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Scientists: Volcano Could Swamp U.S. with Mega-Tsunami
China Daily ^ | 3/29/2005 | Staff Writers

Posted on 03/29/2005 3:41:11 PM PST by ex-Texan

A wall of water up to 55 yards high crashing into the Atlantic seaboard of the United States, flattening everything in its path -- not a Hollywood movie but a dire prophecy by some British and U.S. academics.

As the international community struggles to aid victims of last month's devastating tsunami in southern Asia, scientists warn an eruption of a volcano in Spain's Canary Islands could unleash a "mega-tsunami" larger than any in recorded history.

Hammocks almost buried at the beach of Pajara district in Fuerteventura island (Canary Island), southern Spain. Countries all around the Atlantic rim could be hit by killer tsunamis at any time between now and the next 10,000 years, the British government's chief scientific adviser said.[AFP/file]

According to their controversial study, an explosion of the Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma could send a chunk of rock twice the size of the Isle of Wight into the Atlantic at up to 220 miles an hour.

Many experts believe the risk of "mega-tsunamis" from such a massive landslide on La Palma has been hugely overstated.

But in the study's scenario, energy released would equal the electricity consumption of the United States for six months, sending gigantic tidal waves across the Atlantic at the speed of a jet plane.

Devastation in the United States would reach trillions of dollars with tens of millions of lives at risk. Spain, Portugal, Britain, France, Brazil, the Caribbean and West Africa would also be swamped by giant waves.

"It may occur in the next eruption, which could be next year, or ... it may be 10 eruptions down the line," said Bill McGuire of Britain's Benfield Hazard Research Center.

Cumbre Vieja, which last exploded in 1971, typically erupts at intervals of between 20 and 200 years.

"We just don't know when it will happen, but are people prepared to take the risk after the Indian Ocean events?" McGuire said, calling for a program to monitor the slide in Cumbre Vieja's flank.

"We need to get people out in advance of the collapse itself. Once the collapse has happened, the Caribbean would have 9 hours, the U.S. 6 to 12 hours to evacuate tens of millions of people," he said.

SCAREMONGERING?

Other experts say such predictions about La Palma or the Hawaiian volcano of Kilauea are grossly exaggerated.

The Tsunami Society, an international association of experts, dismisses such theories as "scaremongering." It argues Cumbre Vieja would not collapse in a single block and the wave generated would be much smaller.

"We are talking about thousands of years in the future. Anything could happen. An asteroid could also fall on earth," George Pararas-Carayannis, founder of the Tsunami Society, said.

Many wave experts believe tsunami from abrupt landslides dissipate more quickly than those generated by powerful earthquakes, like the Dec. 26 quake off Indonesia which stretched thousands of miles along the ocean floor.

Charles Mader, editor of the Science of Tsunami Hazards journal and an expert on wave modeling, predicts that even in the event of a massive landslide on La Palma the tsunami reaching North America would be no more than 1 meter high.

But McGuire stands by the wave modeling for the La Palma tsunami, carried out by Steven Ward of the University of California.

As the world reels from the Indian Ocean disaster, which killed more than 150,000 people, oceanographers and geologists agree the threat of tsunamis has been underestimated.

"It would not surprise me at all if tomorrow we saw another tsunami like this," said Pararas-Carayannis, pointing to faults off Portugal, Puerto Rico and Peru as possible risks.

For McGuire, a warning system in the Indian Ocean could have completely prevented loss of life in Sri Lanka and India from south Asian tsunami, as in most cases people would only have had to travel 1 kilometer inland to avoid the waves.

He ranks tsunami risk as second only to global warming in the hazards facing the planet.

"With coastlines massively built up now, particularly in developing countries, tsunami are a big problem because, unlike earthquakes, they transmit death and destruction across entire oceans," he said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government
KEYWORDS: alaska; archaeology; bermudaevidence; california; callingartbell; canaryislands; cascadia; catastrophism; cumbrevieja; earthquake; ggg; godsgravesglyphs; hawaii; history; lapalma; megatsunami; megatsunamis; oregon; pacific; pugetsound; theendisnigh; tsunami; tsunamis; ustsunamithreat; volcano; washington
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To: ElkGroveDan

Thanks! I was looking all over for that photo but couldn't find it. :)


81 posted on 03/29/2005 5:04:12 PM PST by rdl6989
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To: rdl6989

I'll leave it up on my photobucket so feel free to bookmark it.


82 posted on 03/29/2005 5:21:45 PM PST by ElkGroveDan
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To: PeterFinn
"And if we used the material from the volcano to make the seawall we'd cover two bases with one solution that would only cost several trillion dollars."

The December tsunami deposited 40 milliom tons of titanium nodules on the coast of India. Some-one is gonna make some big money.

83 posted on 03/29/2005 5:22:51 PM PST by blam
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To: ElkGroveDan

Thank You.


