2004 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/1/2004

TradeSports.com ^ | Monday, March 1, 2004 | Momaw Nadon

[Momaw Nadon]

State	% Chance of Bush Winning	Bush Electoral Votes	Dem Electoral Votes
Alabama	95.0	9	0
Alaska	94.0	3	0
Arizona	73.0	10	0
Arkansas	70.0	6	0
California	17.6	0	55
Colorado	80.0	9	0
Connecticut	20.0	0	7
Delaware	35.0	0	3
District of Columbia	2.0	0	3
Florida	68.0	27	0
Georgia	90.0	15	0
Hawaii	13.0	0	4
Idaho	95.0	4	0
Illinois	23.0	0	21
Indiana	87.0	11	0
Iowa	43.0	0	7
Kansas	91.5	6	0
Kentucky	88.0	8	0
Louisiana	80.0	9	0
Maine	39.0	0	4
Maryland	17.5	0	10
Massachusetts	4.0	0	12
Michigan	47.0	0	17
Minnesota	41.0	0	10
Mississippi	94.0	6	0
Missouri	65.0	11	0
Montana	91.0	3	0
Nebraska	94.0	5	0
Nevada	65.0	5	0
New Hampshire	58.0	4	0
New Jersey	16.0	0	15
New Mexico	58.0	5	0
New York	15.0	0	31
North Carolina	85.0	15	0
North Dakota	95.0	3	0
Ohio	65.0	20	0
Oklahoma	93.0	7	0
Oregon	39.0	0	7
Pennsylvania	49.0	0	21
Rhode Island	5.0	0	4
South Carolina	87.0	8	0
South Dakota	95.0	3	0
Tennessee	85.0	11	0
Texas	93.0	34	0
Utah	95.0	5	0
Vermont	7.0	0	3
Virginia	85.0	13	0
Washington	35.0	0	11
West Virginia	47.0	0	5
Wisconsin	46.0	0	10
Wyoming	95.0	3	0
Totals		278	260

[oldtimer]

Exactly...in my 869 years on this planet, I have never seen a clearer division of the so called "classes".

GWB has got to drive a wooden stake in Lurch's heart to win this though, and quit trying to be Mr. Nice Guy.

VETO PORK VETO PORK VETO PORK VETO PORK!

[GiveEmDubya]

I think Bush and all his campaign leaders know exactly where to hit John Kerry. Remember, before the whole Dean phase, it looked for a while as if Kerry would be the nominee, kinda by default. They've been stockpiling ammo for a long time. On Wednesday, almost certainly after Kerry has locked up the nomination, then it will start to hit.

I would save the best stuff for the stretch run, when people are actually paying attention. But there's so much dirt on Kerry just waiting for the spotlight, I think there's plenty to go around for the election cycle.

[pctech]

I hope less people fall for it this time and still vote for Bush

I hear ya, but as they say in MIB, "A person is smart, people are dumb panicky animals and you know it!"

[bondjamesbond]

If PA goes for Bush, the networks will find a way to keep from calling that state until two weeks after the polls close in Hawaii. They only call the Democrat wins early.

[GiveEmDubya]

Blitzer: "We, uh, don't usually tend to call states with, uh, margins around 5%. Bush, uh, appears to be, uh, out in front, but there's still 1% of the vote to be counted. I think Judy and I agree that anything can happen with that one percent especially in such a Democrat-friendly state as Pennsylvania."

Woodruff: "Well I agree Wolf. Bush is not popular anywhere in the northeast and those last hundred votes or so could make all the difference."