Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Hurricane Ivan Upgraded to Category 5 Hurricane
NOAA National Hurricane Center ^ | September 8, 2004 | NOAA National Hurricane Center

Posted on 09/08/2004 9:06:23 AM PDT by bd476

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL

TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN

HURRICANE IVAN ADVISORY NUMBER 25

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

11 AM AST WED SEP 08 2004

...Dangerous Hurricane Ivan heading for the central Caribbean Sea...

A hurricane warning remains in effect for Aruba...Bonaire...and Curacao.

A hurricane watch and a Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for The Guarjira Peninsula of Columbia...and for the entire Northern Coast of Venezuela.

At 11 AM AST...1500z...the Government of Haiti has issued a Hurricane Watch for the entire Southwest peninsula of Haiti from the border of the Dominican Republic Westward...including Port Au Prince.

A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect for the Southwestern coast of the Dominican Republic from Santo Domingo Westward to Pedernales.

Interests in Central and Western Caribbean Sea should closely monitor the progress of dangerous Hurricane Ivan.

At 11 AM AST...1500z...the eye of Hurricane Ivan was located near Latitude 12.7 North...Longitude 66.2 West or about 145 miles...235 Km...East-Northeast of Bonaire and about 795 miles...1280 km... EAST-Southeast of Kingston Jamaica.

Ivan is moving toward the West-Northwest near 16 mph...26 km/hr. This motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track...the center of Ivan should move North of Aruba... Bonaire...and Curacao later today. However...any deviation to the left of the forecast track could bring the center close to those islands.

Ivan is an extremely dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale with maximum sustained winds near 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...with higher gusts. Some fluctuations in intensity are expected during the next 2 hours.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 70 miles...110 KM… from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 KM.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 955 MB...28.20 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels... along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected near the center of ivan in the hurricane warning area.

Rainfall Amounts of 5 to 7 inches...possibly causing flash floods and mud slides...can be expected along the path of Ivan.

Repeating the 11 AM AST position...12.7 N... 66.2 W. Movement toward...West-Northwest near 16 mph. Maximum sustained winds...140 MPH. Minimum central pressure... 955 MB.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor Products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 pm AST followed by the next complete advisory at 5 pm AST.

Forecaster Avila

$$


TOPICS: Announcements; Breaking News; Cuba; News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Georgia; US: Kentucky; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: North Carolina; US: Ohio; US: South Carolina; US: Tennessee; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: bonaire; caribbean; cat4; category5; columbia; cuba; fema; forecast; grenada; haiti; hurricane; hurricanehunters; hurricaneivan; ivan; jamaica; nhc; noaa; tropical; venezuela
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 401-403 next last
To: bd476
Did you see this thread?

High Storm Cycle is Here to Stay

41 posted on 09/08/2004 9:34:36 AM PDT by Gabz (HURRAY!!!!!!!! School started yesterday!!!!!!!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 37 | View Replies]

To: hchutch
Just for you
42 posted on 09/08/2004 9:39:01 AM PDT by Howlin (I'm mad as Zell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: hchutch

CONN, SONAR, CRAZY IVAN!

All stop, quick quiet.


43 posted on 09/08/2004 9:39:11 AM PDT by Poohbah (If you're not living on the edge, you're taking up too much room.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 40 | View Replies]

To: JulieRNR21; kinganamort; katherineisgreat; floriduh voter; summer; Goldwater Girl; windchime; ...
Judging from the current tracking charts, Florida is going to get hit no matter where exactly this storm goes.

Florida Freeper

I'm compiling a list of FReepers in Florida for use in the upcoming elections.
If you want to be added, please FReepMail me.


44 posted on 09/08/2004 9:40:42 AM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gov_bean_ counter
Fries up real well and tastes a lot like chicken.

