OBAMA CAN'T WIN IN NOVEMBER

boblonsberry.com ^ | 05/13/08 | Bob Lonsberry

[shortstop]

Obama can't win.

It's not that complex, really. He just can't win.

A candidate who can't win over his own party certainly can't win over the country.

The traits and flaws which make him an unacceptable candidate to roughly a third of Democrats will make him an unacceptable candidate to a majority of Americans.

And that's how you lose elections.

This isn't meant to bash him, it's just meant to be honest and lay the cards on the table. The nagging question from the Clinton camp -- Why can't he close the deal? -- is legitimate and haunting, and it gets to the point. Barack Obama has fared poorly in big, electorally rich states in his quest for the Democratic nomination. The reasons for that are only going to be exacerbated when he faces independents and Republicans.

And here are those reasons.

Barack Obama is a black nationalist with a condescending attitude toward people who are different from him and, just for good measure, he has the most liberal voting record in the United States Senate. His viewpoints on taxation are confiscatory, his attitudes toward entitlement are socialist, his thoughts on the war are defeatist.

And he doesn't seem to like white people who live in small towns, own guns or go to church.

And those attitudes don't win many friends across the electorate. And before you denounce that perspective as racist or reactionary or unfair, please note that it is an assessment which has been made by hundreds of thousands of Democrat primary voters.

And if the white Democrats don't think they can trust you, you don't have a chance with the white Republicans. If Democrats think you're too liberal, you're not going to win over very many independents or conservatives.

Though I am a Republican, and am going to vote for John McCain, the Hillary Clinton campaign has a very valid point when it raises the issue of Barack Obama's electability. They are right to point out that he doesn't have any. The darling of the news media and the favorite most liberal Democrats is not a good match for the country as a whole.

Barack Obama has been a fulltime candidate for a year, and today West Virginia Democrats are going to hand him his lunch. Barack Obama has been a fulltime candidate for a year, and he couldn't win California, New York, Texas, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan or Florida. That's a murderer's row of electoral-vote states and Obama whiffed in each one of them.

Granted, he came close in some, and two of them the Democrats aren't going to count, but in the states where you need to win a majority of voters to become president, he hasn't even gotten a majority of Democrats.

And he's running against a liberal Republican who appeals to independents and disaffected Democrats.

Against a conservative, maybe people would rally to Obama as an alternative, but against a Republican who's not very Republican, he's more frightening to the center than is his opponent.

So the math on Barack Obama becoming president is sketchy at best. His only hope is that Democrats rally to him with complete enthusiasm, that bygones are truly bygones, and that somehow John McCain has a meltdown that completely alienates everyone but diehard Republicans. Barack Obama's best hope is that Democrat hatred for George W. Bush can be transplanted -- without a good reason -- to John McCain. That's why Obama says McCain is running for Bush's third term, because he knows he can't beat McCain, but he can beat Bush.

The last successful Democratic presidential candidate who campaigned as a liberal was Franklin Delano Roosevelt. Harry Truman, John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton all campaigned and were seen by the voters as moderates. Some of them didn't turn out to be, but they kept that little fact hidden until after the election. There is a reason they did it that way -- America isn't really comfortable with liberals, not in a majority way.

That's why candidates like Hubert Humphrey, Eugene McCarthy, Michael Dukakis and John Kerry have done so poorly. They each were clearly identified as liberals -- in fairly liberal eras -- and they all lost.

Though he has since taken a hard-left turn, Al Gore campaigned as a moderate -- and scored a virtual tie for the presidency.

America doesn't like liberals in the White House. That's why there have been so few of them there. Just Wilson, Roosevelt, Carter and Clinton in a century.

Obama's liberalism goes against the electoral experience of the Democratic Party and against the electoral tastes of the American people.

His arrogance and elitism, and his 20 years of listening to the Rev. Jeremiah Wright, are just icing on the cake.

If a man can't even win his own party, it's not likely he can win the country.

