Skip to comments.Rasmussen National Tracking Poll 9-2-04: Bush 49% Kerry 45%
Posted on 09/02/2004 1:52:31 PM PDT by ConservativeStLouisGuy
The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%.
This is the first time that Bush has reached the 49% mark in the Tracking Poll since Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination on Super Tuesday (March 2). It's also the first time Bush has been up by four points since April 26.
Kerry reached 49% a few times following his convention but neither candidate has yet reached the 50% mark.
Today, at 3:00 p.m. Eastern, we will release favorable/unfavorable ratings for Bush, Kerry, McCain, Schwarzenegger, and Giuliani.
The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern and results are reported on a three-day rolling average basis. Last night, we began our fall schedule of interviewing 1,000 Likely Voters each night (up from 500 earlier in the year).
Three-quarters of the interviews for today's report were completed after Monday's Convention speeches by John McCain and Rudy Giuliani. Half were completed after the Tuesday speeches by Arnold Schwarzenegger and Laura Bush.
Our pre-Convention Electoral College projection shows Bush with 213 Electoral Votes to 207 for Kerry. The magic number needed for victory is 270 Electoral Votes.
The individual state polls are worrisome. Kerry is doing pretty damn good in the battleground states-- we have to change that.
Over 50% tomorrow after the Acceptance Speech.
I am hoping this turns into a 10 point lead after tonight
Remove the special Rasmussen Sauce before you evaluate the state polls.
What's Ohio and/or Missouri doing?
Those are the bellwethers.
Which states? I have recently seen Bush ahead in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Florida, Wisconsin, and Iowa.
Probably so....the way I look at it, Bush ALREADY has a bigger jump than Lurch -- and there's STILL one more evening of the RNC to go!
The best numbers should begin to appear 2 and 3 days after tonight. I think Rasmussen's numbers are a reflections of 3 consecutive days of polling.
Oh ye of little faith....all good things come to those who wait :-)
The thing that scares me in Colorado. A tie in CO? HOLY ship!!!
F'n is in a pretty deep hole. It is not impossible for him to dig out of it, but he went from being a slight favorite to a decided underdog in just one month.
I have lots of faith, but I am wondering why this wretched dude is doing so well in the BG states!!!
Cool. Do you think the dirty Ben Barnes "bombshell" will hurt W?
My guess is that the big states have the concentration of their population in the large cities -- where the unions and politicians get a stranglehold on voters, turn them into Dem zombies and dictate how they'll vote.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.