Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/29

Rasmussen Reports ^ | October 29, 2004

[RWR8189]

Rasmussen 3 day national tracking poll has Bush leading 49-47. This is unchanged from yesterday.

In Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages in 3 key states, the numbers are:

Florida, Bush 49%-46% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Michigan, Kerry 50%-46% (This is a 2 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Minnesota, Bush 48%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

Ohio, Bush 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Kerry gain from yesterday)

Pennsylvania, Kerry 49%-47% (This is a 1 point Bush gain from yesterday)

[RWR8189]

Past days:

Rasmussen Battleground polls for 10/28

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/27

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/26

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/25

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/24

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/22

Rasmussen's 7 day rolling averages for 5 key battleground states 

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/20

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/17

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/16

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/14

Rasmussen Battleground Polls Update (10/13)

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/12

Rasmussen Battleground polls - updated 10/9

Rasmussen Battleground Polls for 10/8

 

And archived under keyword thanksDUmmies.

[RWR8189]

ping

[DixieOklahoma]

That looks like great news!

Also, this is before the OBL case has fully set in with the public. once people realize that these guys mean to kill them and their kids. they will think twice about voting for kerry.

D.O.

[fortheDeclaration]

Key states Fl and Ohio look good, everything else is gravy.

[bushisdamanin04]

These polls are driving me nuts. I hope Ohio is correct (Dan Bartlett guaranteed Bush will win Ohio), but other polls have Kerry opening a sizable lead there. Someone is pretty darn wrong.

[bluefish]

I'd be happier if there wasn't Kerry momentum in these key states. Of course, with MOE, I don't know if a 1 or 2 pnt Kerry gain is even momentum. Can any more savvy poll watchers comment?

[okstate]

Rasmussen tracking gets better for Bush, and Zogby gets worse. Then Kerry gains in Rasmussen and Zogby gives Bush a big lead in the swing states.

I honestly think Rasmussen randomly types in the numbers 47, 48, or 49 for each candidate and passes them off as polls. Same for Zogby.

[Darkwolf377]

"...this is before the OBL case has fully set in with the public."

Pardon me for using THE campaign cliche of the year (you just know Tim Russert will say it at least once Tuesday night), but the ammo story, it's being refuted convincingly, and UBL's reappearance and Kerry's snarky response to it really have set up a Perfect Storm situation.

How? Because it sets up all of Bush's strengths--his willingness to wage the war on terror; his respect for our troops; his solid stand for what he believes is right; his knowledge of what's really going on in the world--and all of Kerry's weaknesses--his jumping from topic to topic looking for anything that will win him votes; his assinine kneejerk habit of smearing Bush at every opportunity; his willingness to slam soldiers in the field for his own political gain.

All of that just kind of mixes together in your head and and you realize you can't trust him with the greatest military on Earth. And you vote Bush.

[bushisdamanin04]

The "conventional wisdom" is that Bush has Florida, but Kerry keeps spending time there, including all day today and another visit this weekend. I'd love to see his internals.

[bushisdamanin04]

Agreed. I think that both the explosives story and the OBL tape help Bush. Hopefully CBS's two failed attempts at sinking Bush will insulate Bush from whatever tricks McAuliffe and Frank Rich have in store for him this weekend.

[Porterville]

You know, I'm not worried about this election- I feel Bush will win. I think the democratic party is dead. I also feel that conservatives will rule the day as a new Pax Americana arises while we move from Europe to Asia.

Finally, if Beavis wins it doesn't matter, he'll be a lame duck unable to accomplish a damn thing. The less laws the better.

[Darkwolf377]

I have a feeling it will be personal stuff, since the war stuff hasn't panned out.

[SolomoninSouthDakota]

I honestly think Rasmussen randomly types in the numbers 47, 48, or 49 for each candidate and passes them off as polls

That's just plain funny. I love it. It might be close to the truth, but do you really think it's true?

[sully777]

Ahem! My credentials for predicting winning teams http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1239230/posts?page=77#77

To: Shortwave

Yankee fan writing

Red Sox have excellent team with great pitching staff. But it's the Kerry comment that will spur them on. Red Sox win Series. Kerry loses Massachusetts. You heard here first.

77 posted on 10/09/2004 10:42:11 AM PDT by sully777 (Our descendants will be enslaved by political expediency and expenditure)
[Post Reply |Private Reply |To 1 |View Replies |Report Abuse ]

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Second prediction. Bush wins general election for POTUS with at least 58% of the vote, but I'm thinking more 60-65%. Kerry loses NJ, NY, CN, and I'm going out on a limb MA!

Reason why I'm sure? MA voters just woke up to 20 years of Ho Chi Minh Kerry's lies (like a woman scorned). They live in the shadow of 9-11 thinking "The terrorists flew out of Logan and it could have been the Handcock Building." And plus, the Waffleboy slammed the Red Sox during the debate.

NJ, NY, and CN are Tri-state. Lieberman is pro-Bush. Ed Koch is pro-Bush. 9-11 could be seen out the window and most of the victims lived in these three states. Kerry has pulled out his anti-war rhetoric and he's going to regret pissing off Tri-State residents. Typical Kerry blunder but he's much too arrogant to admit he's the problem, only the solution and salvation.

I also possess insider information. My sister is a diehard Dem. All her friends are Dems. You're not allowed to say Republican or Bush in her house without cold silent stares. She's announced she's voting Dubya. If she's voting Dubya, it's 60-65% nationwide!

[gop_gene]

The "conventional wisdom" is that Bush has Florida, but Kerry keeps spending time there, including all day today and another visit this weekend. I'd love to see his internals.

Even if it were a sure thing that Kerry was going to lose FL, he has NO CHOICE but to spend time there, for appearances' sake. It wouldn't be very convicing if he were to stop going there under the pretense that he has it locked up, anyone with half a brain would take it to mean that it's a lost cause, and hence, that's pretty much the end of his chances.

[RW1974]

According to NRO, the Saturday Zogby numbers will have Kerry up one point nationally, but Bush doing well in most state polls - except Florida, where Zogby will have him behind. That whacky Zogby!

[fortheDeclaration]

The "conventional wisdom" is that Bush has Florida, but Kerry keeps spending time there, including all day today and another visit this weekend. I'd love to see his internals.

No matter what the internals, Kerry cannot give up on either Fl or Ohio because then it is over.

So, despite the fact that he is going to lose both, they cannot be conceded.

[SolomoninSouthDakota]

I think Zogby has crossed the line of credibility recently. From here on out it's pure propaganda to depress Republican turnout.

[Hazzardgate]

Frank Luntz said tonight that unless its at least 3-points, its just noise.

[gswilder]

I keep thinking Zogby will get in line with where the race will land. Now he is trending for Kerry. Seems opposite of most polls at the state and national level. I know we have all been predicting a Bush breakout, but honestly doesn't look like it will happen in the polls before the 2nd.