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Rasmussen Connecticut Senate Poll: Lieberman leads Lamont by 2 percent
Dave Leip's Atlas of US Elections ^ | 18 September 2006 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 09/18/2006 3:39:52 PM PDT by okstate

This poll is still on Rasmussen's premium section, but got leaked onto the blogosphere. Topline numbers:

Lieberman (I-Inc.) 45%
Lamont (D) 43%
Schlesinger (R) 5%

550 Likely Connecticut Voters
+/- 4.5% MOE


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Connecticut
KEYWORDS: 2006; 2006polls; connecticut; election2006; electioncongress; elections2006; electionscongress; electionsenate; lamont; lieberman; poll; polls; rasmussen; schlesinger; senate
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Rasmussen is just polling this race differently than Survey USA, Quinnipiac, and Public Opinion Strategies (Lieberman's internal pollster). However, this Rasmussen result agrees with what ARG found in Connecticut.

Trendlines:
09-14 Rasmussen ........................ Lieberman +2
09-11 Survey USA ...................... Lieberman +13
08-29 Public Opinion Strategies ... Lieberman +16
08-21 Rasmussen ........................ Lieberman +2
08-21 Amer. Research Group ...... Lieberman +2
08-14 Quinnipiac ......................... Lieberman +12

1 posted on 09/18/2006 3:39:54 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate
As for analysis about those results, it's hard to say whether the publicly-released Lieberman campaign poll is credible or not. Survey USA and Quinnipiac are generally pretty good and they both agree with POS.

However, Rasmussen is also a good pollster. They agree with ARG, who sucks nationwide but actually does a good job in the Northeast (where they are located). ARG polls New Hampshire, Vermont, and the like more often than the whole U.S. (They lean left in national polling and they did in battleground state polling in 2004).

Must be a difference in methodologies or something. I doubt we'll know until election day, but I think we can safely say that Lieberman leads by SOME number right now.

2 posted on 09/18/2006 3:43:37 PM PDT by okstate
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To: okstate

These 5 percenters supporting Schlessinger need to give it up. I'd love nothing more than a Republican to take that seat, but it's not going to happen with a piss poor candidate like that, who is only getting 5% of the vote. CT. GOP voters need to back Lieberman or we're going to end up with George Soros' sock puppet in the form of Ned LAMEont and his big mouth having a Senate soapbox to mouth Soros' Marxist sedition from.

Lieberman may not be what any of us would normally want in a senator, but this is a special circumstance that requires us to support him to keep this seat out of the hands of the Moveon.org crowd, not to mention out of the hands of the Democratic party which will deal them a serious blow.


3 posted on 09/18/2006 3:43:49 PM PDT by MikeA (Not voting out of anger in November is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House)
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To: okstate

I'd like to see Lieberman win this one since the republican has no chance. After the way the dems treated him during the primary it sure would fun to see this one backfire on the dems.


4 posted on 09/18/2006 3:43:54 PM PDT by MadAnthony1776 ("liberalism" = "do as I say, not as I do")
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To: okstate

I'm not a fan of either of those two "democrats." They both believe in homosexual marriage, abortions, and affirmative action. Not sure why the Republicans are so worked up about Looser-man. Just because of his pro-war vote? Heck, Hillary voted pro-war too (before she voted against it . . . or am I sounding like that French-looking ketchup guy).


5 posted on 09/18/2006 3:44:47 PM PDT by laweeks (I)
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To: MikeA

Yeah, I agree. And one has to start wondering... just who WOULD vote for Schlesinger at this point? I mean maybe the same people that vote third party in normal elections, as a "protest vote"? But I agree, it's stupid when the alternative is possibly letting loony Lamont win.


6 posted on 09/18/2006 3:46:04 PM PDT by okstate
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To: MikeA

All 15 Connecticutt Republican voters need to vote for Lieberman.


7 posted on 09/18/2006 3:46:09 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: laweeks

Because the alternative is Lamont, and he's much much worse than Lieberman.


8 posted on 09/18/2006 3:46:30 PM PDT by okstate
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To: laweeks
I'm not sure that Lieberman really, truly in his heart, supports abortion or homomarriage. I am really hoping he will surprise many if he wins, no longer shackled to the Party of Open Depravity.

At any rate, he is the best realistic hope in this race.

