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Posted on 08/27/2005 8:05:55 PM PDT by NautiNurse
Hurricane warnings and watches are posted. Hurricane Katrina continues to strengthen in the Gulf of Mexico. The forecast models continue to converge upon New Orleans. However, all interests in the northern Gulf of Mexico should follow the path of this very large and dangerous storm, and be prepared for a major hurricane landfall. There have been reports of coastal animals leaving in droves for higher ground. Meanwhile, New Orleans continues to suggest that residents evacuate.
The following links are self-updating:
Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Bouy Data Louisiana/Mississippi
Buoy Data Florida
Images:
New Orleans/Baton Rouge Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait
Ft. Polk, LA Long Range Radar Loop
Northwest Florida Long Range Radar
Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop
Other Resources:
Hurricane Wind Risk Very informative tables showing inland wind potential by hurricane strength and forward motion
Central Florida Hurricane Center
New Orleans Web Cams Loads of web cam sites here. The sites have been very slow due to high traffic
New Orleans Music Online Couldn't resist--love that jazz
Golden Triangle Weather Page Nice Beaumont weather site with lots of tracks and graphics
Hurricane City
Crown Weather Tropical Website Offers a variety of storm info, with some nice track graphics
Live streaming:
copy/paste into player:
WWL-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_wwltv
WVTM-TV/DT Birmingham (WMP) - mms://a1256.l1289835255.c12898.g.lm.akamaistream.net/D/1256/12898/v0001/reflector:35255
WDSU-TV/DT New Orleans (WMP) - http://mfile.akamai.com/12912/live/reflector:38202.asx
Hurricane City (Real Player) - http://hurricanecity.com/live.ram
ABCNews Now (Real Player) - http://reallive.stream.aol.com/ramgen/redundant/abc/now_hi.rm
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III
Katrina Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm 12
| Category | Wind Speed | Barometric Pressure | Storm Surge | Damage Potential |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Depression |
< 39 mph < 34 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Tropical Storm |
39 - 73 mph 34 - 63 kts |
Minimal | ||
| Hurricane 1 (Weak) |
74 - 95 mph 64 - 82 kts |
28.94" or more 980.02 mb or more |
4.0' - 5.0' 1.2 m - 1.5 m |
Minimal damage to vegetation |
| Hurricane 2 (Moderate) |
96 - 110 mph 83 - 95 kts |
28.50" - 28.93" 965.12 mb - 979.68 mb |
6.0' - 8.0' 1.8 m - 2.4 m |
Moderate damage to houses |
| Hurricane 3 (Strong) |
111 - 130 mph 96 - 112 kts |
27.91" - 28.49" 945.14 mb - 964.78 mb |
9.0' - 12.0' 2.7 m - 3.7 m |
Extensive damage to small buildings |
| Hurricane 4 (Very strong) |
131 - 155 mph 113 - 135 kts |
27.17" - 27.90" 920.08 mb - 944.80 mb |
13.0' - 18.0' 3.9 m - 5.5 m |
Extreme structural damage |
| Hurricane 5 (Devastating) |
Greater than 155 mph Greater than 135 kts |
Less than 27.17" Less than 920.08 mb |
Greater than 18.0' Greater than 5.5m |
Catastrophic building failures possible |
Thoughts and prayers to everyone in the path.
The American Red Cross out of Norman has always handled disasters like this and did it very well. We have been one of the staging areas for disasters since I moved here -- they do an excellent job and my understanding people are already standing by to go help. Only Red Cross that I have complete support and faith in for all they did during the Oklahoma tornado in Moore.
People of Oklahoma are huge givers and will fill semi-trucks going to the area after this hits along with our electrical crews that are on standby and helped restore service in Florida last year.
After all that America did for OKC after the Bombing and the Moore tornado, we want to help out wherever we can and you folks in LA will be receiving a lot from Oklahomans.
Our prayers and thoughts are with you this morning.
It was reported that in some places, those levees have settled to 13 feet.
Normally, I think I'd be the same way. But I've spent countless evenings researching everything I could about a major hurricane hitting New Orleans. It was just an interesting exercise in understanding the power of these storms and our own vulnerabilities.
It was also interesting to see the effort put into modeling these storms. LSU has done some outstanding work.
Anyway, I not only believe the current predictions but realize that it could be even worse than I imagined. Most of those models envisioned a Cat 3 or Cat 4 storm.
Probably bears repeating, this thread moves fast.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1472123/posts?page=1334#1334
Regarding the traffic shot CNN and Fox keep showing, where all those cars are at a near standstill in the left lane, that location appears to be on I-10 in New Orleans, just east of where cars can shift over to the reversed eastbound lanes. Because of how the contraflow is set up, you have to choose your ultimate destination there, as the reverse lanes are directed towards Baton Rouge where the freeway splits about 20 miles to the west. I-10 goes to Baton Rouge (and Lafayette, where the freeway again splits to Shreveport or Houston) while I-55 goes north to Jackson, Mississippi. It also appears that the transition cutover path from westbound to eastbound lanes is only 1 lane, hence the big backup in the left lane. Notice how the far right lanes are moving smoothly, because not as many people are trying to head north. Other reports have also noted how traffic is much lighter on I-55, and in fact the MS Emergency Center spokesman said that they were a bit surprised and disappointed at how few were heading north out of Louisiana.
I've been thru Andrew and two cat 5's overseas (Guam and Okinawa). We had CBS construction in all 3 and faired well.
Dr. Lyons just stated that the winds in Katrina are equal to those found in an F3 tornado. Tornadoes come and go in 60 to 90 seconds...hurricanes hang around for a few hours. Unbelievable.
State police number....
1-800-469-4828
I need to get away from the computer and start cooking Sunday dinner, but I can't get anything done for reading this thread. There were a lot of prayers offered up in our worship service and Sunday School class this morning for the folks in the path of this storm.
That Gov is a IDIOT
Some guy is on the phone on FNC
He didn't plan on leaving .. but he's changed his mind and is now heading out
And you know WHY it was finally ordered? (she was dumb enough to admit this on national tv) The president called the mayor of NO and told him- MANDATORY EVAC.
What I sense here is a major disconnect between the feds and the locals. Listening to the director of FEMA- he said they've been planning a NO disaster for years. I think he's referring to the FEDS planning...seems the locals are all a little dazed.
Dear lord.
Could just be me, but it looks like it's turning to the northeast. If it does, it might miss New Orleans. Mobile and Gulfport have a better change of getting evacuated because these are smaller towns. They're also not below sea level.
What has NO been doing for the past 30+ years?? Why was there no significant upgrade to the levee system?
The Gubmint: Always a day late and a dollar short...
Given the distance of the airport from the city, they might be better off using rail for the evac. I left NO by air when Andrew was headed their way and that was darn near impossible back then.
I agree, that is a good idea, FEMA could charter the airlines to start running flights out of there.
Someone is pulling your leg. Hurricanes don't cause earthquakes.
In a way, the people down in that area are fortunate, as they at least have a warning of whats coming.
Then again, these things seem to happen much more frequently nowadays, especially in places like Florida.
For some reason, I'm humming a Led Zeppelin song.
Seriously, though, I hope all FReepers down there are getting the hell out of dodge. This ain't no time to mess around.
I've got an elderly Uncle and Aunt in Laurel, MS. I'm worried about them, and they're relatively inland...relatively.
see #1938...we've been had....
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