Posted on 01/17/2008 11:57:42 AM PST by pissant
ARG GOP South Carolina Primary
* John McCain 33%
* Mike Huckabee 23%
* Mitt Romney 20%
* Fred Thompson 13%
* Rudy Giuliani 4%
* Alan Keyes 2%
* Duncan Hunter 1%
* Ron Paul 1%
* Undecided 3%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (468 Republicans and 132 independent voters) was conducted January 15-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at race42008.com ...
Assuming the extremely unlikely event that Duncan Hunter does not get the Rep. nomination; you are a default-McCain man, arent you? You seem to delight in his presumed successes, IMO.
I would not vote for McCain if he was the last man on earth
Ah — makes sense. I’ve heard the saying, I’ve heard it connected to football — never connected it to Meredith, though.
H
HHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHAHAAHAHAHA! Funniest thing I’ve read all day.
It might be funny, but it is true.
He has stated multiple times he is in for the long haul.
He is the most conservative man running, and the ONLY Reaganite.
You can choose to support a Baker protege, a ‘maverick’, a baptist preacher, a flip flopping phenom, or a bald liberal mayor.
I’ll go with the Reaganite.
When Fred was in my town, the hall I was in (Florida) seated 600 and it was packed to the rafters....and yet the whirlwind stop had been barely advertised if at all.
Believe it or not, this event I attended was months ago at the very beginning of his bus tours to all the various states....and I observed closely a crowd that was totally absorbed and become more galvanized with every word even at that early date.
Of course, you won't see these SC crowds on TV......... nor will the name that dares not be spoken be spoken, either.
Leni
Are you a Fuel fan? Your frname..
I can see some candidates sticking in for a while longer such as the perpetual Keyes, Paul, Hunter but I don’t see Thompson sticking around if he really doesn’t finish in the top two positions and 2nd has to be close. JMO.
Excerpt:
Current market data suggests that the Arizona Senator has a 39.2% chance of winning the nomination. Giuliani has a 19.9% chance, Mike Huckabee 13.2%, Mitt Romney 20.6%, and Fred Thompson 3.1%. Numbers in this paragraph reflect results from a prediction market, not a poll.
They have a poll as well, to the best of my knowledge. But intrade looks even worse for Fred.
Your supposition is wrong. The list I have is registered Republican voters.
How is that a tainted list?
By the way, who are you supporting? Let me guess, not Fred?
If Thompson gets 4th, he may drop out strictly on the “embarrassment” factor...he’s a good man and I hate to see him getting whooped on friendly turf....
| South Carolina | ||||||||||
| Likely Republican Primary Voters | Dec 06 | Feb 07 | Apr 07 | May 07 | Jun 07 | Jul 07 | Aug 07 | Sep 07 | Oct 07 | Nov 07 |
| Brownback | - | - | 1% | 1% | 1% | - | 2% | 1% | ni | ni |
| Gilmore | - | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Gingrich | 15% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ni | ni |
| Giuliani | 28% | 29% | 23% | 23% | 22% | 28% | 26% | 23% | 23% | 23% |
| Hagel | - | - | 1% | - | - | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Huckabee | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 18% |
| Hunter | - | 1% | - | 1% | 2% | 1% | - | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Keyes | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni | - | 1% | - |
| McCain | 35% | 35% | 36% | 32% | 23% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 13% | 10% |
| Pataki | - | - | - | - | - | ni | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Paul | ni | - | - | - | - | 3% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 3% |
| Romney | 5% | 5% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 9% | 26% | 29% | 21% |
| Tancredo | ni | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | - |
| F Thompson | ni | ni | 10% | 13% | 19% | 27% | 21% | 10% | 10% | 13% |
| T Thompson | - | - | 1% | 1% | - | - | ni | ni | ni | ni |
| Undecided | 16% | 18% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% |
Some have said that Romney should be putting more of an effort in to SC than Nevada since it is a better predictor of how a candidate is likely to fare in the all important south. However, if Thompson drops out without having to go negative on Thompson, Romney may pick up the majority of Thompson backers.
Oh, that Duncan Hunter. Didn’t he run for President a while back?
No, it was a poll. This is why you have to go and check on the source for the real information. They said that today’s numbers didn’t come from a poll. It came from their prediction market.
THIS is what everyone is quoting as a poll:
Correction, should read:
Some have said that Romney should be putting more of an effort in to SC than Nevada since it is a better predictor of how a candidate is likely to fare in the all important south. However, if Thompson drops out without Romney having to go negative on Thompson, Romney may pick up the majority of Thompson backers.
No, it was a poll. = No, it wasn’t a poll.
/typo
Yeah - kind of. That song is where I got the idea for the handle ... though the first time I heard it was Chris Daughtry’s cover on American Idol (don’t ask ... my wife watches it, so it was on the big TV).
I like some of their stuff quite a bit — Hemorrhage, Won’t Back Down and Wasted Time mostly. I’m a hard rock/metal guy — Nickelback, Seether, Fuel, Finger Eleven, Breaking Benjamin, Daughtry, Godsmack, Buckcherry, Drowning Pool, Shinedown, Slipknot, some Manson, etc.
Just thought it’d make a good handle.
H
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