Hmmmmmm.... that's what they all say! Doesn't EVerything taste like chicken if you deepfry it? ;-)

45 posted on 09/08/2004 9:40:50 AM PDT by NotJustAnotherPrettyFace (Michael <a href = "http://www.michaelmoore.com/" title="Miserable Failure">"Miserable Failure"</a>)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: bd476
Thanx for putting me on your ping list. This thread is very helpful in keeping track of things.
46 posted on 09/08/2004 9:41:26 AM PDT by JellyJam (Headline of the year: "The Painful Truth: All the World Terrorists Are Muslims!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: hobbes1
One ping only Vasily.

One of my Top Ten Favorite Books and one of my Top Ten Favorite Movies. Sean Connery is one of my Top 10 Favorite Actors.

Crazy Ivan - turning leftrightrightleft

47 posted on 09/08/2004 9:42:07 AM PDT by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: Poohbah
My Personal Favorite
48 posted on 09/08/2004 9:44:27 AM PDT by Howlin (I'm mad as Zell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 43 | View Replies]

To: bd476

BMP


49 posted on 09/08/2004 9:46:46 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: capt. norm

Oh, gosh.....I thought it was the first of November!

YIKES.

What's our average now, once every two or three weeks?


50 posted on 09/08/2004 9:47:46 AM PDT by Howlin (I'm mad as Zell)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 39 | View Replies]

To: Howlin; capt. norm
Oh, gosh.....I thought it was the first of November!

LOL - and I thought you were doing a play on the countdown to the election.....all the blowing in the wind being done by the dems.............

51 posted on 09/08/2004 9:49:50 AM PDT by Gabz (HURRAY!!!!!!!! School started yesterday!!!!!!!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 50 | View Replies]

To: twin2
Twin2, as far as I know the following is not verified yet, but it's probably fairly accurate:

Grenada news from online blog

52 posted on 09/08/2004 9:49:53 AM PDT by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: kinghorse
Yucatan. That's where I'd place my money.

Conditions are telling a different tale. But I'm with you on that one!!!

53 posted on 09/08/2004 9:53:40 AM PDT by shield (The Greatest Scientific Discoveries of the Century Reveal God!!!! by Dr. H. Ross, Astrophysicist)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: expatpat; Dog Gone; weatherFrEaK
Doggone and weatherfreak might know which models were most accurate in predicting Frances' path.
54 posted on 09/08/2004 9:55:36 AM PDT by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 36 | View Replies]

To: JellyJam

You're welcome JellyJam, glad to help out anyway I can.


55 posted on 09/08/2004 9:56:50 AM PDT by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 46 | View Replies]

To: bd476

Turned out to be LBAR (which is rare, it's usually terrible, especially as a storm gets North of 20N) and the GFS (despite the impression the GFS was terrible on Frances; near landfall the GFS had tracks into South Carolina, but for the first 2/3rds of the storm, it showed Frances heading west, as it actually did, while most other models showed Frances heading off to the N.)


56 posted on 09/08/2004 9:58:47 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 54 | View Replies]

To: Howlin

The one movie I can recall acting PAYING to see twice in a theatre!

57 posted on 09/08/2004 10:02:02 AM PDT by alancarp (Boycott France and anything that even LOOKS French.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: Gabz

Statistically, though, based on storm activity, on average the "halfway point" of the season is September 10th, or two days from now..on average, half of the hurricanes and tropical storms of an average season have occured by September 10th.

So were a little less than halfway done with the season.


58 posted on 09/08/2004 10:03:33 AM PDT by Strategerist
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 51 | View Replies]

To: jrcats
A blizzard with horizontal snow where all you can see is a faint glow of a still working street light 20 feet above your car, it's 20 below zero, with a wind chill of minus 35, your car stalled, then you ran out of gas, ice is forming on the inside of your windshield, a 4 foot snow drift is blocking exit from your car, all you have to eat is a stale Twinkie and a stick of Juicy Fruit and you'd take that over 3 Hurricanes?

Shuddering more than ever about Hurricanes.

59 posted on 09/08/2004 10:04:53 AM PDT by bd476
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: Strategerist

I am quite well aware of the "halfway point" of hurricane season.........


60 posted on 09/08/2004 10:06:45 AM PDT by Gabz (HURRAY!!!!!!!! School started yesterday!!!!!!!!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 58 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 401-403 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson