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To: dirtboy

From the NHC Forecast Discussion #1 :

INITIALLY...THE SYSTEM APPEARED TO BE A SUBTROPICAL STORM. HOWEVER...DEEP CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE PAST HOUR AND THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE LOCATED NEAR THE CENTER...SUPPORTING A TROPICAL CLASSIFICATION. BARRY COULD RETAIN SOME NON-TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE CYCLONE IS EMBEDDED WITHIN A STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND IS HEADING TOWARD COOLER WATERS. THEREFORE...NO SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IS INDICATED BEFORE IT REACHES THE COAST. BARRY SHOULD BECOME EXTRATROPICAL BETWEEN 24 AND 36 HOURS.

The satellite picture shows a convection plume forming this afternoon, and a few hours later ( i.e. as of now ) it has been swept to the northeast away from the poorly defined center of circulation.

This has exactly the same appearance as the vaunted shear effect that predominated last season.


41 posted on 06/01/2007 3:41:46 PM PDT by dr_lew
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To: dr_lew
It's been raining most of the day here in South Florida, and the traffic's been terrible.

When I got home, I let the dog out. He took one look outside and seemed to say oh geez, hurricane season. He then went back to his bathroom stall to sleep.

43 posted on 06/01/2007 3:49:53 PM PDT by twin2
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