Posted on 09/06/2004 12:31:30 PM PDT by MrChips
Just announced on CNN.
They'll be giving "warnings" on the Nov. 3 editorial page to Bush not to misread the "mandate" from his big victory. And you can take that to the bank!
ex sister-in-law
Just keep the e-mails to W coming when you get the chance. I know he's worried about Laura's fidelity and wants the inside scoop from you.
I think that computes to a 4 point bounce. Either way I don't care, I just want the President to stay at better than 50% and I want to see his approvals at better than 50%. It's still a long way to November, but things are certainly looking up.
"Only 38% of people now say war in Iraq was a mistake."
Not bad.
That same 38% think Bush masterminded 9-11.
That same 38% think Michael Moore makes documentaries.
Interesting thought. Maybe I am too much of an optimist, but it is mine as well. Did Time and Newsweek include Nader in their polls?
"bttt" means "bump to the top". It moves the article up to latest replies (as opposed to original posts). Shows interest and activity on a story....
This poll was conducted Sept 3-5. If it has the kind of 9/4 results that Rasmussen had, the lead is no doubt larger. I believe Kerry had a good poll day on Saturday due to the holiday weekend, and the Clinton sympathy factor. Don't deny the sympathy factor, especially among the dems who will be voting for Bush in the real poll.
Its good news, but I expect better this week. It means we must work much harder, because the LLL's will unleash the fury and are not beyond far fledged lies. The media wing of the democrats will print these lies as truth, because they can't stand the thought of another Bush victory. So the higher the poll numbers come out, the harder we need to work. Because the more desperate they become.
If we thought the media was partisan this campaign up to date, I expect them to go head over heels to make this summer look like they were non-biased. Just wait till they realise they are going down, it will get much worse.
I'm speechless. Where does such
%*$&*%$* come from??? GAG!!!!!
The DUmmies are actually celebrating this information. ONe poster says that this is the smallest post-convention bounce for an incumbant. Does anyone know if this is true?
THIS ONE I BELIEVE... We deconstructed the newsweak poll and found it likely oversampled Repubs... Rass., is well, dead in the water always, he probably is over-adjusting to balance his samples to make up for his 2000 mistake ...
But Gallup, makes sense. We had a solid convention, with several home run speeches and a reminder that only 1 man is best to lead the war on terror - Bush. Every poll has picked up the 'mo' but the question was how much of it was real. not a huge bounce ... but Folks TAKE HEART that BUSH IS ABOVE 50% in 3 different polls. And LEADING BY 7 POINTS IS THE BEST SHOWING IN MONTHS! Maybe even this year.
The Key News is NOT the Bounce, the Key News is this: A LEAD IS A LEAD. Leading on labor day is where you want to be. Bush is in the lead.single digit, but significant enough for him to pull this out if he doesnt stumble.
Kerry can only win now by changing the dynamics of the race.
The GOP Convention did what it needed to do - remind Americans of how GLAD THEY WERE THAT BUSH WAS PRESIDENT ON 9/11 and WHY WE STILL NEED HIM FOR 4 MORE YEARS.
Is this for sure what's in the book????? She sounds like she needs meds if it's true that she wrote this!
The DU Dummies are trying to find something to latch onto. Something tells me the President's support will be deep and long-lasting. There would have to be a major screwup on the part of the Bush-Cheney Campaign to blow it in November.
The pit of hell, rangerette......the pit of hell.
She needs the Lord, Jewels...........AND some meds. :o)
I think they did...but he wasn't a big factor -- we're talking the difference here between 10-11 and 7. In polling, we're close to the margin of error - and with this being over a holiday weekend, I don't think pessimism is called for at all!
A 7pt lead reminds me - I predicted in February on my blog http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com/ and on FR ... that bush would win by 8 points. See:
http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com/2004_02_01_freedomstruth_archive.html
IN FEBRUARY 2004, I PREDICTED:
1) Kerry/Edwards (Edwards was picked in July)
2) Estimated Nov vote ... 53%-47% to 56%-44%, depending on the strength of the campaigns. (given shaky Kerry campaign, we are at the upper end of that).
3) I said: "History will judge the US kindly on the liberation of Iraq. All this is true, but this is not what the American people are hearing right now. Bush will have to make his case, but of course the American people (the 60% not hardened against Bush) will listen.
If he does, then the question "Who is best fit to win the war on terror?" has an easy answer: Bush."
ROVE DID WHAT WAS NEEDED TO REMIND PEOPLE THAT THIS IS A KEY QUESTION - GOP DID A GREAT JOB OF THE CONVENTION.
4) Economy is still dragging Bush down a bit, but shouldnt. At 5.4%, unemployment is down a full point from last year.
If Bush wins back on that issue, he gains another 4-6pts.
I think the polls are being a shade favorable to Bush right now ... dont go manic if they settle back to 3-5 pt Bush lead. that is what convention bounces do - they pull back.
Dont assume he leads by 8pts. Think he leads by 1 pt and your efforts are needed to help Bush win.
As of now, a lead is a lead and trailing is trailing.
I still predict a Bush 8pt victory, but campaigns still matter, and anything from slight Kerry victory to Bush 15 pt blowout are possible, even today, depending on events, scandals (Kitty Kelly, or its backlash), and debates.
They said that Bush's ex-sister-in-law gave the info...the same one that charged that Neil(?) fathered his new wife's child who is like 3 years old and DNA proved her wrong??? That sis-in-law??? Kitty should find better witnesses..she also quotes someone at Yale that said Bush is stupid and needed drugs to talk to the opposite sex, somehow I don't think GWB ever needed help with the opposite sex.
They are celebrating over at DU about the Gallup poll. Of course they are only talking about the registered voter numbers, which show Bush by 1. Not the likely voter numbers which show him up by 7. Guess their enthusiasm for Kerry kind of clouds their math skills. Bush went from a net 3 lead to a net 7 lead. Looks like a bump of 4 to me. Better than the net 6 LOSS that Kerry got in the same poll after his convention. Oh well, let them celebrate and think they have this in the bag....
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