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Posted on 08/29/2005 2:47:45 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Category 4 Hurricane Katrina is approaching landfall in Eastern Louisiana. At 4:00AM EDT the storm's center was about 90 miles south of New Orleans.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Lake Ponchartrain Real Time Water Level
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
Cut and Paste:
http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_khou&props=livenoad
Fully-linked version of the live feeds (just in case a few people don't want to first open up WMP to cut-and-paste) -
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/
1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT
Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast
.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518 WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans via WESH-TV/DT Orlando - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38843.asx
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VII
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part VI
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part V
Hurricane Katrina, Live Thread, Part IV
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
St. Bernard Parish spokesman Larry Ingargiola says the parish's two shelters at Chalmette High and St. Bernard High are suffering major damage. He said Chalmette High shelter is losing its roof, and St. Bernard High has plenty of broken windows and glass. He estimates 300-plus refugees at the two sites. Entergy says 317,000 customers were without power as of 6 a.m. Cleco reported 40,000 without power in St. Tammany Parish. Air conditioning out at Louisiana Superdome due to power outages. St. Bernard Parish officials say most of the parish has no power.
winds will turn more north soon..we will find out if the surge will come over the levee off the lake or not
ABC reporting that power has failed at the SuperDome and they have switched to generator - which is powering the lights but not the AC system.
From where did you hear that about the Hyatt? I've got a trip to New Orleans scheduled in a little over the month and our host hotel is the Hyatt New Orleans.
Seems that these surges are almost always predicted to be higher that they are. Guess to get people to get out of the way.
The most likely weak link for a catastrophic breach is actually the west side levee, which is the lowest at 10'. Because the topside winds have been blowing to the west and then southwest before eventually coming out of the north, all that water blown in the lake are first pushed towards the spillway to the SW of the lake, and the first danger is that builds up so much as to overtop the west side. Now as the eye moves even to the city on the east side, the worst danger area expands to the city's north shore, as the winds max and shift to coming straight out of the north.
Also people may not realize that there are levees separating the main area of NO and the city's northeast side, the closest side to the eye. So it is possible that one could see catastrophic flooding while the other does not. Time will tell.
Levy Breach!
BUmp
Nita, the posting yesterday about the structure of the Superdome roof, and our concerns seem to be valid, unfortunately...
for the rest of you, try to go back and find nita's post about how the outside walls of the Superdome is essentially hanging from the roof... if the roof goes, what the heck is going to happen to the walls.
They have to get those poor people near the concession stands, and how I hope those are above the flood levels....
Fox reports that the ripped roof is a membrane type lining - that the roof structure itself is ok
.. A LEVEE BREACH OCCURRED ALONG THE INDUSTRIAL CANAL AT TENNESSE STREET. 3 TO 8 FEET OF WATER IS EXPECTED DUE TO THE BREACH...LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ARABI AND 9TH WARD OF NEW ORLEANS.
MSNBC is demonstrating the height of the storm surge now. Clever.
It's like a circus. ON MSNBC they have a guy on a platform showing storn surges from famous hurricanes.
Might want to come up with a plan B ... hotels in Melbourne Fla haven't been rebuilt yet from last year's storms. Recent article talking about $65M revenue (govt rake-off) shortfall. There will be some major rebuilding going on in the Big Easy.
Oh that's good news that you are safe. You sure sounded like you were right there.
Thanks for the info though.
Well remember that the storm surge will not be an even height because of the variation in the conditions that drive it. So it might reach 20' at one point and 15' a mile away.
Source?
Someone posted an engineering report on the construction of the Superdome yesterday. Most of the structural integrity comes from the roof. That the walls are pushing outward and the roof holds them in place.
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