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El Baradei: Iran only months away from a bomb
Jerusalem Post ^ | Dec. 5, 2005 | JP

Posted on 12/04/2005 10:52:47 PM PST by FairOpinion

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Comment #41 Removed by Moderator

To: All
ON THE NET...

FreeRepublic.com - Keyword: "IRAN" (Read More...)

MEMRI.org: "IRAN" (Read More...)

FOX NEWS.com (AP): Moscow - "RUSSIA AGREES TO $1 BILLION ARMS DEAL WITH IRAN" (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "Russia has agreed to sell more than $1 billion worth of missiles and other defense systems to Iran, Russian news media reported Friday, a move expected to draw a heated reaction from the United States." (December 2, 2005) (Read More...)
A Discussion on FREEREPUBLIC.com regarding a NOVEMBER 28, 2005 COMPASS article: "IRAN'S PRESIDENT: 'I WILL STOP CHRISTIANITY IN THIS COUNTRY' Secret police crackdown results in the torture of 10 other Christians" (November 30, 2005) (Read More...)
News.BBC.co.uk: "IRAQI BOMB KNOW-HOW 'FROM IRAN'" (November 4, 2005) (Read More...)

INTERNET-HAGANAH.US: "GREAT MOMENTS IN IRANIAN TECHNOLOGY TRANSFERS..." (October 30, 2005) (Read More...)

JIHAD WATCH.org (ASIA TIMES): "Ahmadinejad off the deep end: 'I say accomplishment of a world without America and Israel is both possible and feasible'" (October 27, 2005) (Read More...)
WASHINGTON TIMES.com: Ramallah, West Bank - "IRAN LEADER PREDICTS ISRAEL'S DEMISE" by Joshua Mitnick (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad yesterday predicted a wave of Palestinian attacks that would erase Israel "from the face of the Islamic world," just hours before a suicide bomber killed five Israelis in a marketplace.") (October 27, 2005) (Read More...)
JIHAD WATCH.org (IRAN FOCUS): "SEEKING MARTYRDOM? Apply here." (November 15, 2005) (Read More...)

MEMRI.org - Special Dispatch Series - No. 1018: "IRANIAN ANIMATED FILM FOR CHILDREN PROMOTES SUICIDE ATTACKS" (SNIPPET: "The following are excerpts from an Iranian animated movie for children, which aired on IRIB 3 TV on October 28, 2005, at 8 a.m. Iran time. To view this clip visit: http://memritv.org/search.asp?ACT=S9&P1=906 ") (November 3, 2005) (Read More...)
OnlineJihad.Blogspot.com: - Translating and Analyzing Jihadist Propaganda: "TEEN SUICIDE BOMBER - NATIONAL SYMBOL OF IRAN" (October 24, 2005) (Read More...)

MEMRI.org - Special Dispatch Series - No. 929: "Al-Arabiya TV Report: Iranian Volunteer Suicide Bomber Organization of 40,000 'Time Bombs; Recruited to Target Americans in Iraq and Israel" (July 6, 2005) (Read More...)
MEMRI TV.org - Transcript - Clip No. 736: "ON THE IRANIAN MOVEMENT OF 'MARTYRDOM SEEKERS'" (ARTICLE SNIPPET: "TRANSCRIPT SNIPPET: "The following are excerpts from a report about the movement of "martyrdom seekers" in Iran. Al-Arabiya TV aired this report on July 2, 2005.) (Read More...)

42 posted on 12/04/2005 11:59:16 PM PST by Cindy
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To: FairOpinion; All
On DRUDGE at the Top LARGE HEADLINE
43 posted on 12/05/2005 12:02:54 AM PST by Anti-Bubba182
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To: farlander
Israel's military could defeat all the neighboring Arab countries combined in an all out war

Iran neither neighbors Israel, nor is Arab. They have a considerable military capability. By temperament, they are also not skulking cowards, unlike the Arabs.

If Israel intends to take out Iran's nuclear capabilities, they would have to fly over Jordanian, Syrian, Turkish, and/or Saudi airspace. The Turks and Saudis are well armed and would make it a chancy proposition. They could probably shoot their way through Jordan or Syria, but then they'd have to fly through American-controlled Iraqi airspace. I believe we would shoot them down if they tried that.

