ARG GOP South Carolina Primary (Is Dandy Don clearing his throat)

Race 2008 ^ | 1/17/08 | staff

[pissant]

ARG GOP South Carolina Primary

* John McCain 33%

* Mike Huckabee 23%

* Mitt Romney 20%

* Fred Thompson 13%

* Rudy Giuliani 4%

* Alan Keyes 2%

* Duncan Hunter 1%

* Ron Paul 1%

* Undecided 3%

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters living in South Carolina (468 Republicans and 132 independent voters) was conducted January 15-16. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

[pissant]

[magritte]

Same order, just different percentages than Rasmussen, but I think all of the candidates in now will hold til Super Duper Tuesday...no point in dropping out now!

[nckerr]

If Alan Keyes is polling higher than you, than you need to drop out and endorse someone. Hunter, that means you!

[pissant]

Time for Fred to endorse Hunter.

[snippy_about_it]

Ha. You think Fred should drop out and endorse someone with even less, by a landslide less, backing than him.

Not a chance. He will do better here than you think.

[pissant]

ALas, you are probabaly right

[bshomoic]

American Research Group has consistently been the worst pollster of every primary/general election since 2000. I don’t know how they stay in business.

[Skip Ripley]

Riiiiiiight...and the Packers should step aside this weekend and let the Detroit Lions play for the NFC title...

[CharlesWayneCT]

Alan Keyes took 5% in the South Carolina primary in 2000. He has a base of support.

[Ingtar]

Yup... I guess it is time to stick a fork in Hunter. If he cannot poll well enough to qualify for delegates in South Carolina, where is he going to get them?

[CharlesWayneCT]

Saturday Morning, when it won’t matter to the news stories, they will release a poll that will show McCain NOT leading.

They’ve done it in most every state so far.

[JohnnyZ]

One of the funnier polls ARG has put out to date.

All of them trash, of course.

[pissant]

Here is Clemson University’s:

* John McCain 29%

* Mike Huckabee 22%

* Mitt Romney 13%

* Fred Thompson 10%

* Ron Paul 6%

[pissant]

see post 13

[pissant]

I veiw it more as a Bakerite endorsing a Reaganite. Likely, no.

[bshomoic]

Who even answers their telephone for pollsters anymore? Everyone I know has either gone to exclusive use of cell phones or VOIP, or they have an answering machine on 24/7 and screen calls.

[rface]

Romney getting 20% is big news to me....If Romney does better than Fred in SC....then, well, I'll let you write the final sentence.

[dangus]

Rasmussen shows Hack back in 1st. ARG is insanely bad.

Dems in Iowa: ARG: Clinton +9; Actual: Obama +9; Error: 18 POINTS!
Dems in NH: ARG: Obama +9; Actual: Clinton +3; Error: 12 points!
GOP in Mich (1/11): McCain +7; Actual: Romney +10; Error: 17 points!

[andy58-in-nh]

FWIW - Rasmussen 1/16 (yesterday) in South Carolina had:

McCain 24%; Huckabee 24%; Romney 18%; Thompson 16%

[RhodeIslandRepublican]

Here is a more recent Poll.
Thompson rises to third in S.C. poll

http://www.boston.com/news/politics/politicalintelligence/2008/01/thompson_rises.html

“Thompson has 14 percent in the Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll released this morning, sliding ahead of Mitt Romney, who slipped to 12 percent, even though some of the polling was done after he won the Michigan primary on Tuesday.

Romney is chasing delegates in Nevada, whose caucuses are also Saturday, after saying he believes John McCain has South Carolina locked up. McCain held his lead in the new poll, with 29 percent, compared to 22 percent for Mike Huckabee. Ron Paul and Rudy Giuliani were tied at 5 percent, according to the poll.”