Posted on 08/17/2006 9:36:57 PM PDT by Centurion2000
Nuclear war starting in 10 days?
Such was the conclusion reached in the U.S. Russian generals and political scientists disagree only about its exact starting date.
Our world is on the brink of another world war. It will originate August 22nd in the Middle East. The prediction was presented not by Vagna or Nostradamus but by an American political scientist Bernard Lewis in the acclaimed publication of Wall Street Journal. He is a man with close ties to the Bush administration as well as to the non-conservatives pushing for the radical solution of the Iranian Threat.
Lewis believes it will be precisely Teheran who will unleash the ultimate conflict by attacking Israel. Why August 22nd? Perhaps simply because Washington has set a deadline for the Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and has demanded a complete wrap up of the nuclear program by that day. It is obvious that Teheran has no intention to comply. Curiously, this year the night of August 22nd happens to be night Muslims will celebrate the journey of their prophet Mohammed to Jerusalem and his ascension into heaven. According to Lewis the followers of Mohammed have a perfect opportunity to enrich their celebration by throwing an attack on Israel. An immediate retaliation will follow.
Such a scenario does not seem too unrealistic to me, comments Sergey Markov, a Russian political scientist, These days anything is possible in the Middle East. People living there are crazy and they constantly keep playing with fire. Their situation has gone out of control and is ready to explode any minute. In fact, the new world war is already going in that place.
The First Act
As the Israeli invasion of Lebanon continues it is becoming clearer that Tel-Aviv actually aims at much more than the elimination of Hezbollah. Israel could have long since used its omnipresent scouts to put an end to the resistances activity. Neither does the complete destruction of all Hezbollahs rocket-launching sites present a problem for the Israeli army with its tremendous equipment and might.
So why the endless bombing of Lebanese cities and villages? And why the overwhelming U.S. support? All this is happening precisely during the time when Americans seem unable to force Iran to comply with their demands. Lebanese occupation under the excuse of defending against Hezbollah is itself an excuse for solving the Iranian problem.
The Second Act
Israel has already achieved the minimum solution by getting rid of Hezbollah across the border. What more do they need? UN has already offered to fill the occupied area with troops and peace-keepers but Tel-Aviv has still not given its consent. The U.S. is not in hurry to give the green light either. In all actuality it looks like the two countries are intentionally waiting until Iran gets involved in the conflict. The expecting parties might anticipate the attack in the face of fired Iranian rockets, which Tel-Aviv will intercept as they had often done previously with the rockets from Iraq. This time, however, Washington and Tel-Aviv will have acquired an official right to retaliate against Iran.
The Third Act
Israel will attack Iranian nuclear sites. The U.S. will provide its support through the Navy in the Persian Gulf and perhaps through the Air Force. Iran will not delay with its own full-scale attack against the Israeli sites and the U.S. ships.
At this point no one can guarantee that the rest of the Arab World is going to remain watching as an innocent and uninvolved bystander.
The Fourth Act
Very soon such participants as Turkey will inevitably get dragged into the funnel of war. In Iraq and Afghanistan anti-government militant groups will become very active. Finally the conflict will focus on the fighting for the control over the territories with major oil resources. That is exactly with the U.S. is after.
The eventual possession of the oil treasury by one of the conflicting sides will provoke harsh resistance from both Asia and Europe. Russia is also very likely to get provoked into becoming an active participant. In the end this might become the Ultimate Fifth Act, in which no one wishes to believe
Political Scientists Opinion
Alexander Prohanov, the main editor of Zavtra Newspaper:Apocalypse Tomorrow
- The pulling of the trigger leading to the tragic chain of events has been done. Syria and Iran will be pulled into the war right after Lebanon. Israeli and American attacks on Iran will lead to the interruption of oil exports into Europe and China. Their economies will suffer. In the conclusion there will be chaos all across Asia.
The detonation device for the new apocalypse has been set off by Americans, obviously. They believe that they have the power and the authority to regulate the worlds chaos. But the U.S. cannot even gain control over its own minor chaos in Latin America. Let us only hope that Russia will remain neutral throughout this universal nightmare.
