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Keyword: hurricaneprediction

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  • Hurricane predictors admit they can’t predict hurricanes

    12/13/2011 7:20:20 AM PST · by crusty old prospector · 16 replies
    The Ottawa Citizen ^ | December 12, 2011 | Tom Spears
    Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, revered like rock stars in Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice because it doesn’t work. William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no value. The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities as hurricane seasons approach — a much more cautious approach. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do next. Gray, recently joined by Klotzbach, has been known for decades for an annual forecast of how many...
  • Tropical Storm Barry forms in the Gulf of Mexico

    06/01/2007 1:39:25 PM PDT · by dirtboy · 86 replies · 2,437+ views
    ...Tropical Storm Barry forms in the Gulf of Mexico... at 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC... a Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the West Coast of Florida from Bonita Beach northward to Keaton Beach...and a tropical storm watch has been issued from north of Keaton Beach to St. Marks. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours and a tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please...
  • Forecaster sees active Atlantic hurricane season (London-based forecaster Tropical Storm Risk)

    03/21/2007 7:35:25 PM PDT · by NormsRevenge · 20 replies · 736+ views
    Reuters on Yahoo ^ | 3/21/07 | Reuters
    MIAMI (Reuters) - The Atlantic hurricane season will be exceptionally active this year, according to a British forecasting group, raising the possibility that killer storms like Hurricane Katrina could again threaten the United States. London-based forecaster Tropical Storm Risk on Tuesday said the six-month season, which begins on June 1, was expected to bring 17 tropical storms, of which nine will strengthen into hurricanes with winds of at least 74 miles per hour. Four of those are expected to become more destructive "intense" hurricanes, TSR said. The long-term average for the Atlantic is for 10 storms to form during the...
  • Cooling Pacific Heralds Active Atlantic Hurricane Season

    03/12/2007 7:04:28 PM PDT · by blam · 69 replies · 1,486+ views
    Newswire ^ | 3-9-2007
    Cooling Pacific Heralds Active Atlantic Hurricane Season CAMP SPRINGS, Maryland, March 9, 2007 (ENS) - On the heels of El Niño, its opposite, the cooling weather pattern in the east-central equatorial Pacific known as La Niña is expected to arrive soon, according to government forecasters. La Niña conditions in the Pacific typically mean a greater than normal number of Atlantic hurricanes. In a weekly update, scientists at the NOAA Climate Prediction Center said that as the 2006-2007 El Niño has faded, surface and subsurface ocean temperatures have rapidly decreased. Recently, cooler than normal water temperatures have developed at the surface...