[Tanniker Smith]

I'm definitely expoecting a dam break. One thing that I agree with O'Reilly and now Scott Rasmussen is that this is NOT going to be a close election, nothing like 2000. This *will* break one way or the other.

I'd like to think (and therefore, I *AM* thinking) that this will break Bush in the last couple of weeks and we'll see around 52-44 final.

But I still reccommend caution and vigilance.

Rasmussen had a good point this morning on Fox: economic confidence and Iraq are going to be intertwined. If one goes south, they both go south. If they stay positive, they'll be positive together.

TS

[aft_lizard]

I think the one segemnt of the population that is overlooked are the Ron Silver or Ed Koch democrats, I assume many of them spent the last 3 years in support of Bush's foreign policy but right now are undecided on old party loyalties or foreign policy agreements.