[LS]

No, Chet. Look, if PhiKapMom and I are right---and so far the trend seems to say that we are---what we pick up as trends in the localized internals and (if you will) "gossip" seems to be followed, about a week later in the public polls. So if McCain's internals are telling him it's close in IA, based on what I've seen, I have to believe it's close.

For ex: two weeks ago we heard McCain was down 4 in MO privately; then a week or so, up 4; now, the public polls show him up. Same trend in GA, where we knew this was baloney that Obama was even close. Now, belatedly, the public pollsters are picking it up. Same thing in NC, where McCain is starting to get a lead. Same thing in FL, where he had a lead and we were hearing it was really pretty big.

Now we see that CA early voting of over 100,000 has a net advantage to Dems of . . . 1,000 votes???? And how many Dems voted McCain? In the BLUEST OF BLUE STATES (except MA)?????

I'm sensing there is something in the IA, NH, and PA numbers that look very good.

[Chet 99]

Good points.

[PhiKapMom]

I back up LS 100% in what he is saying. Internals tend to be a lot more accurate. No Republican campaign is going to campaign in states with zero chance. McCain sees an opening in Iowa and they are taking it IMHO!

The polls have been flawed for sometime and do not take into consideration the PUMA’s and their votes for McCain. They number into the millions now and they are not telling pollsters how they are voting. Why should they when they are not sure the pollster won’t give out their information to the Obama campaign.

PUMA’s said a month to ignore the polls that Obama has people in almost all national polling outfits.

Face it, the drive-bys and most national pollsters have sold out to Obama for whatever reason.