I use one of these on my gas grill side burner. You just have to make enough to share with the neighbors downwind. : )
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Posted on 10/18/2005 7:40:22 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane Wilma has formed in the NW Caribbean Sea. The NHC forecast indicates she will emerge into the Gulf of Mexico as a major Category Three storm. Current forecase models indicate a Florida peninsula landfall.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 0500, 0800, 1100 etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 0500, 1100, 1700, 2300 ET
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Wilma Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data SE Florida
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Florida
Images:
Storm Floater IR Loop
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop
Florida Radar/Sat Loop Caution: Broadband users only
Extra Large Miami Radar Broadband only
Extra Large Key West Radar Broadband only
Miami Long Range Radar Loop
Key West Long Range Radar Loop
Miami Experimental Radar Still Image
Key West Experimental Radar Still Image
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Thanks, Ian .. didja see the Accuweather guy on FNC? He's SO certain this is going to FL and on up the coast, possibly bringing a severe rain event once again to New England .. even rather boastful, I thought. I believe he said it'll be a 4-6 hour event when it hits. Prayers for safety for all in her path .. she needs to leave some pebbles untouched .. it's enough already.
ever have cobbler made in a dutch oven... that's the best. have not cooked with a dutch oven since my boy scout days
Hey, BTW, have you had a flu like cold since Rita? Tired and congested?
11 pm update is out....no change in forecast track.
...Wilma weakens slightly to a category four hurricane...could re-intensify on Thursday...
at 10 PM CDT...0300z...the government of Mexico has extended the Hurricane Warning southward along the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula to Punta Allen. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect from San Felipe to Punta Allen on the Yucatan Peninsula...including Cozumel and the nearby islands. A Hurricane Warning is also in effect for Swan Island.
At 10 PM CDT...the government of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the northern and western coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula west of San Felipe to celestun. A Hurricane Watch also remains in effect for the East Coast of the Yucatan Peninsula from south of Punta Allen to Punta gruesa.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect from south of Punta Allen to Chetumal Mexico...and for Belize from the border with Mexico southward to Belize City.
At 11 PM EDT...the government of Cuba has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for the provinces of la Habana...Ciudad de la Habana... Pinar del Rio...and the Isle of Youth. A Hurricane Watch also remains in effect in Cuba for the provinces of Matanzas westward through Pinar del Rio...and for the Isle of Youth.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Honduras from the Honduras/Nicaragua border westward to Cabo camaron.
All interests in the Florida Keys and the Florida Peninsula should closely monitor the progress of extremely dangerous Hurricane Wilma.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.
At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Wilma was located near latitude 18.1 north...longitude 84.3 west or about 235 miles... 380 km...southeast of Cozumel Mexico.
Wilma is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr... with some wobbles of the eye. A turn toward the northwest is expected on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 155 mph...250 km/hr...with higher gusts. Wilma is a category four hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale. Fluctuations in intensity are common in hurricanes of this intensity...and are likely during the next 24 hours. Wilma could regain category five intensity on Thursday.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 km... from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 230 miles...370 km. NOAA buoy 42056 recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph... 79 km/hr...with a gust to 56 mph... 90 km/hr.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 894 mb...26.40 inches.
If the center of Wilma makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula... coastal storm surge flooding of 7-10 feet above normal tide levels...along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the north of the center.
Wilma is expected to produce storm total rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches across portions of western Cuba and the Yucatan Peninsula...with local amounts near 25 inches particularly in mountainous terrain across Cuba through Friday. Additional rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches...with local amounts up to 8 inches...are possible across the Cayman Islands...Swan Island...and the northern portions of Honduras through Thursday.
Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...18.1 N... 84.3 W. Movement toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...155 mph. Minimum central pressure... 894 mb.
An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.
Forecaster Beven
And this is the strangest bitch I've ever seen.
So I didn't miss much after a pizza and a 4-4 not-quite-split in cribbage (my dad and I got skunked once)?
Okay, I got this question........see if you can folllow my logic here and understand the gist of my quandry.
Say a Cat 3 is barreling towards Florida and conditions are so unfavorable that it knocks it from a Cat 3 to a Cat 1 before it strikes land......And now take a very strong Cat 5 storm and it follows the same exact path as the Cat 3 in my example and faces the exact identical conditions......Would that CAT 5 then diminish to a Cat 1 as well or would it hold up better and only diminish to a Cat 3 or 2?
Heads up, Fort Myers. Jungle Jim Cantore's headed your way.
I suggest you heed this warning. This is not the time or place for your little flamewar. Thanks.
I chuckled at Neal Boortz's comment today concerning Wilma, when he said "at least if it hits Naples there's no d*mn problem evacuating the poor".
Fantasy...?
Not funny. I have many relatives in Cuba, and they don't support Castro. One of my nephews drowned a few years ago trying to get to Florida. One of my nieces, a 16 year old, just made it a few days ago.
I got two at Target. Now they are in a pack of 12 or 15 at Sam's for under $20.
Yes, the lattes are in the coffee aisle.
No, I haven't been ill since Rita, but there's something nasty going around my daughter's school. The kids keep getting nauseous and they seem to keep reinfecting each other. When I get a call from my daughter's teacher to come pick her up, there are several of her classmates either waiting to be sent home or kneeling over trash cans. Before the outbreak, she had perfect attendance, but she's missed three days so far this month. Our schools were closed for quite some time after Rita, with spoiled food cited as one of the reasons -- hmm...I wonder??
Yup. was just going to post that. Cantore's on his way probably , of course, to "Ft. Myers beach". The Cape gets the bare-mention every time, lol. Representing CAPE CORAL here, not Ft. Myers, not Naples, not Sarasota, guess I'm the only one-though I haven't checked every post. Have been here since this thread started, I am ALWAYS on FR, every day for over 4 yrs. Many prayers going out to all! (wink) Even us here in Cape Coral!! ;)
There have been several strange storms this season, but this one is confounding most everyone.
Bad news for Fort Myers.
PS: And my biggest laugh of the day came from a guy on the local radio who said, "If Whoraldo or that bald guy from the weater channel shows up here, I'm leaving town right away!: LOL!!
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