Posted on 09/28/2004 9:14:00 AM PDT by Nascardude
LANSING, Mich., Sept. 28 /PRNewswire/ -- An already tight race for Michigan's 17 electoral votes between President George W. Bush and U.S. Senator John Kerry, the Democratic nominee, just got tighter. Kerry leads Bush by only two percentage points, his smallest edge in three months, and it appears the number of undecided voters may be expanding slightly. Kerry is ahead of Bush, 45%-43%, with only 1% for Ralph Nader. About 11% of the state's voters claim to be undecided, refused to answer whom they will vote for, or say they don't know (U/RtA/DK). Those are the conclusions of a statewide survey commissioned by Inside Michigan Politics and conducted by Lansing-based Marketing Resource Group, Inc., between Sept. 20 and 24. The poll sampled 600 registered voters stratified by city and/or township, based on past voting history. 36% of the respondents are behavioral Democrats; 30% behavioral Republicans; 27% are ticket-splitters; and about 7% refused to characterize their voting habits or had never voted before. Statistical margin of error is + or - 4.1%. MRG is the state's oldest and most reliable polling organization on Michigan issues and political races. Inside Michigan Politics, founded in 1987, is the largest-circulation bi-weekly, state-based political newsletter in North America. The race between Kerry and Bush in Michigan has closed within the past 10 days, headed into the candidates' first debate in Coral Gables, FL, this Thursday evening. Six weeks ago, Kerry boasted his biggest Michigan lead, 49%-42%, in the wake of the Democratic National Convention. Now, however, IMP/MRG and another survey taken by Fox News on Sept. 21-22 shows the race has tightened to a virtual draw. The survey also found that Michigan voters support both proposals that will be on the Nov. 2 general election ballot: 04-1, which would require that any new form of gambling in Michigan must be subject to approval by voters locally as well as statewide; and 04-2, which would effectively ban so-called "gay marriage" in the state. Voters favor Prop 04-1, 63%-27%, with about 10% U/RtA/DK; voters support Prop 04-2, 61%-33% (6% U/RtA/DK), which is an even greater margin than IMP/MRG found when essentially the same question was asked six months ago.
Genesee County Republican Committee worked with both those areas a lot -
What was the guys name in upper Michigan that was the survivalist that burned down the new hotel in Alanson?
Was it Michigan Mark or Michigan Dan
I can't believe that the blue-collar, beer drinking, lunch pail carrying autoworker crowd are going to vote for that sissy, henpecked rich boy John Kerry. What has America come to?
Amen, brother. Wayne County went 95% Dem in 2000. The rest of the state went about 55-45 either way. The dems in 2000 really only had success in the states where one large metropolitan area could tip the scales of the whole state.
Detroit/Flint/Ann Arbor is going to be hard for Bush to overcome. I'm a manager for an airline, and I moved here to Hawaii from our Detroit hub. The pure hatred that our employees had for the President was staggering.
Wow!!!
if Bush takes Macomb Kerry is toast
I'm in Western Michigan and a colleague and I do bumper sticker surveys each time we are on the road. At worse, it's even. As for the yard signs, we just were talking with the local Republican HQs and are signing people up for the big signs (expected in the next week). If you can, call and sign up to help. Turnout here is everything. Gore's margin of victory and the tough economy should have Kerry up 7+ points here, but that's not the case. We can make the difference. It's an incredible opportunity to participate in a meaningful way in a historical election.
George W. Bush will be reelected by a margin of at least ten per cent
42 posted on 09/28/2004 12:55:28 PM EDT by CSM
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Here in West Virginia, definitely a battleground state which went for Bush in 2000 despite a 2 to 1 registration advantage over us Republicans, the state Bush/Cheney headquarters had not even distributed any Bush signs as of last weekend to our county campaign HQ, and we just discovered that they will start (sometime) parceling them out in batches of 100 whenever they get around to it. Many people are disappointed there are no Bush/Cheney yard signs they can put up yet.
Fortunately, there are no Kerry/Edwards signs around either. It's only 4 1/2 weeks until the election, but it sure seems like a time warp here in my county.
It may be a result of local election laws or ordinances regarding lawn signs. The "Victory Center" in my area were well aware of the laws and did not allow distribution of any signs until it was legal. The Kerry campaign didn't bother with all that stuff....They had their signs out early.
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