Connecticut ping!
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Guess it's time for Shays to retire his polka-dot sundress and red pumps.
Only one demo-rat. Looks like the Republicans are d-o-o-o-omed!/sarc
This list is far from being unbiased, but it's not without merit, either.
I'd be surprised if DeLay was in trouble. All politics are local, and the perception in Texas is that Ronnie Earle is a political hack trying to sink DeLay.
Ney is in better shape that people think considering the second-tier challengers he's getting.
Connecticut ping!
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Thank God the very honorable Rep. RON PAUL (R-TX) isn't on the list....although I bet the big-government neocons despise him even more than the Dims do.
Rep. Bob Ney (R-OH). Speaking for myself, Bob Ney is on his way out. Word has it, he's going to be indicted. His district leans Republican, but not overwhelmingly so.
Rep. Tom DeLay (R-TX). The lamestream media has unfairly but successfully turned DeLay into a symbol of all that is wrong with politics. Maybe they're exaggerating his vulnerability at home. He'd comfortably win a two-man race, but with a former GOP Congressman running as an Independent, the conservative vote could be split, which could enable the Democrat to win with a minority.
Rep. John Hostettler (R-IN). It's true, Hostettler has faced several very different Democrats and always come out on top. He's never faced one as popular as Evansville Sheriff Brad Ellsworth. A poll taken a few months back showed Ellsworth slightly ahead.
Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-PA). Gerlach has won two elections by 51% to 49% in a district that was specifically designed to elect him. Wealthy Lois Murphy is running again in a more favorable political climate.
Rep. Rob Simmons (R-CT). Simmons has won two difficult reelections in a district that usually votes for Democrats. Ex-state Rep. Joe Courtney is running again. But Simmons has made no mistakes, so Courtney's chances hinge on a major Democrat victory, something which is not guaranteed.
Rep. Heather Wilson (R-NM). The first female veteran to serve in Congress, Wilson represents a very marginal district. She has won by increasing margins over the years, but faces her toughest opponent yet in state Attorney General Patricia Madrid. Anything can happen.
Rep. Christopher Shays (R-CT). RINO Shays was nearly defeated by Westport Mayor Diane Farrell last time, and she's back for a rematch. The disctrict is trending to the left politically, and while Shays is liberal on domestic issues, his strong support for Bush's foreign policy has angered the moonbat left, which is a presence in this area.
Rep. Mike Sodrel (R-IN). In 2004, the wealthy Sordel very narrowly unseated Democrat Baron Hill. Hill is seeking to make a comeback. But Hill had the advantages of incumbency last time, and won't this year.
Rep. Clay Shaw (R-FL). Longtime Congressman Shaw has a following here going back to his days as Mayor of Fort Lauderdale. He remains personally popular but his district is Democrat and becoming more so. State Senate Minority Leader Robert Klein is heavily funded.
Rep. Melissa Bean (D-IL). Bean made national news in 2004 when she ousted a jaded, over-complacent incumbent. She is a top GOP target and will face a tough race against the winner of a crowded priamry.
Shays wouldn't break my heart.
I would think Jim Mathews a Dem from Georgia would be on the list.
Naturally a Democratic strategist is not going to call attention to vulnerable Democrats...I'm surprised he included even one, but maybe felt he had to or else it would be captioned "the ten most vulnerable Republican incumbents."
This is idiotic. The world and the country is better under Republican leadership, I know I am. The economy is growing, employment is up and terrorism is under control.
There is noting to this survey, everyone knows how much better things are now.
I would think Spratt in SC would be on the list... just to balance things out a bit with one more Democrat.
Shays, Shaw, and Simmons have been on the endangered list since they were first elected. I remember when Gwen Margolis was going to "trounce" Clay Shaw in 1992. He's still there and Gwen Margolis is merely another upset Jewish mother with a gay son. ;-)
Hey stuie try this: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1567820/posts
Here's 25 reaswons why you don't know your ash from your elbow!
Ney, Delay, and Gerlach will lose, I predict. Simmons and Shays are tossups, but if I had to guess, will lose. I doubt Wilson will lose, but maybe. Shaw and Sodrel I doubt will lose. I don't have a clue about Bean and Hostettler, particularly the latter. Marshall of Georgia should be on the list for the Dems. It is a tossup.
Some other Pubbie incumbents are in trouble, but some other time.
He did not seemed too concerned about the prospects of the Republican losing the House or Senate.
I would take his view long before anyone else's out there.
The man is a walking encyclopedia of elections.
Anyone that voted for CAFTA should be in dire straits.