Works for me.
..I’m guessing 299 plus or minus 10—assuming McCain changes his tactics on addressing economic matters...
IA and NM should be white with light blue lines (like MI). If PA is considered a true toss-up, then I’d throw WI in that same category. IMHO.
PA should still be blue.
Polls don’t count the dead.
I hope it holds, but wait a few days for the Obama manufactured rebound to hit the state polls.
i don’t care how we get to the number — i’d even give Obama-bin-Biden the leftover 4 electoral votes as a consolation prize.
It looks like this projection has McCain getting most of the swing states of Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Florida, Michigan, Ohio, Virginia, with Pennsylvania too close to call. But even without Penn. he’s still in front.
The debates could be key. There’s still a lot of undecided voters, percentage-wise.
I’m looking forward to the VP debate more than VP debates in prior elections. I have a feeling that Sarah will shine and that Joe Biden’s conversation style will hurt him.
im calling a 274 264 victory Mccain
its fairly easy to do...just hold all states bush won in 2004 but lose new mexico and iowa. still we must fight hard to swipe either penn or mich or wisc from him just for safety.
obama is in a MUCH worse position.
I had an email exchange with the site creator who swore up and down Palin was a mistake...
The polls are still moving. This can change anyday with just a few point turn around in a few key states. McCain is in better shape, but Obama is in full attack mode.
The key here is CO as everyone knows. VA is quietly coming into our column.
Florida is red. McCain is up a quite a bit there.
I’m telling you folks the battleground is PA, MI and WI, and perhaps it it holds tight MN.. I want to see a few more polls out of there before I believe that one is truly up for grabs.
Its also interesting to note that OR is now moved from solid to leaner.
Basically if these states hold as is, and nothing flips, McCain Wins. I think he’s going to pick up a few more states even if the race stays tight. PA will not go Fauxbama... MI and WI also I do not believe Fauxbama will win both those states.
Washington as well to me I think is going to go R, that stolen governorship is going to come home to roost for the libs there, and that one will carry up and down the ticket.
CO and NV are returning to R, and likely will continue to stay there. Basically it looks like if everything stays the way it is on this map the Dems gain 12 EC votes, from 04, and still lose the election. However, I don’t think that’s going to happen, PA, MI,WI will not all go for Fauxbama, and I believe WA is definately a possible sleeper suprise.
Now of course if McCain doesn’t get on the ecnomy he could have issues and the map could change, but I don’t think that will happen. Next week Tues/Weds we’ll have an idea of where the Wall Street Meltdown has put the race.
Map shows seems to show fairly likely outcome....
Couple notes...
1) McCain has been very popular in NH (4) for a long time, I don’t think NH is that blue this go around.
2) MN (10), WI (10), MI (17) There are lots of people in this part of the country who are hockey moms, pro-life, and hard working in this part of the country. I don’t see all of those light blue with the outstanding Sarah Palin pick. The McCain/Palin can pick off at least one of those.
3) PA Pennsylvania elections are a contest of counting dead people and pets registered to vote in Philadelphia vs the rest of the state. If voter fraud is held to a minimum in Philly, then McCain/Palin wins Pennsylvania.
DON’T FORGET THIS:
FROM 2004:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266241/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266123/posts
XXXXX DRUDGE REPORT XXXXX TUE NOV 02, 2004 09:06:35 ET XXXXX
UPDATE: VOTES ‘FOUND ON MACHINES’ IN PHILLY BEFORE POLLS OPEN
Before voting even began in Philadelphia — Republican poll watchers believed they found nearly 2000 votes already planted on machines scattered in heavy-minority locations throughout the city.
Republican poll watchers claim:
One incident occurred at the SALVATION ARMY, 2601 N. 11th St., Philadelphia, Pa: Ward 37, division 8.
Pollwatchers uncovered 4 machines with planted votes; one with over 200 and one with nearly 500...
A second location, 1901 W. Girard Ave., Berean Institute, Philadelphia, Pa, had 300+ votes already on 2 machines at start of day.
ANOTHER INCIDENT: 292 votes on machine at start of day; WARD/DIVISION: 7/7: ADDRESS: 122 W. Erie Ave., Roberto Clemente School, Philadelphia, Pa..
ANOTHER: 456 votes on machine at start of day; WARD/DIVISION: 12/3; ADDRESS: 5657 Chew Ave., storefront, Philadelphia, Pa...
PA is a toss up.. interesting...
too close for comfort. Lawyers are lined up in those undecided states ready to drag this thing on for months. I see the legal writting on the wall.
The wild eyed left wants to win at all costs, they will cheat, steal, and lie to get Obama into the White House.
If Bush is hated so bad, the war was so wrong, the economy is so tanked... why isn’t Obama running away with this race??
Oh I know the answer to that.. us racist white trash middle americans!
Are we assuming that all of Nebraska’s and Maine’s EC Vote will go to a single candidate?
IL should be dark blue — whoever thinks the Dim political machine in Cook County is going to let a Repub take their electoral votes, does not know history there.
I know a guy who grew up there and lived in Cook County for many years, he is a Republican, and he said that many Pubs didn’t even bother to vote, because they knew it didn’t do any good because it is rigged there.
I think Palin will get McCain over the 300 hump.