Mason-Dixon/NBC: GA, IA, MO - (Mac leads 46%-45% in MO, 49%-43% in GA and trails 40%-51% in IA)

Pollster.com ^

[No Dems 2004]

Mason-Dixon Polling & Research / NBC News 10/22-23/08; Likely voters, MoE +/- 4% Mode: Live Telephone Interviews (As broadcast on Meet the Press)

Iowa Obama 51, McCain 40

Georgia McCain 49, Obama 43

Missouri McCain 46, Obama 45

[montag813]

11 points down in IA and Mac’s campaigning there? Why?

[biff]

I have known two gals that were from IA and they both said IA is full of the biggest bunch of looney birds ever seen by mankind. They said the folks up there want it all for nothing and expect to government to give it to them.

Both these gals left for Texas as soon as they possibly could and only go back to visit family when they have too.

[Squantos]

IOWA...... I Owe the World an Apology !

Sheeple socialists hopefully get it in the end, painfully !.....:o)

[perfect_rovian_storm]

The same reason Zero has been campaigning there: For whatever reason the polls are missing something.

If Zero had an 11 point lead, both candidates wouldn’t be going there.

[Chet 99]

Good news ping.

History suggests that most of the “undecided” voters in GA and MO will break for McCain.

This is Mason-Dixon, so there’s more reason to trust their numbers.

The bad news is further confirmation that IA should have been written off. McCain skipped the state caucuses and is also in opposition to ethanol subsidies.

[impeachedrapist]

Chet, you’re not smarter than the McCain/Palin campaign, okay? If they’re still campaigning in Iowa, then it’s still serving their purposes. Iowa borders MN, WI, MO and the Omaha area.

[Perdogg]

Isn’t Mason-Dixon a robopoll?

[Chet 99]

I do not believe so.

[Norman Bates]

The McCain List.

Good news overall. McCain edges ahead in Missouri, the Nation's bellweather, and is comfortably ahead in Georgia.

[LS]

No, Chet. Look, if PhiKapMom and I are right---and so far the trend seems to say that we are---what we pick up as trends in the localized internals and (if you will) "gossip" seems to be followed, about a week later in the public polls. So if McCain's internals are telling him it's close in IA, based on what I've seen, I have to believe it's close.

For ex: two weeks ago we heard McCain was down 4 in MO privately; then a week or so, up 4; now, the public polls show him up. Same trend in GA, where we knew this was baloney that Obama was even close. Now, belatedly, the public pollsters are picking it up. Same thing in NC, where McCain is starting to get a lead. Same thing in FL, where he had a lead and we were hearing it was really pretty big.

Now we see that CA early voting of over 100,000 has a net advantage to Dems of . . . 1,000 votes???? And how many Dems voted McCain? In the BLUEST OF BLUE STATES (except MA)?????

I'm sensing there is something in the IA, NH, and PA numbers that look very good.

[Chet 99]

Good points.

[HereInTheHeartland]

“Iowa Obama 51, McCain 40 “

We had 10,000 of us yesterday to see Palin. I don’t believe the numbers. Kerry was way ahead in the polls here in 2004 and Bush won.

[reformedliberal]

I can’t quite understand why the ethanol issue is a make-or-break in IA. I am in Wisconsin, just across the River.

Corn futures are back down under $4 and I hear stories every week about hard times for ethanol, including refineries going bankrupt.Farmers are split, here, on things like CRP/Managed Forest Lands. On one hand, they help pay taxes/reduce taxes, on the other, you have bureaucrats living inside your fence lines, dedicated to finding ways to make you jump through hoops, cutting your payment and demanding you pay them back for various infractions that can be erroneous. Cash payments are taxable. The loan programs are just that: loans that need to be paid back. Yes, I have met a few who brag about making hundreds of thousands on CRP, but, they ae not only braggarts, but usually unpopular, as well. Again: CRP payments are taxable income and come with built-in aggravation.

I remember when Iowan Democrats were backing Jesse Jackson’s nomination. I think it is just a liberal state, for whatever reason. Maybe unionized industry, like packing plants and in the cities? I wonder if there is a difference between Eastern and Western Iowa?

[PhiKapMom]

I back up LS 100% in what he is saying. Internals tend to be a lot more accurate. No Republican campaign is going to campaign in states with zero chance. McCain sees an opening in Iowa and they are taking it IMHO!

The polls have been flawed for sometime and do not take into consideration the PUMA’s and their votes for McCain. They number into the millions now and they are not telling pollsters how they are voting. Why should they when they are not sure the pollster won’t give out their information to the Obama campaign.

PUMA’s said a month to ignore the polls that Obama has people in almost all national polling outfits.

Face it, the drive-bys and most national pollsters have sold out to Obama for whatever reason.

[Clintonfatigued]

Iowa has become the Vermont of the Midwest.

[Clintonfatigued]

ping

[Norman Bates]

Where are our turncoat states? WVa? Is that it?

[Clintonfatigued]

“Where are our turncoat states?”

The McCain/Palin campaign has spent a lot of time in Pennsylvania. There must be something happening there that hasn’t been made public.

[Norman Bates]

I hope so and imagine so. If we bag PA on election night I will be one thrilled dude!

[yazoo]

All these poll numbers prove one thing: We have no idea, based on polling, who is going to win this election. I have a difficult time accepting that most people will vote for Obama. It defies logic.