Rasmussen shows Hack back in 1st. ARG is insanely bad.
Dems in Iowa: ARG: Clinton +9; Actual: Obama +9; Error: 18 POINTS!
Dems in NH: ARG: Obama +9; Actual: Clinton +3; Error: 12 points!
GOP in Mich (1/11): McCain +7; Actual: Romney +10; Error: 17 points!
You are so right. I could come closer than that with a dart board.