Posted on 10/29/2004 9:14:43 PM PDT by RWR8189
Rasmussen 3 day national tracking poll has Bush leading 49-47. This is unchanged from yesterday.
In Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages in 3 key states, the numbers are:
Florida, Bush 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)
Michigan, Kerry 50%-46% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday)
Minnesota, Bush 48%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)
Ohio, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)
Pennsylvania, Kerry 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)
Yeah, but he could have Edwards and Graham do Florida for him while he concentrated on O-P-M-W.
Never know, but you know they "have" something. McAuliffe will go out with a bang.
Kerry is a micro-management guy, he wouldn't trust them to handle FL.
Maybe he does micromanage, but I think Florida is much closer than the polls indicate. Did you see FNC today? They had reports from an early voting site in Florida and people had been waiting in line for up to two hours. And every person at that particular site was a minority and you know that the vast majority of them were voting for Kerry. The minority turnout in Florida is going to be quite high.
I haven't seen the MSM making a big deal about Fl. like they are about Ohio.
That would indicate to me that they have given up on it.
Also, exit polls (nation wide) have shown Bush winning by 15%.
Bush does quite well with the minority voter so the Latino voter could very well be voting for him.
It might be closer then I think, but FL is still going to go Bush as will Ohio.
If Kerry wanted "show" in Florida, he could have flown to Miami, held a quick, early morning rally to get on the news, and then gotten to O-P-W-I-M. Spending the entire day in Florida was far more than show. I would, however, be happy to be proven wrong.
If FL. is seen as lost, then it is generally acknowleged his campaign is lost.
So, Kerry must give a strong appearence that he thinks FL is winnable hence, his presence there.
Kerry has his finger in a dike right now, his own states are starting to move toward Bush and any depression of the vote in those states will be an electorial diaster for Kerry.
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