Posted on 09/06/2004 12:31:30 PM PDT by MrChips
Just announced on CNN.
2 point bounce, according to Gallup.
That's just what Dales said the Newsweek poll would have been with more realistic sampling, IIRC.
likely or registered voters?
If this is registered voters this is hugh, since the last poll had the registered tying at 48-48.
well i hope that this continues and Bush blows Kerry away
poll ping
ping
They didn't say
what was this before the convention? didn't gallup have Bush up by 2%?
sounds about right, a 5% bounce in a tight race, where the respective base voters are solidly in place, is reasonable.
these polls showing a 10+% lead for Bush are wrong - I think they are setting us up, so later this month, the same polls will show Kerry only 5% down - and the headline will read "Kerry closing in".
50-47 to 52-45 is NOT a 2 point bounce, it's a 4 point bounce, as the bounce is *always* calculated by the margin between the 2 candidates.
No incumbant with this big a lead after Labor Day has ever lost. Doesn't mean it is over, but F'n must win converts to him at a rate that has never been duplicated in history if he wants to win.
Exactly.
7 among likely im guessing
What do you think going to happen when the witch's book comes out and says Bush used cocain at Camp David??? I think enough is enough!!! Bush should sue!
Well now!
Not quite double figures but a comfortable lead without any reason to become overconfident. Rasmussen says they have a 4 - 5% lead for the President so averaging those for polls would give about 8% lead for GW Bush.
Looks like a post-convention bump! (Something that couldn't happen according to MSM.)
O.K. Three polls. Newsweek 11%, Time 10%, Gallup a solid 7%. I say the real answer is somewhere in the 7% to 9% range. A good place to start on Labor Day.
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