GALLUP: MINUS 7 POINT 'BOUNCE' FOR KERRY

http://www.drudgereport.com/flash4.htm ^ | Gallup

[Marfoe]

NEW GALLUP POLL WILL SHOW BUSH UP BY 3. BEFORE THE CONVENTION, KERRY LED BY 4.

I've heard the worst bounce in history was 7 points for a challenger. This is a -7 point 'bounce'.

[AQGeiger]

Thanks for answering my questions!

[jslade]

-7?? Is that correct? If so, I have feeling there are going to be some dirty tricks by the rats!!!

RATS dusting off plans for the Lautenberg gambit.

[rambo316]

My Freeper friends, don't hinge all of your hopes on stupid polls. President George W. Bush is going to win in a landslide.

[Mo1]

OMG .. LOL

This is REALLY bad news for Kerry :0)

[Common Tator]

there are so few undecideds that this is the best it COULD

It is not that there are large numbers of undecideds who as a result of a convention that make for a bounce, it is centrist decideds that change their opinioins that make for a bounce.

The polling question is, "If the election were to be held today whom would you vote for?" There are not ever a large number of undecideds to that question.

[GiveEmDubya]

I kinda had a feeling that Kerry wouldn't do so well, with nothing more of a minimal bounce. Now Gallup, which isn't a bad organization, shows a NEGATIVE likely voters bounce. To really pull away, Bush has to have a great convention, drop the hammer on John² after Labor Day, and hold his ground in the debates. If that happens, barring any October surprises/dirty tricks, Bush should be able to get re-elected.

[savedbygrace]

I blame the hamster.

[Mulder]

LOL! I figured that he would lose points as a result of the "convention".

Of course, I expect Bush to lose points also after his convention.

The American people don't like either one of these guys, and it will come down to whoever they dislike the most.

[Conservativegreatgrandma]

The lead balloon bounce.

[bondjamesbond]

RATS dusting off plans for the Lautenberg gambit.

After all, the people have a right to a viable Democratic candidate for President...

[Tanniker Smith]

I'm definitely expoecting a dam break. One thing that I agree with O'Reilly and now Scott Rasmussen is that this is NOT going to be a close election, nothing like 2000. This *will* break one way or the other.

I'd like to think (and therefore, I *AM* thinking) that this will break Bush in the last couple of weeks and we'll see around 52-44 final.

But I still reccommend caution and vigilance.

Rasmussen had a good point this morning on Fox: economic confidence and Iraq are going to be intertwined. If one goes south, they both go south. If they stay positive, they'll be positive together.

TS

[Betaille]

The media is spinning this... saying that the reason there was no bounce was that there are less undecided voters this time. But if you look at conventions historically, it is not just undecided voters that give the party a bump. Even the other guys voters come to your side. This happened in reverse for the Democrats this year. I wonder how they are going to explain this when Bush gets a significant bump from his convention.

[POA2]

Great news! - Lets see what the Cover of the USA TODAY decides to go with tomorrow! -

Will it be the likely voter poll showing GWB up 50-47 or the Registered poll showing Kerry up by 3 or 4pts ??

[kabar]

How about a subterranean bounce?

[Unmarked Package]

Why is that so? Just wondering, I'm a curious girl.

Republicans are more likely to be away from home during weekends, because--unlike a substantial number of Democrats--they work during the week and aer seeking to relax.

Poohbah is correct. To elaborate further, on a socioeconomic basis, Republicans are thought to be more likely to be involved in family, community, and recreational activities that occur outside the home during weekends.

[Libertina]

ROTFLOL A bonk, indeed :)

[Captain Peter Blood]

Well their calling this the "Dead Cat Bounce" and it seems very appropriate for Kerry.
I have watched political convention's since I was 5 years old, Republican & Democrat, and I can truthfully say this Democratic Convention was the most boring I have ever witnessed. Not that I expect much much more from the Republican Convention, but there will be a few speakers that will make it interesting. I will have to concur that Barak Obama was probably their best speaker and new blood for the Democrats but Kerry, Edwards and Company were horrible. Nothing new, no ideas, nothing that excites the imagination at all. I have never not seen some type of poll bounce out of a convention and I don't buy it that it's because of a small group of undecided voters.
There is just nothing that turns anyone on, except the Democratic base and even all of them are not thrilled, with this ticket.
It is still going to be a very close election but I feel a little more optimistic than I did back in January about Bush's prospects.
Even as far out as Dean was at least he had passion and truly believed his message. He would have made a far more interesting candidate than Kerry. But their best man was Lieberman and her would have made the race much more competitive and yet because of his more traditional beliefs he is the odd man out in his own party, he might as well join the Republican Party, we will welcome him with open arms. Their best mainstream candidate hands down would have been Zell Miller and he's speaking at the Republican Convention, how is that for irony?
The Democratic Party has truly become the KOOK Party and is in the hands of the extreme Left, Trotskyite Wing of the Party. I truly believe they are making themselves the party of irrelevance for the future.

[CROSSHIGHWAYMAN]

The American people don't like either one of these guys, and it will come down to whoever they dislike the most.

Sounds like Nixon-Humphrey 1968

[aft_lizard]

I think the one segemnt of the population that is overlooked are the Ron Silver or Ed Koch democrats, I assume many of them spent the last 3 years in support of Bush's foreign policy but right now are undecided on old party loyalties or foreign policy agreements.

[poindexter]

"Would this be a "bonk"?"

Maybe a "CLANK!"