[housedeep]

im calling a 274 264 victory Mccain
its fairly easy to do...just hold all states bush won in 2004 but lose new mexico and iowa. still we must fight hard to swipe either penn or mich or wisc from him just for safety.

obama is in a MUCH worse position.

[gathersnomoss]

Obama should not be this close.

[No Me Too McCain]

CNN estimates that if the presidential election were held today, Obama would win 233 electoral votes and John McCain 189. There are 116 electoral votes up for grabs; 270 electoral votes are needed to win the White House.
Five battleground states have Obama and McCain tied.
Florida, Ohio, North Carolin, Indiana, and Wisconsin. In the 2004 election, Kerry carried only Wisconsin among these five.
Bush had 286 electoral votes in 2004. Should McCain loose just Ohio (21) and Obama retain all of the electoral votes that Kerry won in 2004 he would have 272.
Additionally, we could include Nevada, Colorado, and New Mexico in the Obama column, which would give him 269. That would result in a tie.
This is getting more exciting by the day.