Barack Obama has faced the Democratic primary voters and he couldn't win their nomination. He couldn't quite get it over the top.

And that's just how he will do in November.

[lionheart 247365]

I think I’ll do a Richard Pryor from the movie Brewsters Millions and vote for “NONE OF THE ABOVE”. Can we start all over again and this time from the top of the barrel . I predict one of the lowest turnouts in election history this time around .

[devere]

McCain also can’t win over his own party.

I guess we’ll have to keep W for another 4 years ... no wait, that’s not how it works.

[HappyinAZ]

Most Conservatives will be mature adults that will vote for the best guy available...the one who opposes abortion, hates pork-barrel spending and will appoint conservative Supreme Court judges. Conservative are too responsible to stay home. McCain will win by a landslide...America is not ready for a light-weight black socialist President with a crazy bitter wife.

[engrpat]

Obama sure can win and in a big way. McCain has told his base where to go and it isn't to vote for him. In the debates Obama will make McCain look like a doddering old fool and not playing with a full deck. McCain will not top smooth and glib. McCain is toast, the only question is how bad will he hurt the down ticket races and to the party.

[The_Republican]

Losers always talk about “IFs”. That’s Hillary’s destiny as well.

[RinaseaofDs]

I’m, in general, an optimist. Here’s what I’d like to think: As long as McCain keeps pissing off Conservatives, then he’ll lock up both the White Male vote and the White Female vote among moderates and the right.

In the general, the issue is going to come up that Obama is an angry black man, and that he’s come for payback. The unions may work during the day to get the word out on Obama, but many of them at night will vote McCain.

I’d also like to think that he may drift right once elected, but there is absolutely ZERO evidence to support that wish in his actions, statements, or voting record.

Conservatism, as it was designed by Gingrich in 1992 for the 1994 election, is dead. We officially don’t matter in this election, except as ‘plantation voters’ on the right (where else are we going to go?).

I think Limbaugh has been brilliant in extending Clinton to this point, and she doesn’t have a prayer of being the nominee. She is going to ensure there is zero time to unite the party, guarantee that the donors are tapped out, and ensure that the coalition is permanently fractured on the left.

As for the right, well, who knows. McCain, or his handlers, have calculated that we love the country to much to hand it to an Islamist/Black Values type. He’s right about that. Crazy is likely better than evil in this case.

What a choice.

[dandiegirl]

I have emailed McCain several times telling him that I just can’t support him. Maybe alot more people need to do this and maybe the liberal republican will get the message. That’s a BIG maybe.

[Grampa Dave]

Excellent summary of why the Elite/Racist Chrislim will not win in November:

"To win in November, a Democratic presidential candidate has to carry most of the industrial heartland states that stretch from Pennsylvania to Missouri. That becomes even more imperative if a Democrat can't carry Florida -- and because of his relative weakness in South Florida, Obama is unlikely to do so against McCain. Ruy Teixeira and I have calculated that in the heartland states, a Democratic presidential candidate has to win 45 to 48 percent of the white working-class vote. In some states, like West Virginia and Kentucky, the percentage is well over a majority."

You can't win a general election with a coalition of America hating Bitter African- Americans and America hating Bitter white liberal elitist billionaires/millionaires, who buy brie, Chardonnay, and expensive rat politicians like the elitist Hussein Obama/Samma.

"Bitter Gate: the gift that keeps on giving!!!

" Crackerquiddick ~ Bitter Gate " and “Wright is wrong Gate” are huge problems for the elitist would be Sneerer in Chief, Hussein Obamasnob!!

For an inside look at the real Hussein Obama and his elite hate America backers at San Francisco where Hussein Obama made his elitist remarks,

Go here to see the thread with all The Pictures posted and Here to see another thread about this meeting of elite left wing America haters.

There are some very interesting pictures and comments re the actual meeting on those threads.

"Hussein Obama’s big mouth, small brain, condescending, America-hating, grandkid-baby-terminating, born-alive-infant-abandoning, America-hating-wife, kooky-moonbat-America-hating-pastor, racially-divisive, race-baiting, crotch-saluting, America-flag-disrespecting ... chickens ... coming home to roost ...!"