84 posted on 03/29/2005 5:36:55 PM PST by rdl6989
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To: AntiGuv

Oh cmon, the robots will have gotten to us by 2050 at the latest. They're already making plans using BitTorrent.


85 posted on 03/29/2005 5:37:49 PM PST by Sender (Team Infidel USA)
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To: PeterFinn

We've got Halliburton....fear not.


86 posted on 03/29/2005 5:38:35 PM PST by politicalwit (Import Poverty...Hire an Illegal Alien)
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To: HarleyD
They said it would destroy the entire east coast for up to 12 miles inland. I'm looking for property 12.5 miles inland.

Hmmm, if this would include Washington D.C., then I'm going to need to see a cost/benefit analysis before I'm willing to be categorically bummed out about it.

87 posted on 03/29/2005 5:54:02 PM PST by Hank Rearden (Never allow anyone who could only get a government job attempt to tell you how to run your life.)
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Comment #88 Removed by Moderator

To: 76834

===I guess that would be one sure way to get the UN out of the US.===

What about Kennedy and Kerry; aren't their homes near the surf zone?


89 posted on 03/29/2005 5:57:43 PM PST by Loud Mime (Liberals want good things to happen - - - to the right people)
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To: itslex71
Crapola! We are about to close on an apartment on Shore Road in Bay Ridge, Brooklyn. Eeegads.

In the aftermath, this could be your view. LOL!


90 posted on 03/29/2005 6:24:46 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham (Florida: suppressio veri, suggestio falsi)
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To: blam
...it's still detectable in our genes.

How so?

PS: Agree, another Yellowstone eruption would make a 150 ft tidal wave on the east coast look welcome by comparison. I wonder how many Yellowstone tourists realize that they are camping in one of the largest volcanic craters on Earth!

91 posted on 03/29/2005 6:48:56 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham (Florida: suppressio veri, suggestio falsi)
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To: glock rocks

RE #71: And I thought I was having a bad day. LOL!


92 posted on 03/29/2005 6:50:55 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham (Florida: suppressio veri, suggestio falsi)
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To: ex-Texan
I've seen some one claiming they found coeds of mega volcanoes in US in the future, and next some mullah predicted a mega collapse of US in 2007 according to Koran, and this time some idiot came up with a prediction for mega tsunami. With all these mega barf alerts, I am now looking for a mega tin foil hat to wear.
93 posted on 03/29/2005 6:58:17 PM PST by Wiz
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To: ex-Texan

I'm going to start a company that makes tsunami survival pods.


94 posted on 03/29/2005 7:01:21 PM PST by TBall
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To: TBall

I'd like one with a smoking lounge and bar.


95 posted on 03/29/2005 7:03:29 PM PST by Mad_Tom_Rackham (Florida: suppressio veri, suggestio falsi)
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To: unkus

Linda Moulton Howe is also the woman who brought us cattle mutilation -- back in the Seventies she did a documentary (Strange Harvest, I think it was called) which turned ordinary dead cows into victims of the CIA Black Helicopter Oil Company Alien Satanists.

So take anything she says with about 8.2 megatons of salt.


96 posted on 03/29/2005 7:05:32 PM PST by Trimegistus
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To: Mad_Tom_Rackham

That will be more expensive and will cut total oxygen time by five minutes.


97 posted on 03/29/2005 7:05:48 PM PST by TBall
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To: Squantos
A little trouble at Lions Back ?

LOL. Yah, a touch... could use a hand here.

98 posted on 03/29/2005 7:06:08 PM PST by glock rocks (For the love of all that's good and decent, don't try this at home.)
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To: Mad_Tom_Rackham
"How so? "

It was contained in Professor Stephen Oppenheimer's excellent book, Out Of Eden. There was an explosion of human branches just after Toba and another lesser one after The Last Glacial Maximum(LGM).

BTW, he also explains why American Indians and some Europeans are the only ones who carry the "X" gene, Toba killed everyone in between and broke the link.

I've read two of his books and highly recommend both, Eden In The East and Out Of Eden.

"Professor Stephen Oppenheimer

Stephen Oppenheimer is a world-recognised expert in the synthesis of DNA studies with archaeological and other evidence to track ancient migrations. He is a member of Green College, Oxford University."

99 posted on 03/29/2005 7:10:26 PM PST by blam
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To: ex-Texan
Countries all around the Atlantic rim could be hit by killer tsunamis at any time between now and the next 10,000 years, the British government's chief scientific adviser said.

Wow, how the hell can I get gig like this? I'd be glad to take a lot of money to come up with a prognosis like this.

"Well boss, after three years and $500,000, I can tell you that your server will definitely crash sometime between now and the next 10,000 years. Have a nice life!"

100 posted on 03/29/2005 7:12:13 PM PST by cspackler (There are 10 kinds of people in this world, those who understand binary and those who don't.)
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