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Posted on 08/28/2005 2:38:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Extremely dangerous Hurricane Katrina is bearing down on the North Central Gulf of Mexico and New Orleans metro area. Thousands of people did not evacuate New Orleans. Outer bands of Katrina are reaching the Louisiana coast.
Due to the size and intensity of this storm, all interests in the North Gulf of Mexico should be in their safe locations.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
WKRG-TV/DT Mobile (WMP) - mms://wmbcast.mgeneral.speedera.net/wmbcast.mgeneral/wmbcast_mgeneral_aug262005_1435_95518
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
I thought the same thing. First I thought it would be smart to get up high, then it dawned on me that who knows if that roof will hold? Maybe you're better off in the middle.
"Don't forget there are alot of people in remote bayous - but in looking at the latest radar, it seems likes its
going to hit well west of NO"
Current course has it pointing between Lake Charles and DeRidder, but the models all show a curve to due north over the next twelve hours.
The 1600 discussion has it crossing the intersection of I-10 and highway 11, essentially the south end of the I-10 bridge.
Many prayers and good thoughts to those directly in Katrinas path. Stay safe!
That stinkin' mayor said last night that he wasn't sure he had the legal authority to evacuate the city.
This morning in his press conference, the woman who appeared after him admitted that the president called and pressed them to order a mandatory evacuation.
Can you imagine? I'll bet the guy would never have made the call to evac without the president calling. There is zero leadership in this thing. Zero.
Shep Smith is still hoping against hope.
LOL---OOOPSIE....one of my worst typos!!!
Shep Smith: "Where do you go now?"
Go to the lobby of the tallest building in town. Insist on or DEMAND transport to the top. Life will be a shitstorm for a few weeks, but life WILL go on.
Nagin also said they were searching everybody going in, and had confiscated quite a few interesting items people were trying to bring in. Didn't elaborate, but I surmise booze, weapons, etc.
Or, perhaps, swimming.
For the most part, I agree.
However, I think that Hurricane Katrina is the exception.
Well, thank goodness for the National Guard.
We're all scared, but in times of disaster and terror we need cool heads. Frankly, I'm a little concerned about the response of the American people if/when we get hit with a major terror attack. If that happens, I want you on my team. :>) TMG (fellow Texan)
What mayor can do that!!!
..call ALCore I know he thinks he can
Doogle
Accuweather has it hitting 14-30 miles East of NO, thats positively the worst of all possible worlds. God Bless all in its path.
Keep praying this storm unravels somewhat before landfall.
The mayor seems incredibly subdued to me. Either he is on antidepressants or he is one incredibly cool customer.
They switched to the Superdome and interviewed a National Guard major. he seemed very upbeat and calm. He didn't appear nervous at all.
On another note, I just got a laptop yesterday & it's totally different typing on than the pc...... I'm struggling.........
I think Shep had a drink in his hand on that last report!
One which we appreciate on fast moving threads I assure you.
My husband is an architect (MIT trained), and not an engineer.
He is worried about the force of the wind lifting off the roof. He made me do a google search to see exactly what the construction of the roof was... (reinforced concrete).
He says that the shape of the roof makes it function much like an airplane wing, and that the wind will tend to "lift" it. He believes that the weak point will be the bolts holding the roof to the walls. Even if it doesn't come off, if it vibrates under the stresses, some of the panels might come loose and fall in, but without drawings of the structural details, he can't state anything definitively
Engineers, he says, try to balance very carefully the cost of the safety against the probablilies... a lot depends on where that fine line is drawn in this case. Then, he says, a lot of what the engineers have designed safety-wise will be for naught if the contractors cheat or cut costs.
There are too many factors in play to feel confident that the Superdome is safe, and we will be praying throughout the storm for the people taking shelter there.
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