds will vote for McCain.
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
Folks are afraid to tell pollsters that they don’t support Obama. In the privacy of the voting booth, they face no harassment or thuggish scrutiny attendant with supporting McCain in public.
Ayers is supposed to be on a tape w/ Obama toasting Former PLO, anti Isreal, Khalidi
Hmm, I suspect there’s more than one reason this video is so sensitive for the Democrats. Personally, I think the Barack Hussein Obama ship is taking on water and the bilge pump is failing miserably, no matter what the pessimists say. Undecideds will go for McCain. And it’s up to us, thats right, YOU AND ME, to help get them to vote that way!
..IIRC historically undecideds move toward the known quantity and away from the unknown in larger numbers...
My guess is that the undecideds are staunch Democrats who don’t like Obama and are considering whether their right hands will fall off if they vote for a Republican.
No question that undecideds will break big for McCain/Palin, probably in the 90 percent range. They need to be informed of all the hidden truths about Obama: that he is not a native born American citizen, as the constitution requires; that he is a Communist, that he is a crypto-Muslim, that he follows Black liberation theology, and that if elected he will destroy America so he can establish an atheistic, Communist, Islamic state on its ruins.
“They need to be informed of all the hidden truths about Obama:”
...that’s what’s happening right now, even though the MSM won’t run ANYTHING negative, the internet is doing it’s job.
“Folks are afraid to tell pollsters that they don’t support Obama. In the privacy of the voting booth, they face no harassment or thuggish scrutiny attendant with supporting McCain in public.”
An off-the-wall thought:
One wonders, if Obama comes to power, how much longer voters will actually enjoy “privacy” in the voting booths?
Would the ‘rats seek to do for voting in general, what they are actively trying to do with employee “organizing” for unions? (i.e, “card check”, where secret-ballot elections to determine whether employees want a union or not, are eschewed in favor of “cards” on which employees check their “preferences” with their full identities known.)
- John
Obama has more to fear from some of the “decideds” than from the undecideds. He may be banking on the votes of quite a few poll respondents who said they would vote for him but might sit it out or even vote against him.
Maybe some the Hillary voters have their own version of Operation Chaos?
I think you are correct. Most of the so called undecided will vote for McCain.
I don't believe in 'Undecideds'. Anyone who is still 'undecided' after all this unprecedented year-long campaign, the ads for or against a candidate every TV & radio break, interviews, rallies, TV specials on entertainment and news programs...would have to have their head way up the whoo-whoo clear up to their what-sis...
They are decided. They're either not telling or they want their face on TV for some fame and recognition.
I would take anything Dick Morris said with a grain of salt. But as for myself, I think that if these people haven’t made up their mind at this late date with all the information that has come out, then I predict that you’ll see the undecideds shift to the couch where they will sit this one out. I think ‘None of the Above’ will be the winner among that group.
Actually history shows the opposite. Studies show that in races between and incumbent and a challenger, undecided votes tended to break overwhelmingly for the challenger, to the tune of over 80%. The question in this race is which candidate represents which? Do voters see McCain as a continuation of Bush, as Obama has painted him? Then he may fill the incumbent position, and undecideds may break for Obama. Or do they see McCain as the maverick outsider, out to shake up Washington? In that case he may be seen as the challenger and could expect to take the lion's share of the undecided. Time will tell.
That’s not such an off-the-wall thought. I wondered if Zero would try to do away with privacy in voting. It would go right along with the Dims whining about paper trails and receipts for voting. I often wondered what good those receipts would do, except to give people a a warm fuzzy feeling about their own votes.
..I guess I didn’t recall correctly...
I am afraid though that if a person is truly undecided about Oprah’s Obama, he is so uninformed as to be fully unreliable.
You may have hit on the only hope we have for Nov. 4, a day which will truly “live in infamy”, to borrow from another popular Democrat.
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