Hear Wright GD America!

Behold the would be Sneerer in Chief!

Hillary Wins Pennsylvania

Jackie and Dunlap have some advice for the Democrats.

Click the pic to watch the video!

"So now all you Democrats out there, you need to gather up all the homosexuals, and your atheists and your elitists and your baby-killers and your tree-huggers and your flag-burners and your socialists and your communists and your undercover Islamofacists and the Screen Actors Guild and the last living members of the Weather Underground, throw up a bunch of pictures of Obama and Hillary, grab one and go with it!"

---

[Mrs.Z]

Both parties are run by globalists.

Globalists need the “carbon credits” (or some other bogus tax) so they can confiscate $$$ over national lines.

[LTCJ]

OBAMA AMERICA CAN'T WIN IN NOVEMBER

Whatever happened to spell-check?

[Rick.Donaldson]

Hope you’re right :)

(no pun intended! haha)

[Luke21]

So why would a good “Republican” like this care a hoot if the Dems want to walk off a cliff with Obama. If the guy isn't electable, he should rejoice. He just wants Hillary, like so many on the “right” do these days. It's a genuine death wish some people have.

[LadyNavyVet]

“If a man can’t even win his own party, it’s not likely he can win the country.”

Somebody needs to tell McCain about this.

[astounded]

...”Most Conservatives will be mature adults that will vote for the best guy available”...

This says it all - conservatives, and most GOP voters, are actual, realized adults, unlike most developmentally arrested, immature voters who support Obama. In this election cycle, I have finally reached the point as the result of reading and hearing about the abusive disrespectful atitude of Obama supporters toward anyone who disagrees with them about their Messiah, that college students should not be allowed to vote. Further, I believe that individuals who do not file an IRS tax return showing earned, taxable income, should be allowed to vote.

Let’s put America’s future in the hands of those who have worked to build and support her - not idiotic college students who vote based on emotions and political correctness, welfare recipients, or anyone else who is a drag on the economy.

[Beatthedrum]

That’s the idea moron, and why we want this pretender to wrap up the nomination and send the bitch and her corrupt machine packing...

He won’t pick her as V.P. and she will do everything she can to make sure he loses.

[Antoninus]

Is it coincidence that you two Obama lovers signed up for FR on the same day?

Lot of deep cover trolls coming out of the woodwork, in my opinion.

[Gatún(CraigIsaMangoTreeLawyer)]

Not so fast, Bob Lonsberry. I wish it were true...maybe. (I’ve reached the point where I really don’t care anymore. It is all such a disaster.)

We now have Barr as a third party candidate, which will split the McNut votes.

(For the record, I loathe McNut, Osama, and the witch. I don’t want any of these three dangerous nuts to become president. Barr is no salvation to the problem contrary to an uninformed statement I made yesterday. After that, I read Michelle Malkin’s article “The Bob Barr Candidacy” which set me straight.)

[Owen]

The most important issue facing the US for the next 40 years is having an adequate supply of oil.

Only McCain has the right position on Iraq and what that inevitably means to a future oil supply that enables GNP growth.

There simply are no other issues that rise to this level of importance and McCain’s victory perspective vs Obama’s cut and run perspective is overwhelming. Everything else, and that means EVERYTHING ELSE, is secondary. Without that permanent presence in the Middle East, the US can’t maintain prominence, regardless of all other issue positions.

Obama must not win, and FR has to take what steps are necessary and most probable as the methodology required to deny Obama the presidency.

[Beatthedrum]

Shortstop, to be clear, not calling you the moron, but this Lonsberry guy... How stupid are these right-wingers who want that bitch to run ???

[phillyfanatic]

Hopefully the NuttyBarr will not lose the election for ole John. John is a dolt on global warming but in that same speech , wants nuclear energy: he is actually right there. Now if he only would drill for oil, he might win 35 states.