Posted on 06/01/2007 1:39:25 PM PDT by dirtboy
...Tropical Storm Barry forms in the Gulf of Mexico...
at 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC... a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the West Coast of Florida from Bonita Beach northward to Keaton Beach...and a tropical storm watch has been issued from north of Keaton Beach to St. Marks. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours and a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 500 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Tropical Storm Barry was located near latitude 24.2 north...longitude 85.5 west or about 320 miles...520 km...southwest of Tampa Florida and about 235 miles... 375 km...west of Key West Florida.
Barry is moving toward the north near 12 mph...19 km/hr. A gradual turn to the north-northeast with an increase in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph...75 km/hr...with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is anticipated before Barry reaches the coast.
Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 90 miles...150 km mainly to the north and east of the center.
Minimum central pressure reported by a reconnaissance aircraft was 1000 mb...29.53 inches. Coastal storm surge flooding of up to 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...are possible in the warning area near and to the right of where the center of Barry makes landfall. Barry is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 3 to 6 inches over the Florida Keys and peninsula into southeastern Georgia with possible isolated maximum amounts of 10 inches. Repeating the 500 PM EDT position...24.2 N...85.5 W. Movement toward...north near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...45 mph. Minimum central pressure...1000 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 800 PM EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
From the NHC Forecast Discussion #1 :
INITIALLY...THE SYSTEM APPEARED TO BE A SUBTROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER...DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST HOUR AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER...SUPPORTING A TROPICAL CLASSIFICATION. BARRY COULD RETAIN SOME NON-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND IS HEADING TOWARD COOLER WATERS. THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST. BARRY SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS.
The satellite picture shows a convection plume forming this afternoon, and a few hours later ( i.e. as of now ) it has been swept to the northeast away from the poorly defined center of circulation.
This has exactly the same appearance as the vaunted shear effect that predominated last season.
When I got home, I let the dog out. He took one look outside and seemed to say oh geez, hurricane season. He then went back to his bathroom stall to sleep.
They need it to put out the fires. 2-3 times a week we get the smoke up here in Atlanta metro, and it's awful. Must be many times worse to be down there in the middle of it.
“Barbara and Barry, sitting in the sea ..”
S-P-I-N-I-N-G
First comes wind then comes water.....
I’ll let someone else finish it.
Had 18 inches of rain all of last year in south Texas where I live. 30 inches so far this year bring on the rain! I make a living off of wildlife we need the rain...calm wind lol
Atlantic Storm names
2007
Andrea
Barry
Chantal
Dean
Erin
Felix
Gabrielle
Humberto
Ingrid
Jerry
Karen
Lorenzo
Melissa
Noel
Olga
Pablo
Rebekah
Sebastien
Tanya
Van
Wendy
I would also like to give a shout out to all the Texas farmers and crop dusters for the great year that we have had so far!
It’s not a hurricane.
The ENTIRE state of Florida needs rain - we still have some fires burning in the north central part - our soil is dry as a desert.
TS Barry is an answer to prayer!
I couldn’t believe it but on TV yesterday there was a south Florida reporter saying they NEED a good hurricane to refill the water supplies.
Hurricanes and Tropical Storms are a necessary evil that helps replenish what is lost during drought.
Most Floridians take the good with the bad - giving thanks for desperately needed rain - no matter how it arrives.
8 p.m. Intermediate Barry update:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BARRY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022007
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 01 2007
..COR FOR WIND SPEED IN THE REPEAT SECTION...
...TROPICAL STORM BARRY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS TO FLORIDA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA
FROM BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO KEATON BEACH...AND A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF KEATON BEACH TO ST. MARKS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BARRY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 320
MILES...520 KM...SOUTHWEST OF TAMPA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 235 MILES...
375 KM...WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
BARRY HAS BEEN MEANDERING DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO RESUME A GENERAL NORTHWARD MOTION NEAR 12 MPH...19
KM/HR TONIGHT. A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...80 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS ANTICIPATED
BEFORE BARRY REACHES THE COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS
997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF UP TO 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNING AREA NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE
CENTER OF BARRY MAKES LANDFALL.
BARRY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND PENINSULA INTO SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF FLORIDA.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...24.2 N...85.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
TS Barry might be coming from the South but the rain is COLD. I just stepped outside and that rain is ice cold. Of course, it is nice to have had a very cool afternoon today due to the cold rain.
Then came the girls from over at the 'Hooters'
Sorry. It just kinda fit.
Thanks for the update.
It was about 90 in North Central Florida today.
“TS Barry is an answer to prayer!”
Yes it is! After no rain for 31 days here in St. Pete, this rain is lovely! Also nice that it isn’t coming down too heavy which helps it soak in better. My garden and yard are happy, and we are too!:)
Let it rain, let it rain, let it rain!
In the past storms had to be at least tropical storms to rate a name. Now even a tropical depression has a name, leading to far more named storms than in the past. Duh!
The powers that be count on people being ignorant. Kind of like the SAT's "recentering" done in the mid-nineties, I think. It's simply no longer mentioned when doing comparisons.
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