PLEASE DISTRIBUTE WIDELY... if it passes your global test, of course.
Posted on 10/02/2004 1:45:56 PM PDT by tsmith130
Edited on 10/02/2004 2:53:28 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]
NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Sat Oct 02 2004 16:42:32 ET
New York-Sixty-one percent of Americans who watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won; 19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied, according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate ended. Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3 percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46 percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush). The two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46 percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican convention. Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Excerpt, the rest of the article is here: NEWSWEEK POLL: BUSH LEAD GONE
Ah, correct. Registered voters AND the weekend.
Yeah, I like this operation in Samarra, and we need to do the same in Fallujah.
The +2 margin in the sample are the raw numbers, in the weighted sample it is about +5 Dem. Newsweek does weight its polls that way.
In other words, roughly about 39% Dem, 34% Rep, 27% Ind
My post #49 is now reflected on Powerline
I wouldn't want to depend on you in a crisis.
Looks like the same doom and gloomers when Kerry was leading in July/August. This poll is still within the margin of error and is a snapshot based on a debate. I just dont believe that people can switch their minds by a margin of 15 points. Right after the Dem convention, the momentum swung towards Bush and it is going to be close as the Bush folks have been saying. Like some others have said, we need to campaign like we are 10 points behind and win this one for Bush.
Just click on their name at the bottom of their post. :)
We will, and probably by the end of the year. The goal is to pacify as many cities as possible before the January elections. Then leave Iraqi troops in the cities to guard them. We will pull back to our bases.
i think that turnout will be +4-5 for the DEMs. 39% might be too high though.
Oh yeh, "sugarcoated" was a couple of weeks ago wasn't it?
You can spin it anyway you want.
The fact is Bush could have won this one in a walk.
Something was done to him. He was sabotaged. He was systematically under-prepped and over-cautioned and obviously over-tired.
Kerry has billions.
Rove sold our President down the river for a swiftboat load of cash.
Gosh, why are you commenting on a debate you evidently didn't watch?!
Oh, I am wrong,it's worst than I thought.
It's NEWSWEEK! So who am I suppose to belive? Newsweek or CNN/Gallup, and Rassmussion that show NO Debate bump for Kerry?
Why do some many Freepers suffer from McCainism?
"McCainism" A mental defect where the poster feels the need to constantly run down his own side while never pointing out the gross flaws in the opposition. Mental defect caused by the fraudulent belief that being hyper critical of their own side shows poster to be wise and intellectually sophisticated. Cure: Massive does of mockery for their doom and gloom pomposity.
Bush was absolutely pathetic and inept at the debates. I'm a HUGE supporter, but I called it. I KNEW Skerry would take the lead. Bush was disgusting. Not so much with his stuttering and stammering, but for letting Skerry get away with his lies. Time and again... And calling Bush a liar in front of all of America, and NO RESPONSE.
BTW, I'm computer illiterate, too. FR has taught me a lot. Especially the "HTML Sandbox" here:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/938739/posts
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