Posted on 10/23/2008 5:56:27 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
A new AP poll showing John McCain down by one point was indeed good news.
A quick read of its likely voter internals provides stunning news:
Obamas base support is not there
Hiding down at the very end of the article was a stunning piece of bad news for Barack Obama: Democrat base support is just eight of 10 and the Republican base support for McCain is 90%. Neither candidate can win with just 80% of his base support. The even split found among Independents clearly adds to Obamas troubles if these numbers hold.
The Joe the Plumber factor
McCain has closed the gap with Joe and Jane the Plumber.
He now trails by just 4 points with likely voters making under $50,000. A month ago was down 26 points.
McCain has surged among rural voters and now has an 18-point advantage, up from 4.
He doubled his advantage among whites who havent finished college and now leads by 20 points.
McCain has gone from plus 10 to plus 20 among Whites who have not finished college. Among White college graduates he is even.
McCain now leads White women by 7 points and White men by 22 points. This is very good for McCain because Obamas White male vote might still be in the upper 30s. Since Al Gore and John Kerry got 36%, it is very unlikely that his support among White males will do anything but fall just as Kerrys did in the last two weeks in 2004.
Improving even on a strength, McCain is now up 24 points with married Whites, and trails by just 8 points among unmarried Whites.
Last months survey gave Obama a 15 point advantage on handling the economy and the financial crisis. That advantage on both fronts is down to 6 points.
(Excerpt) Read more at Collinsreport.net ...
Part of this is that those disappointed Republicans who could not pull the lever for McCain are realizing what will happen if they do not.
I will not be a POLLer Bear!
I will not be a POLLer Bear!
I will not be a POLLer Bear!
I will not be a POLLer Bear!
I will not be a POLLer Bear!
...
The left has purposely destroyed the school system, removed all sense of right and wrong,
specifically so that they can attain power through the ignorance of the voter.
What’s up with the supposed FBI investigations of ACORN? The Friends had a story today about PMSNBC teaming up with ACORN on election night—they called the segment “Mixed Nuts!”
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will ignore the polls and vote no matter what.
I will.
I will.
I will
I will!!!!!!!!!
zogby
rassmussen
quinnepiac
gallup
any tv station
any newspaper including ap and upi
any pollster that uses the phone, the internet or paper ballots for their polls
any other pollster that I may have missed
Obama has been campaigning for this office for 2 years and we still don’t know anything about him. Brine Willyums is a moron by the way
I must agree. Talk about irrational exuberance!
:-)
According to CNN the undecideds are going to 0bama. Take that for what it’s worth.
I had to watch CNN for 5 hours yesterday while my dad was in the hospital for surgery. It gave me a headache. Sign posted by the TV “Do not change this channel”. 90% Obama and 10% McCain. Seriously.
The outcome of this election will be TURNOUT. Republicans need a record turnout in order to win and, also, to overcome all the voter fraud. 70% isn’t going to do it...
Did CNN even attempt to back that up with any numbers, cooked or no?
I mean she beat him in the popular vote.
Not to be a cynic or a pain, but it seems folks are cherry-picking the closest polls and looking for indicators that favor McCain. The problem is, with so many many polls out there, the great majority of those polls show McCain behind.
True but if they listen to the poll numbers excitedly recited on MSNBC moments ago that Obama leads by almost double digits everywhere, they may ease up. Guy from Politico said polls in Florida, Colorado and Pa must be making McCain/Palin very worried this morning as the uphill climb just got steeper.
It's probably around 10% right now. Which is higher then 04’ by a few points. I think some of 0’s support his soft too. I think we're within a couple of points, after the BS is shoveled away. We're behind...but in the game.
Fox News;; We won’t report. and you can go to hell.
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