Posted on 08/27/2007 4:57:42 PM PDT by greyfoxx39
Yesterday's Arizona Republic reported on an interesting phenomenon taking place as a new workplace identification law approaches implementation. Those workers with no documentation -- in other words, illegal aliens -- have begun to sell off their property and leave the state:
Undocumented immigrants are starting to leave Arizona because of the new employer-sanctions law. The state's strong economy has been a magnet for illegal immigrants for years. But a growing number are pulling up stakes out of fear they will be jobless come Jan. 1, when the law takes effect. The departures are drawing cheers from immigration hard-liners and alarm from business owners already seeing a drop in sales.
It's impossible to count how many undocumented immigrants have fled because of the new law. But based on interviews with undocumented immigrants, immigrant advocates, community leaders and real-estate agents, at least several hundred have left since Democratic Gov. Janet Napolitano signed the bill on July 2. There are an estimated 500,000 illegal immigrants in Arizona.
Some are moving to other states, where they think they will have an easier time getting jobs. Others are returning to Mexico, selling their effects and putting their houses on the market.
The number departing is expected to mushroom as the Jan. 1 deadline draws closer. After that, the law will require employers to verify the employment eligibility of their workers through a federal database.
The immigration hard-liners appear to have proven one of their main arguments. Illegal immigrants who face a loss of employment due to strict employer sanctions will move elsewhere, and rather quickly. One talk-radio host that caters to what the Republic calls "undocumented immigrants" estimates that the departure rate has already hit 100 per day. It will likely increase until most of them depart before the end of the year, when their jobs will disappear.
Arizona passed employer sanctions with a particular bite. Rather than set up an escalating series of fines, which has been the federal approach, the state opted to put employers out of business. A first offense gets a ten-day suspension of the firm's business license, which would close the doors during that period. A subsequent offense revokes the business license permanently. Needless to say, that has provided an incentive to business owners to start checking identities through the federal database and terminating anyone who doesn't clear the system.
The Arizona Chamber of Commerce heads a coalition that wants the law repealed based on a Constitutional challenge, but it's hard to see how they can succeed. The state can impose sanctions on business licenses it issues, and it can insist that employers check for worker eligibility. The real issue for the ACC is labor shortages. The state currently has an unemployment rate of 3.7%, statistically full employment. Arizona employers will have to raise wages to compete for workers, which will cost consumers more but allow for more money in the market as well. It also might prompt business to push for automation where possible, using technology to fill the gaps.
However, the state does have around 9% of its workforce comprised by illegals. They rent houses and apartments, shop for food, and consume just like anyone else does in Arizona. When they disappear, the state will undoubtedly suffer a hit to the economy, especially in housing, which could depress real-estate values in some areas. Some of the immigrants own houses, and they have to sell them fast, which has glutted the resale market in the state. Secondary markets like furniture and home improvement have slowed considerably in Arizona, too.
Proponents of federalism often refer to states as laboratories for political experiments. Arizona's efforts on employer sanctions will prove an interesting test case for employer-based immigration sanctions.
Because political correctness has ruled certain pointed but necessary questions out of bounds.
So true.
Amen, brother amen.
Excellent post. As the mother of a 16 year old, the opportunities for him to earn some money aren’t there like they were when I was his age. And to work in a store around here, he has to speak spanish!
That’s what John and Ken call Clown Houses and they are very prevalent in Orange and Santa Ana, California. The town counsels there changed the law to remove limitations on the number of people who can live in a single family residence. Results - instant (D) voters.
Exactly!
He will employ 1/10th the labor.
Interesting. Do you have a link for that?
Prop 187 in CA (which won overwhelmingly) would have done this--if the liberal courts would have stayed out of it...
How long until the libs step in here?
Which puts them standing shoulder-to-shoulder with Bush, who also doesn't want to build the fence.
Thay tuk r jehbs!
Yes, the illegals squeezed out the teenagers from jobs where they could learn dilligence, timeliness, working well with and for others,
and we have a lot of entitlement minded young people because of it.
Why did the banks loan them the money?
Because the ACLU would sue them if they didn’t.
I forgot where I read that. I do remember the vinyard mananger saying he had employed forty people and would now employ 4.
An on line article that goes further in depth on the mechanization is at http://researchfrontiers.uark.edu/628.htm
That article says 50 to 70% labor savings. It also says that merlot grapes produced a better wine when compared to hand cultivation.
yes I wonder how this relates to the sub prime “crisis”
AMNESTY fails and presto, sub prime crisis...
that explains the mad rush to shut down the sub prime divisions...
Great news!!!
Indeed!
bttt!
Sheriff Chain Gang Arpaio. I’d probably vote for him. :)
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.