Posted on 09/18/2008 7:14:55 AM PDT by drzz
McCain/Palin 274 Obama/Biden 243
He wouldn't if the media were not pro-marxists.
Works for me.
That is mighty close. Let’s hope that this week does not change the electoral to Democrats. Not a very good week for Republicans AT ALL!!!!!
Some of those states like Wisconson that are white with a blue line means they think they can steal it.
The key here is CO as everyone knows. VA is quietly coming into our column.
Florida is red. McCain is up a quite a bit there.
I’m telling you folks the battleground is PA, MI and WI, and perhaps it it holds tight MN.. I want to see a few more polls out of there before I believe that one is truly up for grabs.
Its also interesting to note that OR is now moved from solid to leaner.
Basically if these states hold as is, and nothing flips, McCain Wins. I think he’s going to pick up a few more states even if the race stays tight. PA will not go Fauxbama... MI and WI also I do not believe Fauxbama will win both those states.
Washington as well to me I think is going to go R, that stolen governorship is going to come home to roost for the libs there, and that one will carry up and down the ticket.
CO and NV are returning to R, and likely will continue to stay there. Basically it looks like if everything stays the way it is on this map the Dems gain 12 EC votes, from 04, and still lose the election. However, I don’t think that’s going to happen, PA, MI,WI will not all go for Fauxbama, and I believe WA is definately a possible sleeper suprise.
Now of course if McCain doesn’t get on the ecnomy he could have issues and the map could change, but I don’t think that will happen. Next week Tues/Weds we’ll have an idea of where the Wall Street Meltdown has put the race.
Map shows seems to show fairly likely outcome....
Couple notes...
1) McCain has been very popular in NH (4) for a long time, I don’t think NH is that blue this go around.
2) MN (10), WI (10), MI (17) There are lots of people in this part of the country who are hockey moms, pro-life, and hard working in this part of the country. I don’t see all of those light blue with the outstanding Sarah Palin pick. The McCain/Palin can pick off at least one of those.
3) PA Pennsylvania elections are a contest of counting dead people and pets registered to vote in Philadelphia vs the rest of the state. If voter fraud is held to a minimum in Philly, then McCain/Palin wins Pennsylvania.
DON’T FORGET THIS:
FROM 2004:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266241/posts
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1266123/posts
XXXXX DRUDGE REPORT XXXXX TUE NOV 02, 2004 09:06:35 ET XXXXX
UPDATE: VOTES ‘FOUND ON MACHINES’ IN PHILLY BEFORE POLLS OPEN
Before voting even began in Philadelphia — Republican poll watchers believed they found nearly 2000 votes already planted on machines scattered in heavy-minority locations throughout the city.
Republican poll watchers claim:
One incident occurred at the SALVATION ARMY, 2601 N. 11th St., Philadelphia, Pa: Ward 37, division 8.
Pollwatchers uncovered 4 machines with planted votes; one with over 200 and one with nearly 500...
A second location, 1901 W. Girard Ave., Berean Institute, Philadelphia, Pa, had 300+ votes already on 2 machines at start of day.
ANOTHER INCIDENT: 292 votes on machine at start of day; WARD/DIVISION: 7/7: ADDRESS: 122 W. Erie Ave., Roberto Clemente School, Philadelphia, Pa..
ANOTHER: 456 votes on machine at start of day; WARD/DIVISION: 12/3; ADDRESS: 5657 Chew Ave., storefront, Philadelphia, Pa...
PA is a toss up.. interesting...
It means it's leaning Dem. And all white means it's a toss-up.
Believe it, with or without public polling, MN is in play. McCain/Palin’s advertising there and visiting there.
too close for comfort. Lawyers are lined up in those undecided states ready to drag this thing on for months. I see the legal writting on the wall.
The wild eyed left wants to win at all costs, they will cheat, steal, and lie to get Obama into the White House.
If Bush is hated so bad, the war was so wrong, the economy is so tanked... why isn’t Obama running away with this race??
Oh I know the answer to that.. us racist white trash middle americans!
Are we assuming that all of Nebraska’s and Maine’s EC Vote will go to a single candidate?
I know. I was being sarcastic. On election night Wisconson will be one of those states that has McCain winning by a few percent with 98% of the precincts in and suddenly developes problems with the counting and has to stop counting till the next morning. Then the next morning it will have went to Obama. They will spend the night manufacturing votes for Obama.
Your analysis is correct. A national poll showing erosion in nationwide support does not necessarily result in a corresponding erosion in support in the swing states.
You could also be seeing national advertising (maybe during the Olympics) in CA, as opposed to ads targeted for your state. I'm just guessing here. I have no first-hand knowledge of how the ads are implemented. And there may not even be any true national advertising buys.
IL should be dark blue — whoever thinks the Dim political machine in Cook County is going to let a Repub take their electoral votes, does not know history there.
I know a guy who grew up there and lived in Cook County for many years, he is a Republican, and he said that many Pubs didn’t even bother to vote, because they knew it didn’t do any good because it is rigged there.
I hope Minnesota goes red this time. My family all lives there. They are usually democrats but they don’t like Obama. However Minnesotans are in a snit about Pawlenty being passed over for VP. They may retaliate against McCain.
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