Ney, Delay, and Gerlach will lose, I predict. Simmons and Shays are tossups, but if I had to guess, will lose. I doubt Wilson will lose, but maybe. Shaw and Sodrel I doubt will lose. I don't have a clue about Bean and Hostettler, particularly the latter. Marshall of Georgia should be on the list for the Dems. It is a tossup.
Some other Pubbie incumbents are in trouble, but some other time.
FWIW I think Wilson is history and that Simmons will more likely eke it out. Otherwise we are in agreement.
PS. I would put Marshall on the list in place of Shaw.