Maybe they intend to use ballistic missiles, but unless they are nuclear armed, they will have no more effect on Iran's hardened underground facilities than a flyswatter. I don't think it is the interest of Israel or anyone else in the West to start a nuclear exchange.

This is a knotty problem indeed. We may find the Iranian bomb a reality any day now.

The best option is probably for Israel to engage in serious civil defense work. The mullah's bombs are likely to be few in number and not very powerful. Radioactive contamination is a temporary problem; Hiroshima and Nagasaki are habitable, and Israel would be in time, even with her small size.

If Iran attacks with nuclear weapons, then I would support an overwhelming combined American/Israeli Samson option that would reduce all of Iran to the Stone Age, sparing only the oil fields, and occupying them. Teach the mullahs a very bitter lesson, and make a crystal clear example of them to the rest of the Muslim world. If any other Muslim nation then attacked Israel, I would advocate the same treatment for them.

-ccm

44 posted on 12/05/2005 12:06:48 AM PST by ccmay
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To: Dont_Tread_On_Me_888
Russia will sell Iran a bunch of nukes

I have read that weapons-grade radioactive materials have a particular signature that varies by location of origin, and that is a fairly trivial task to identify where an atomic weapon came from.

45 posted on 12/05/2005 12:09:19 AM PST by ccmay
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To: Anti-Bubba182

Yeah, and to think we could have spent the past 4 years preparing for this scenario, in a virtual environment that would have cost billions less! (Thousands, if we're talking about lives!)

I guess it doesn't matter to me if you silence my voice, but I like to hop over here every so often to see what's going on. I really hope people understand the position we're in now.

Happy Christmas,
- Concerned Voter


46 posted on 12/05/2005 12:09:28 AM PST by RedINBlueMA
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To: highlander_UW; PhilDragoo
We can even narrow that down. Russia and France will veto any effort to sanction Iran. Russia just sold them an air defense system...wonder how long it'll take to have it installed. I bet that the threats of veto will last at least that long.

Spot on....Nuclear shell game,

Free bottle of Vodka and Cosco[China]percent off shipping voucher at the door.

It was only a short while ago that Russia was on its knee's staring at its vomit,
and now they have B.P.developing thier oil/gas and bidding on the paper oil fields Moscow slides accross the table to them.

The other day...and I hope its bogus...it reveals that the Kurds are allready signing pipeline futures from Kirkuk to Iranian Terminals in the gulf.

So ya...you turn around for a sec and Chavez is in a room with grinning Chi coms and the Kurds are saying we know its 3 State solution.

47 posted on 12/05/2005 12:11:13 AM PST by Light Speed
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To: Southack

"The Story of Hiroshima, a Tale of Two Bombs"

"The Little Boy type of bomb, which was dropped on Hiroshima, had a much simpler design than the Fat Man model that had been tested at Trinity. Little Boy triggered a nuclear explosion, rather than implosion, by firing one piece of uranium 235 into another. When enough U235 is brought together, the resulting fission chain reaction can produce a nuclear explosion. But the critical mass must be assembled very rapidly; otherwise, the heat released at the start of the reaction will blow the fuel apart before most of it is consumed. To prevent this inefficient pre-detonation, the uranium bomb uses a gun to fire one piece of U235 down the barrel into another. The bomb's gun-barrel shape was believed to be unquestionably reliable and had never been tested. In fact, testing was out of the question since producing Little Boy had used all of the purified U235 produced to date; therefore, no other bomb like it has ever been built.

"Detonated by a mechanism that resembled a cannon, Little Boy had a muzzle or target that was a hollowed-out subcritical mass of uranium. The cannon ball was another subcritical mass of uranium, which fit perfectly into the hollow of the target as a plug. The plug was propelled down the cannon barrel by several thousand pounds of high explosive. When it hit, the combination of compression and increased mass pushed the uranium to the supercritical level and the bomb went off."

http://www.atomicarchive.com/History/twocities/hiroshima/page2.shtml

The moral of the story: give terrorists enough U-235 for a bomb, and they can smuggle it into a target city, and build a Hiroshima-type "gun bomb" in situ.

"The bomb's gun-barrel shape was believed to be unquestionably reliable and had never been tested."

The Hiroshima bomb type had not even been tested, because it was considered to be 100% certain to detonate!!

