Posted on 10/23/2008 5:56:27 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
A new AP poll showing John McCain down by one point was indeed good news.
A quick read of its likely voter internals provides stunning news:
Obamas base support is not there
Hiding down at the very end of the article was a stunning piece of bad news for Barack Obama: Democrat base support is just eight of 10 and the Republican base support for McCain is 90%. Neither candidate can win with just 80% of his base support. The even split found among Independents clearly adds to Obamas troubles if these numbers hold.
The Joe the Plumber factor
McCain has closed the gap with Joe and Jane the Plumber.
He now trails by just 4 points with likely voters making under $50,000. A month ago was down 26 points.
McCain has surged among rural voters and now has an 18-point advantage, up from 4.
He doubled his advantage among whites who havent finished college and now leads by 20 points.
McCain has gone from plus 10 to plus 20 among Whites who have not finished college. Among White college graduates he is even.
McCain now leads White women by 7 points and White men by 22 points. This is very good for McCain because Obamas White male vote might still be in the upper 30s. Since Al Gore and John Kerry got 36%, it is very unlikely that his support among White males will do anything but fall just as Kerrys did in the last two weeks in 2004.
Improving even on a strength, McCain is now up 24 points with married Whites, and trails by just 8 points among unmarried Whites.
Last months survey gave Obama a 15 point advantage on handling the economy and the financial crisis. That advantage on both fronts is down to 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at Collinsreport.net ...
That analysis tells me that Joe the Plumber has caused EMPLOYEES to realize that making EMPLOYERS (RICH?) the declared enemy of tax policy is not going to be good for EMPLOYEES.
That’s my concern as well.
You poor thing, I hope your dad’s surgery went well.
Heck no. They just much the statement, so why would we doubt them?
Spot on! The Driveby's don't challenge, they correct the Dim candidate if he says something out of sorts. Example: Steffe Stephanopolis correcting Obammy when he mentions his Mooselimb faith. Steffi quickly corrected him saying "you mean your Christian faith..." After wards, Obammy quickly corrects his Freudian slip of the tongue.....
They will come out because of Palin.
Personally, I would have changed it to Faux Newz anyway.
“Hell be on FoxNews in Jan. Guess its time to change my Dish level. Right now I do not get Fox News.”
And what really pi$$es you off is the fact that the same company that owns fox news also owns dish-network!
CNN is free but you have to pay extra for fox...grrrr.
Yeahhhh.....whut up wit’ dat??!!
Plus they have the ‘Bama brainwash channel running 24/7 too.
Ick.
I’d go with Direct, but they are just as bad...and cost more, too.
Watching our budget, dontcha know.
I'm in a rural area. I've seen about 3 dozen McCain/Palin signs, 1 "NOBAMA" sign, and 1 Obama/Biden sign.
Check out the trolly in Ocala, FL:
I still hold to my theory that ‘undecideds’ are this large number of folks who usually vote Dem who just CANNOT stomach Obama, but have not yet digested the fact that they want to vote McCain/ Republican.
It is a sea change that takes a bit of time. I think they are, at this point, NOT for Obama. And I think they will, when the chips are down, vote McCain.
I’ll bet there are! A supplier stopped awhile back and said he wasn’t going to vote at all. After 20 minutes of Hubby telling him things he’d never heard about BO, he’s maaaaad and voting McCain. Hubby’s also had long conversations with two other business owners and swung their votes from Obama to McCain.
We live in a heavily Dem area... not liberals exactly, mostly hard-working manufacturing/factory types and the usual suspects that have sucked the government teat for generations. The working guys are voting McCain (most have never voted a Pub for any office in their lives) and the leeches are voting Obama.
We had to laugh when we drove by the house of the only customer to ever stiff us on a bill and they had an Obama sign in their front yard. lol
Yet in my liberal rag today there is an article on how the networks are scrambling to be able to fill up the time after 7pm (or earlier) on election day since it will be apparent that Obama has won then and people will not even need to watch tv for election results! This is now theater of the absurd.
Take the time to look at the internals of those polls, especially the weighting.
Absolutely.
If you want to be REALLY ENCOURAGED, click on the link and read the entire article.
Masses outnumber “sheeple”.
I’m nervous about cherry-picking which polls we decide to give credence to...somebody is going to have a real hangover Nov. 5th...and the odds are still against it being the Dems.
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