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Michigan now a dead heat in new poll
PR Newswire ^

Posted on 09/28/2004 9:14:00 AM PDT by Nascardude

LANSING, Mich., Sept. 28 /PRNewswire/ -- An already tight race for Michigan's 17 electoral votes between President George W. Bush and U.S. Senator John Kerry, the Democratic nominee, just got tighter. Kerry leads Bush by only two percentage points, his smallest edge in three months, and it appears the number of undecided voters may be expanding slightly. Kerry is ahead of Bush, 45%-43%, with only 1% for Ralph Nader. About 11% of the state's voters claim to be undecided, refused to answer whom they will vote for, or say they don't know (U/RtA/DK). Those are the conclusions of a statewide survey commissioned by Inside Michigan Politics and conducted by Lansing-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc., between Sept. 20 and 24. The poll sampled 600 registered voters stratified by city and/or township, based on past voting history. 36% of the respondents are behavioral Democrats; 30% behavioral Republicans; 27% are ticket-splitters; and about 7% refused to characterize their voting habits or had never voted before. Statistical margin of error is + or - 4.1%. MRG is the state's oldest and most reliable polling organization on Michigan issues and political races. Inside Michigan Politics, founded in 1987, is the largest-circulation bi-weekly, state-based political newsletter in North America. The race between Kerry and Bush in Michigan has closed within the past 10 days, headed into the candidates' first debate in Coral Gables, FL, this Thursday evening. Six weeks ago, Kerry boasted his biggest Michigan lead, 49%-42%, in the wake of the Democratic National Convention. Now, however, IMP/MRG and another survey taken by Fox News on Sept. 21-22 shows the race has tightened to a virtual draw. The survey also found that Michigan voters support both proposals that will be on the Nov. 2 general election ballot: 04-1, which would require that any new form of gambling in Michigan must be subject to approval by voters locally as well as statewide; and 04-2, which would effectively ban so-called "gay marriage" in the state. Voters favor Prop 04-1, 63%-27%, with about 10% U/RtA/DK; voters support Prop 04-2, 61%-33% (6% U/RtA/DK), which is an even greater margin than IMP/MRG found when essentially the same question was asked six months ago.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Michigan
KEYWORDS: 2004; battleground; bluestate; deadheat; imp; michiganpoll; napalminthemorning; poll
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To: Dan from Michigan

Genesee County Republican Committee worked with both those areas a lot -
What was the guys name in upper Michigan that was the survivalist that burned down the new hotel in Alanson?
Was it Michigan Mark or Michigan Dan


101 posted on 09/28/2004 5:09:27 PM PDT by finallyatexan
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To: finallyatexan
I don't know who "Michigan Dan" is offhand. Mark from Michigan is from Dexter so I doubt it was him.
102 posted on 09/28/2004 5:20:34 PM PDT by Dan from Michigan (A gun owner voting for John Kerry is like a chicken voting for Col. Saunders. (bye bye .30-30))
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To: Nascardude

I can't believe that the blue-collar, beer drinking, lunch pail carrying autoworker crowd are going to vote for that sissy, henpecked rich boy John Kerry. What has America come to?


103 posted on 09/28/2004 5:22:18 PM PDT by SamAdams76 (Hurricane Season is Over)
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To: kabar

Amen, brother. Wayne County went 95% Dem in 2000. The rest of the state went about 55-45 either way. The dems in 2000 really only had success in the states where one large metropolitan area could tip the scales of the whole state.


104 posted on 09/28/2004 5:23:26 PM PDT by Aloysius88 (Aloysius88 is back! Hah!)
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To: johnfkerrysucks

Detroit/Flint/Ann Arbor is going to be hard for Bush to overcome. I'm a manager for an airline, and I moved here to Hawaii from our Detroit hub. The pure hatred that our employees had for the President was staggering.


105 posted on 09/28/2004 5:29:45 PM PDT by BigKahuna
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To: Dan from Michigan

Wow!!!

if Bush takes Macomb Kerry is toast


106 posted on 09/29/2004 10:26:35 AM PDT by Mikey_1962
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To: SunkenCiv
I'd love to see Bush win Michigan, but here in conservative West Michigan, a yard sign survey / bumpersticker survey appears to run about 2:1 in favor of Kerry. The G(arbage W)R(apper) Press is doing its usual slams on conservatives and Republicans, and the anti-Bush fervor on campus seems to be running high. Not to mention the unionized industrial east side of the state.

I'm in Western Michigan and a colleague and I do bumper sticker surveys each time we are on the road. At worse, it's even. As for the yard signs, we just were talking with the local Republican HQs and are signing people up for the big signs (expected in the next week). If you can, call and sign up to help. Turnout here is everything. Gore's margin of victory and the tough economy should have Kerry up 7+ points here, but that's not the case. We can make the difference. It's an incredible opportunity to participate in a meaningful way in a historical election.

107 posted on 09/29/2004 12:57:26 PM PDT by Dolphy (Support swiftvets.com)
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To: Dolphy
re the historical election... that's true also... although that has been brought up time and again by the anti-Bush lemmings. Once they've been crushed, their delusional system will collapse. Cool, in 2002 GWB asked Congress for $600 million more for drug rehabilitation and prevention (although I don't think he got it). ;')
George W. Bush will be reelected by a margin of at least ten per cent

108 posted on 09/29/2004 1:29:17 PM PDT by SunkenCiv ("All I have seen teaches me trust the Creator for all I have not seen." -- Emerson)
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To: CSM
Only one of my neighbors had a sign for JFnK, then I got my sign up and then I noticed 3 more GWB signs. Of course, it is most likely the distribution process, but I like to think that I inspired them! I'm in the Pelham, Outer, Carlysle area.......

42 posted on 09/28/2004 12:55:28 PM EDT by CSM
**********
Here in West Virginia, definitely a battleground state which went for Bush in 2000 despite a 2 to 1 registration advantage over us Republicans, the state Bush/Cheney headquarters had not even distributed any Bush signs as of last weekend to our county campaign HQ, and we just discovered that they will start (sometime) parceling them out in batches of 100 whenever they get around to it. Many people are disappointed there are no Bush/Cheney yard signs they can put up yet.

Fortunately, there are no Kerry/Edwards signs around either. It's only 4 1/2 weeks until the election, but it sure seems like a time warp here in my county.

109 posted on 09/29/2004 3:21:24 PM PDT by wildandcrazyrussian
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To: wildandcrazyrussian

It may be a result of local election laws or ordinances regarding lawn signs. The "Victory Center" in my area were well aware of the laws and did not allow distribution of any signs until it was legal. The Kerry campaign didn't bother with all that stuff....They had their signs out early.


110 posted on 09/30/2004 4:40:54 AM PDT by CSM ("Don't be economic girlie men!" - Governator, August 31, 2004, RNC)
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