48 posted on 12/05/2005 12:20:19 AM PST by Travis McGee
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To: FairOpinion

Time for the US and Israel to hunker down and waste those plants in Iran.

And screw the eurotrash who will surely scream and moan about it.


49 posted on 12/05/2005 12:33:11 AM PST by Prince Charles
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To: Travis McGee
"The Hiroshima bomb type had not even been tested, because it was considered to be 100% certain to detonate!!"

The U.S. knew all of the physics behind atomic weapons...everyone else...everyone...merely works from copies, often stolen, of what we did.

In general, that means that most players do not understand all of the physics involved.

The U.S. can get away without testing something like Little Boy...the rest of the world can't be so certain.

And what is put out for public consumption about gun type weapons is woefully oversimplified.

50 posted on 12/05/2005 12:47:50 AM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: FairOpinion
U.S. and Islam

"What Fellowship hath Light with Darkness"?

51 posted on 12/05/2005 12:53:06 AM PST by Light Speed
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To: Southack

Translation of what you said:
"The towel heads are too damned stupid to figure out in 2005 what we figured out in 1945."
Such hubris!!


52 posted on 12/05/2005 12:56:28 AM PST by Travis McGee
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To: FEARED MUTATION

Welcome?


53 posted on 12/05/2005 12:59:40 AM PST by endthematrix (Those who despise freedom and progress have condemned themselves to isolation, decline, and collapse)
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To: Travis McGee
""The towel heads are too damned stupid to figure out in 2005 what we figured out in 1945." Such hubris!!"

No. They are going to need to do a nuclear test, something that we didn't have to do because we fundamentally understood all of the physics from top to bottom.

Also, what I said means that they will be able to test in less than 2 years (if they are unhindered by outside parties such as us or Israel, which is doubtful). How much less is up for debate.

But what I said also means that they *won't* be able to test an atomic device in the next 6 months. So basically I've outlined a window for their capabilities, neither overhyping nor underhyping what they can do.

54 posted on 12/05/2005 1:18:13 AM PST by Southack (Media Bias means that Castro won't be punished for Cuban war crimes against Black Angolans in Africa)
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To: FairOpinion

Hasn't the administration noted that they will not allow Iran to go nulear...ever?


55 posted on 12/05/2005 1:32:18 AM PST by hford02 (Car for sale - driven even less than New Orlean's city bus)
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To: FairOpinion
On the other hand, he warned, any attempt to resolve the crisis by non-diplomatic means would "open a Pandora's box.


Why is it that every time we have to use military force against the Middle East barbarians, people from the Middle East like ElBaradei are full of "gates of Hell opening" and "Pandora's box" talk?

How come Iran being allowed to build an atomic bomb is not discussed by these people as "gates of Hell opening" and "Pandora's box"?

It must be that they are RACISTS who never see danger of western people facing mass slaughter. But when we are forced to drop some bombs to DEFEND our LIVES and FAMILIES from the terrorist beasts of the Middle East, then literally all Hell is supposed to break out.

I want that dangerous ElBaradei racists jerk out of the UN, NOW!!!
56 posted on 12/05/2005 1:34:00 AM PST by Berlin_Freeper (ETERNAL SHAME on the treasonous Democrats!)
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To: Southack

You forget the Pakistanis have tested their bombs, and the Iranians got the design from the chief Pakistani scientist. So it has been tested already.


57 posted on 12/05/2005 1:49:06 AM PST by Hugin
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To: FairOpinion
"...it will take it only several months to produce a bomb," ElBaradei told The Independent, according to Army Radio.

It will take less than that for Israel to launch strikes on Iran if they don't stop this nonsense.
58 posted on 12/05/2005 1:53:23 AM PST by advance_copy (Stand for life, or nothing at all)
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To: FairOpinion
"El Baradei: Iran only months away from a bomb"

They might be getting one a whole lot sooner than that via air mail, special delivery

59 posted on 12/05/2005 2:04:39 AM PST by muir_redwoods (Free Sirhan Sirhan, after all, the bastard who killed Mary Jo Kopechne is walking around free)
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To: FairOpinion

BTTT !


60 posted on 12/05/2005 2:04:40 AM PST by Las Vegas Dave ("Liberals out of power are comical-Liberals in power are dangerous!"-Rush Limbaugh.)
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