Posted on 10/23/2008 5:56:27 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
A new AP poll showing John McCain down by one point was indeed good news.
A quick read of its likely voter internals provides stunning news:
Obama’s base support is not there
Hiding down at the very end of the article was a stunning piece of bad news for Barack Obama: Democrat base support is just “eight of 10” and the Republican base support for McCain is 90%. Neither candidate can win with just 80% of his base support. The “even split” found among Independents clearly adds to Obama’s troubles if these numbers hold.
The Joe the Plumber factor
McCain has closed the gap with Joe and Jane the Plumber.
He now trails by just 4 points with likely voters making under $50,000. A month ago was down 26 points.
McCain has surged among rural voters and now has an 18-point advantage, up from 4.
He doubled his advantage among whites who haven’t finished college and now leads by 20 points.
McCain has gone from plus 10 to plus 20 among Whites who have not finished college. Among White college graduates he is even.
McCain now leads White women by 7 points and White men by 22 points. This is very good for McCain because Obama’s White male vote might still be in the upper 30’s. Since Al Gore and John Kerry got 36%, it is very unlikely that his support among White males will do anything but fall just as Kerry’s did in the last two weeks in 2004.
Improving even on a strength, McCain is now up 24 points with married Whites, and trails by just 8 points among unmarried Whites.
Last month’s survey gave Obama a 15 point advantage on handling the economy and the financial crisis. That advantage on both fronts is down to 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at Collinsreport.net ...
The “masses” are getting it....finally....
But the sheeple aren't.
If.
I don’t think Obama ever had a real lead. (heavy on REAL)
I heard one person on Fox last night say that one poll (didn’t hear which one) that had O & M neck and neck was composed of 40% evangelical voters and that only 30% of the voters who put Pres. Bush in office had been evangelicals. I wondered how that happened? The pundit also said that O is still in a pretty good position. Very confusing.
ping
Repeat after me:
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
McCain’s the real come back kid.
Excellent! I almost missed that!
ACORN is going to go full-blast these next days. They will not give up.
Classic!!!
And there are so, so many ignorant voters. And so many whose only experience with Jimmy Carter is him building houses.
Has anyone seen anything regarding the number of undecideds at this point? The focus in the media has been on Obama and his “insurmountable” lead but scarcely a word about undecideds. Last I saw the number of people who hadn’t made up their minds was near 20%. Does anyone know what it is now?
Can you translate that? ;)
And that’s a pretty big “if.” I must be in some kind of bizarro FR if people here are hanging their hats on anything coming out of the AP.
Best. Photoshopped. McCain. Pic. To Date!
I love it!!!
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