Militarys Opinion
Alexander Vladimirov, major general and vice-president of the Board of Military Experts of Russia:Collision of Civilizations
- This war is utterly futile for either one of the sides. And as the one lacking in logic it is all the more dangerous. The most dangerous aspect lies in the fact that Israel (and perhaps even Iran by now) possess nuclear weapons and are able to put them to use. This means the beginning of the global war because other countries will not be able to remain uninvolved in the collision of civilizations of this magnitude.
Source: Moskovskii Komsomolets
Translated by Natalia Vysotskaya
Rooskie nukes are like their Katooshas, no "primary strike zone". Better to hit the bunker.
yitbos
Limited to how many nukes Israel and Iran have. Although, the U.S. might give IDF some tacticals or neutron bombs? Kissinger always liked tacticals for the defense of Europe: "They are cheap and cause a lot of damage."
yitbos
A few pertinent links on the "Bible Codes":
http://www.firstthings.com/ftissues/ft9712/opinion/wittes.html
http://cs.anu.edu.au/~bdm/dilugim/moby.html
http://www.leaderu.com/orgs/probe/docs/bib-code.html
http://www.torahcodes.co.il/
2006 Marker / Refresher / Timely
Surviving a Nuclear Attack [Anywhere]
Everyones first reaction is wrong because the problem is not, in fact, the nuclear blast. If at this point youre still alive and uninjured and after a Hiroshima-sized explosion at ground level, 99 percent of the people in the D.C. area
[or anywhere else for that matter]
are then your real problem is the radioactive dust that the blast threw into the air. According to the estimates in National Planning Scenario No. 1, an explosion that kills 15,000 people outright could eventually expose 200,000 people to lethal doses of radiation if they stay exposed and unprotected in the fallout path for 24 hours. Sitting downwind in gridlock, with your vehicles windshield shattered, goes a long way toward giving you a lethal dose. All sorts of simple alternatives moving away from downwind, seeking proper shelter, even taking a shower go a long way toward saving you.
Fallout is simply radioactive dust, launched miles into the air in a mushroom cloud and then carried on the wind. Much of it is alpha particles, whose radiation cannot penetrate bare skin, or beta particles, which cannot penetrate layers of clothing. Both are most dangerous if inhaled or if they settle on food that is eaten unwashed. More deadly are the gamma rays, whose radiation can go through walls. But even gammas cannot hurt you from cloud height. The danger starts when the dust settles to earth.
The ideal is to avoid the fallout in the first place. In apocalyptic gridlock, you cannot drive very far. But you may not have to. Normal winds blow the cloud into a long but narrow plume, just a few miles across. In typical Washington-area weather, Virginia, Montgomery County in Maryland, and most of the District itself are not in the fallout path at all. People in the path could conceivably walk out of the fallout zone in the 10 or 15 minutes before the dust begins to fall if they know which way to go.
But, of course, you cannot count on perfectly typical weather. The wind might shift; the breeze you feel at ground level may be blowing crosswise to the radioactive clouds five miles up; a still day might cause the fallout to seep outward slowly in all directions; sudden rain or snow could wash the dust out of the sky, heavily dousing everything beneath the storm but sparing areas farther out.
If you do not want to trust in weather and traffic, the alternative is what the experts call sheltering in place. You want to be in a building, as solid as possible to block the gamma rays, as airtight as possible to keep out radioactive dust. You need to turn off air conditioning, close vents, seal the seams around windows and doorways. If you wondered what former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge was talking about, this is what you need the duct tape for. Abandon rooms with windows broken by the blast.
The dust that does not seep into the building will settle outside, on the roof and on the ground, emitting gamma rays. A car with an intact windshield stops 30 to 50 percent of the radiation probably not enough, however, to save someone whos inside the car and stuck in traffic a few miles downwind of ground zero. A wood-frame house, similarly, stops just 30 to 60 percent of gamma rays. A windowless basement stops 90 percent. The middle floors of a concrete apartment building, safely away from both roof and ground, stop 99 percent or more. But there is no 100 percent protection.