9 posted on 09/18/2006 3:49:30 PM PDT by Lexinom
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To: okstate
Hillary took Lieberman on "The Marcy Park Walk". Gore or Kerry will be next.

Dean.....He'd be the dumb a** who would be a willing VP candidate. But she has to pick someone Military.

She supported Wesley Clark originally and then withdrew saying "They're all great".

10 posted on 09/18/2006 3:50:07 PM PDT by Sacajaweau (God Bless Our Troops!!)
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To: okstate
just who WOULD vote for Schlesinger at this point

It's the hard head absolutists who would rather see a rank seditionist and a despicable opportunist like LAMEont take this seat and turn it into George Soros and Cindy Sheehan's megaphone than to have to think a little pragmatically and vote for a guy who yes, may be liberal but he's right on the most important issue of our era: The war on terror. They just don't see beyond the ends of their noses sometimes and realize they're only helping to do harm by the nation by standing so unthinkingly on what they call "principle," but what I call short-sighted stubborness that actually damages the principles they claim to be standing pat for.

People like that are unable to see that there is a time it's safe to stand on principle, and there's a time that to protect those principles you must be pragmatic. And when you have one of those rare political moments that the enemy of your enemy is your friend, that is a time when a clear-eyed view of one's principles would tell them this is not a moment when standing on my supposed principles is going to advance them in any way.

11 posted on 09/18/2006 3:52:41 PM PDT by MikeA (Not voting out of anger in November is a vote for Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House)
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To: Lexinom

"I'm not sure that Lieberman really, truly in his heart, supports abortion or homomarriage."

He is very strongly pro-death and takes the "middle of the road" on homosexual marriage. He can't have it both ways: he's either for it or agin' it.


12 posted on 09/18/2006 3:53:06 PM PDT by laweeks (I)
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To: okstate

I dunno.. Rasmussen may be going Zogby on us.. They used to be the gold standard.. but this is another poll ive seen which defies conventional wisdom.


13 posted on 09/18/2006 3:54:25 PM PDT by BoBToMatoE
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To: okstate

I wouldn't vote for Lieberman if I lived in Connecticut. Voting for leftists should never be done.


14 posted on 09/18/2006 3:55:30 PM PDT by NapkinUser ("The RNC does not care if a candidate is a conservative or liberal Republican." -Common Tator)
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To: BoBToMatoE

It's certainly possible. I mean Rasmussen was pretty bad in 2000, and even a blind squirrel gets a nut sometimes (Zogby).

But in other state Rasmussen is in close agreement with Survey USA, Mason-Dixon, and all the rest. It's just in Connecticut that there's such a huge gap.


15 posted on 09/18/2006 3:56:11 PM PDT by okstate
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To: Clintonfatigued

Ping to Rasmussen CT Senate poll, Lieberman up 2


16 posted on 09/18/2006 3:58:39 PM PDT by okstate
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To: BoBToMatoE

You know I am starting to believe that. Something just isn't right lately with his polling. I've followed him since a few months before election 2004 and I'm very disappointed with what seems to be his results that don't match.


17 posted on 09/18/2006 3:59:52 PM PDT by edmond246 (God Bless America)
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To: NapkinUser

You don't understand. Lieberman isn't a leftist. A leftist would never say some of the things he has said. He's a moderate liberal who occasionally, but only occasionally, has the courage to stand up to the leftist liberals. The reason to vote for Lieberman is to keep Ned the Red Lamont out of the Senate. Lamont is a hard leftist. As someone said on this thread, he would be a megaphone for Soros and his ilk.


18 posted on 09/18/2006 4:00:08 PM PDT by California Patriot ("That's not Charlie the Tuna out there. It's Jaws." -- Richard Nixon)
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To: okstate

So in other words, Leiberman holds the lead he had in Rass a month ago. No movement for Lamont. When you factor there are 8% unaccounted for, and my guess is that the majority of those shift Leiberman in the end, leaves him with a solid margin ahead.


19 posted on 09/18/2006 4:01:06 PM PDT by Soul Seeker (Kobach: Amnesty is going from an illegal to a legal position, without imposing the original penalty.)
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To: okstate; All

See this for how pollsters did in 2004

Rasmussen was the second best state pollster, right behind Mason Dixon

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1274530/posts


20 posted on 09/18/2006 4:01:12 PM PDT by finnman69 (cum puella incedit minore medio corpore sub quo manifestu s globus, inflammare animos)
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