Posted on 01/17/2008 11:57:42 AM PST by pissant
ARG GOP South Carolina Primary
* John McCain 33%
* Mike Huckabee 23%
* Mitt Romney 20%
* Fred Thompson 13%
* Rudy Giuliani 4%
* Alan Keyes 2%
* Duncan Hunter 1%
* Ron Paul 1%
* Undecided 3%
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (468 Republicans and 132 independent voters) was conducted January 15-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at race42008.com ...
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Now, it is mostly proportional to the vote. So if Fred hangs in there with the vote totally split up in the remaining primaries, he could be walking into a brokered convention with a pile of delegates to play with.
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What exactly does that mean? He has 200 walking in and Romney has 1000 walking in. Are you creating a fantasy of it being easier to find the 900 delegates needed to move to Fred than it is for Romney to find the 100 he would need to win? What sense can that make?
What deal do you think he makes with 200 delegates? He doesn’t want to be VP, he claims. So then what does he want, and why would you think the delegates are obligated to do what he tells them?
The “brokered convention” nirvana of the unfunded candidate not winning primaries is a fantasy that in real life does not put them on the podium giving acceptance speeches.
Nad the worst campaigner of the entire field time infinity. At this point I wonder if he is just collecting a check.
O.K. I feel the need to add my two cents.
I’ve been Phoneing Fror Fred to S.C. and unless everyone is lying to me, or I’m calling a Fred hotspot, NO ONE has told me they are voting for McCrazy and only ONE person said they were voting for ther Huckster.
Everyone else said they (and everyone they know) are voting for Fred, or leaning that way!
Romney is positioned very well because of his national campaign strategy...he realizes that the primary system is more like Nascar than football playoffs...magritte
He’s a great campaigner. But how many MSM stories have you seen about his campaign events? Unlike Rudy and Mitt and Fred who have had throngs of reporters sniffing their farts every step of the way.
I have a feeling that the west will be the new South in a couple of elections. I have no proof except I just see AZ, NM, CO, UT, (all but Cali, Oregon, and Washington) being the next important area. The south had it’s time. The Northeast had it’s time. Perhaps it might be a good idea for the Republican party to expand to the Western states.
I’m waiting to see the results of some real polling, i.e. that which will take place January 19. I can’t believe South Carolinians will vote for that RINO McCain or the huckster Huckabee in such numbers....
I am a HUGE fan of Fred, but who makes up your call list?? Is this just a list of known FredHeads or of registered Republicans??
Think its time for Hunter to bow out gracefully .
They might as well stay in until at least 6 February. Who knows how this thing is going to be played out.
It is quite simple. A candidate needs a majority of delegates to win. If the candidates with the most delegates is unacceptable to a majority of delegates, it opens the door to “dark horse” coming through as a compromise nominee.
This is not a fantasy scenario, it is what has often occurred at deadlocked conventions in the past. We have not had such a convention in recent memory, so who knows what will happen.
If the Thompson campaign did even a remotely decent job (we can’t be certain of this because they were the leavings of the major campaigns since Thompson arrived so late) then the phone list you have been calling from (assuming they gave it to you) is intended to be names they think will support their guy and your calls are supposed to get them to the polls. You don’t assign volunteers to call people and hold philosophy discussions. You assign volunteers to GOTV.
So . . . I suspect your sample is tainted. If instead they told you to start from a phone book, then . . . sorry, they are incompetent.
I cannot, for the life of me, figure out what this has to do with Don Meredith clearing his throat.
H
You don’t remember MNF with Howard, Dandy and Gifford?

I'll let you write the final sentence
"Stay out da Bushes!"?
Stick a fork in Duncan Hunter!
To be honest, I’m 29 years old. So — not really. I was 5-years-old when Don Meredith retired from broadcasting in 1984.
H
Hunter is in it to stay. You might as well get behind him now. Let’s get this party back to Reaganism.
Dandy Don used to anger the ABC football producers by singing
“Turn Out The Lights, The Party’s Over” when a team was clearly about to lose. That caused people to change channels.
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