For those whom evacuation and shelter fail or for those, like the thousands fleeing in blind panic, who never try either there is still decontamination. A lethal dose of radiation takes time to build. The sooner the radioactive dust is off the skin, the better. And it is not that hard to remove. Radiation contamination is easier than chemical, said Col. David Jarrett, a medical doctor and the director of the Armed Forces Radiobiology Research Institute in Bethesda. Simply removing the clothes and washing takes off up to 90 percent.
Every major Washington-area hospital has some decontamination facilities, but 10,000 radiation patients in one day would swamp them. So mass decontamination falls to fire departments, with their mobile pumps and generators; their protective gear; their hazardous-materials experience; and, because both Maryland and Virginia have nuclear power reactors, their years of radiation training. Area firefighters can quickly set up special decontamination tents, and they have plans to take over buildings that have lots of showers so high school gyms, for example, are a good place to head for. In the chaos of those first hours, said Michael Cline, state coordinator at the Virginia Department of Emergency Management, the real key is to make sure people go to those facilities. It will take every firefighter available to man the decontamination sites, and every cop to control the crowds pouring in panic out of the city.
FOR ENTIRE ARTICLE, GO TO
NUCLEAR THREAT INITIATIVE [NTI]
http://www.nti.org/d_newswire/issues/2005_6_24.html#A0F258F9
http://www.nti.org/index.html
REFERENCE LINK:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1429926/posts
Dammit! That's my email encryption algorithm. Who blabbed?
SHELTERING IN PLACE INFO --
SNIP:
If you do not want to trust in weather and traffic, the alternative is what the experts call sheltering in place. You want to be in a building, as solid as possible to block the gamma rays, as airtight as possible to keep out radioactive dust. You need to turn off air conditioning, close vents, seal the seams around windows and doorways. If you wondered what former Homeland Security Secretary Tom Ridge was talking about, this is what you need the duct tape for. Abandon rooms with windows broken by the blast.
The dust that does not seep into the building will settle outside, on the roof and on the ground, emitting gamma rays. A car with an intact windshield stops 30 to 50 percent of the radiation probably not enough, however, to save someone whos inside the car and stuck in traffic a few miles downwind of ground zero.
A wood-frame house, similarly, stops just 30 to 60 percent of gamma rays. A windowless basement stops 90 percent. The middle floors of a concrete apartment building, safely away from both roof and ground, stop 99 percent or more. But there is no 100 percent protection.
For those whom evacuation and shelter fail or for those, like the thousands fleeing in blind panic, who never try either there is still decontamination. A lethal dose of radiation takes time to build. The sooner the radioactive dust is off the skin, the better. And it is not that hard to remove. Radiation contamination is easier than chemical, said Col. David Jarrett, a medical doctor and the director of the Armed Forces Radiobiology Research Institute in Bethesda. Simply removing the clothes and washing takes off up to 90 percent.
END OF SNIP
===
How did you come to the conclusion that we still have 150 years before Christ returns?
Um, the 1980s mantra "Live fast, die young, and leave a good looking corpse" doesn't quite work with nuclear explosions.
Even if you die from radiation poisoning, instead of the explosive effects, anybody else left around to
appreciate your remains might beconcerned with other issues.
OTOH, as maybe as the Sam Kinison piece goes, "gay necrophiliacs" might take an interest...
"Short squeeze will be on for 8/22,..."
Wow! The MOS...Mother of All Shorts!
Ten Thousand hedge funds jamming the market on 8/22.
I had a friend connected with defense visit my home for several days a couple of weeks ago. I expressed my concern over Iran with him, and expressed the view I did not see any way to take Iran's nuclear capability except a nuclear war. He assured me we can take it out with our new updated Tomahawk missiles.
That is so true.
I was just gonna ask if someone wanted to give me one of those big motor homes so I could tour whats left.....might even arrange a 501 (c)3 write off :-)
4 days left to go
what's with the hezbollah in quotes, thing? Trying to soften their image...blame it on Israel for making Hezbollah come across as "the bad guys"?
What more do they need? UN has already offered to fill the occupied area with troops and peace-keepers
gosh.....*I* feel better already. The UN has my back? YEAH!
/extremely heavy sarcasm
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