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Polls find Democrats ahead in 3 vital states (Mason-Dixon, DeWine -2, Burns -7, Corker -1)
The State ^ | 1 October 2006 | Steven Thomma

Posted on 09/30/2006 10:13:58 PM PDT by okstate

WASHINGTON — Democrats are slightly ahead of Republican incumbents in three election battleground states that will help determine control of the Senate, a series of polls released Sunday showed.

In Montana, Democrat Jon Tester had the support of 47 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Conrad Burns had the support of 40 percent.

In Ohio, Democrat Rep. Sherrod Brown had 45 percent of registered voters, while incumbent Republican Sen. Mike DeWine had 43 percent.

In Tennessee, Democratic Rep. Harold Ford Jr. had 43 percent, and former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker, the Republican Senate nominee, had 42 percent.

Democrats probably must win all three races if they’re to take back control of the Senate on Nov. 7. They need to gain six seats overall, and these three are among the six seats held by Republicans that are considered most vulnerable.

Another Republican incumbent, Sen. George Allen of Virginia, was locked in a 43 percent to 43 percent dead heat with Democratic challenger James Webb, according to a poll released Friday by McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC.

The surveys underscored how much these states are up for grabs and how much rides on the final five weeks of campaigning. The work of both major parties to get their supporters to turn out on Election Day could prove decisive. One in 10 voters remain undecided in Montana and Ohio, 12 percent in Virginia and 14 percent in Tennessee.

The polls were all conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research Inc. for newspapers in each of the states — Lee Newspapers in Montana, the Cleveland Plain Dealer in Ohio and the Memphis Commercial Appeal and Chattanooga Times Free Press in Tennessee. Each state poll was of 625 registered voters and had an error margin of plus or minus four percentage points. The polls were taken between Monday and Thursday.

Mason-Dixon conducted a broader series of polls for McClatchy Newspapers and MSNBC in seven other closely fought Senate battleground states. Virginia results were released Friday, and the other six will be released Monday.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Montana; US: Ohio; US: Tennessee
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; brown; burns; corker; dewine; elections2006; ford; masondixon; montana; ohio; poll; polls; tennessee; tester
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To: what's up

it's already done...the polls are intentionally tweeked


21 posted on 09/30/2006 11:05:49 PM PDT by advertising guy
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To: okstate

Then what about the CT primary? That had pathetic turnout.


22 posted on 09/30/2006 11:08:26 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: AmishDude
What the heck are you talking about? The CT primary had record turnout.
23 posted on 09/30/2006 11:14:00 PM PDT by AntiGuv ("..I do things for political expediency.." - Sen. John McCain on FOX News)
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To: AntiGuv

280,000 -- for both parties. Pathetic, "record" or no.


24 posted on 09/30/2006 11:17:49 PM PDT by AmishDude
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To: AmishDude

Your response -- just now. Delusional, here in reality..


25 posted on 09/30/2006 11:19:14 PM PDT by AntiGuv (sorry .. i couldn't resist!!)
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To: okstate

Why don't you adopt Dewine for your state of Oklahoma? He represents my state now, not yours, and I want him gone. Some say Sherrod Brown is a far-left liberal. I say Dewine is a far-left rino.


26 posted on 09/30/2006 11:20:02 PM PDT by Rudder
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To: okstate
However, the news from Tennessee is absolutely disasterous.

Wrong!

Black Democrats always poll much better than their actual numbers. People give the PC response to the pollster. This has been proven in election after election since at least the early 1980s.

27 posted on 09/30/2006 11:24:06 PM PDT by Hannibal Hamlin
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To: okstate
How did I know it was you....


28 posted on 09/30/2006 11:29:17 PM PDT by Antoninus (I don't vote for liberals, regardless of party.)
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To: okstate

Dewine will win as he is making up the ground and has the momentum going on.

Burns needs to run hard and hit on Testers support for repealing the patriot act.


As for Corker, I am not sure why he is trailing, he should winning the election in a cakewalk. I suspect he has a piss poor team with poor ads, he should hitting hard on Fords actual Liberal voting record in Congress which is not a very tough thing to do!


29 posted on 09/30/2006 11:35:00 PM PDT by GregH
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To: okstate

Corker will win. I dunno about dewine or burns.


30 posted on 09/30/2006 11:39:14 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: denydenydeny

With caller ID - cell phones and do not call lists how can you get an accurate poll?


31 posted on 09/30/2006 11:43:30 PM PDT by Brimack34
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To: okstate

Why didn't Denny Rehberg run for Burns' spot? I remember seeing Burns at the first Bush inaugural. He was a drunk mess and an embarrassment.


32 posted on 09/30/2006 11:44:05 PM PDT by montag813
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To: okstate
former Chattanooga Mayor Bob Corker

Unfortunate name, sounds like Porker.

33 posted on 09/30/2006 11:44:49 PM PDT by montag813
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To: writing
However, we should pick up NJ

Don't bet on it. Forrester ran 5% down in all such polls and on election day lost by well over 10%.

34 posted on 09/30/2006 11:46:18 PM PDT by montag813
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To: GregH

Let's remember that Corker pretty recently came out of a competitive primary. This tends to depress the nominee's numbers for a while. I've always felt we'd hold Tennessee, and I'm still cautiously optimistic.


35 posted on 09/30/2006 11:47:11 PM PDT by California Patriot ("That's not Charlie the Tuna out there. It's Jaws." -- Richard Nixon)
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To: okstate
We have to convince typically Republican voters to "come home" to our candidates. If we do, our losses won't be too bad (probably just Burns, Santorum, and Chafee in the Senate). If we don't we're looking at losing 5 or 6 seats.

Bush is the key. He must rally the troops. "Cut and run party" is a good start. But he needs to step it up. Allen needs to intensify the Webb Naval Academy chick ads. They will work. Burns is a lost cause, as is Santorum, sadly. Kean must chill out on the corruption attack ads for 3 weeks and then press Menendez with everything he's got. We will win in MO and TN.

36 posted on 09/30/2006 11:49:05 PM PDT by montag813
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To: okstate
Is Harold Ford an Arab in American clothes?
37 posted on 10/01/2006 12:12:23 AM PDT by Alex1977
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To: BoBToMatoE

Are you sure? What about Talent?


38 posted on 10/01/2006 12:14:11 AM PDT by Alex1977
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To: montag813

And Corker sounds like Al Gore.


39 posted on 10/01/2006 12:30:21 AM PDT by Ingtar (Prensa dos para el inglés)
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To: Hannibal Hamlin

You got to admit that Tenn is at least troublesome. I have always thought Ford would be a dangerous guy in the race and he is showing it now. If Tenn is doing this and this isnt the only poll I have seen on this race then it is making me fear how badly we are doing across the Country


40 posted on 10/01/2006 12:31:09 AM PDT by catholicfreeper (Geaux Tigers SEC FOOTBALL ROCKS)
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