Bush 49% Kerry 45% - Election 2004 Presidential Ballot

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 3/1/04 | Rasmussen Reports

[Mike Darancette]

March 1, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll today shows George W. Bush at 49%, John F. Kerry at 45%, and "some other candidate" at 3%. For the past seven days, the President's support has ranged from 47% to 49%. The Senator from Massachusetts has been steady at 45% on six of those seven days. The President's campaign team will begin television advertising on Thursday. This is likely to have an impact on the polling data over the next several weeks.

Bush Job Approval: 55% Bush Job Approval

Strongly Approve 35% Somewhat Approve 20% Somewhat Disapprove 14% Strongly Disapprove 31%

March 1, 2004--Fifty-five percent (55%) of American voters now give President Bush's job performance their approval while 45% disapprove. Over the past week, the President has gained a little ground on this measure. So far this year, Bush's job approval ratings have ranged from a high of 57% in early January to a low of 50%.

One of the most significant underlying factors in the President's job approval figures is the nation's level of economic confidence. Recognizing this, we provide daily updates measuring the economic confidence of Consumers and Investors.

For those who believe that "It's the Economy, Stupid," Rasmussen Reports provides weekly updates on the question of who voters trust more to manage the economy--Bush or Kerry.

The President's Job Approval ratings will be updated daily between now and the November election. Rasmussen Reports also provides daily updates on the Presidential race, the race for the Democratic nomination, the economic confidence of Americans, and the generic Congressional Ballot.

The national telephone survey of 1,500 Likely voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports over the past three nights. Margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

[SquirrelKing]

Wow, a positive poll.

Still only march, though.

[Izzy Dunne]

"some other candidate" at 3%.

GO, Al, Go!
You can do it!

[finnman69]

The KERRY bump is over. The negativity and dearth of ideas will be the end of the French Senator from Vietnam.

[EllaMinnow]

Positive trend...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1088163/posts

2/29/2004 10:33:06 AM

(Undated-AP) -- A new poll indicates President Bush would narrowly beat Massachusetts Senator John Kerry in Florida if the election were held today.

Bush holds a 47-42 percent edge in his re-election bid over Kerry, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points. Ten percent of voters are undecided.

Bush does better in a race with North Carolina Senator John Edwards, leading 49 percent to 41 percent.

While a lot of people aren't sure, more people think Bush is helped rather than hurt with Ralph Nader running as an independent.

The results are from a survey of 600 likely voters by the South Florida Sun-Sentinel in Fort Lauderdale and the Florida Times-Union of Jacksonville.

[Tall_Texan]

Rasmussen over-inflated Bush's numbers through most of 2000. I wouldn't get giddy over this. And if its anything like 2000, the polls will take wild swings during the coming year, leading one to ask if either the pollsters or the people behind the polls have some other agenda besides taking the nation's pulse (such as trying to sway the electorate or drawing attention to themselves).

Rasmussen and Survey USA seem to be the most pro-Bush pollsters while Quinnipiac (Clinton's favorite pollsters)and Newsweek always seem the most Pro-Dem. But then you toss in Zogby, Gallup and all the alphabet soup networks and you have a consensus that's about as accurate and reliable as the BCS.

[b4its2late]

John Fonda Kerry.

[RetiredArmy]

No, no, no. This can't be correct. Why only this morning on the local news, they said the recent polls show a ticket of Hanoi John and Suehappy Edwards would beat GWB and DC. This poll just has to be wrong.

[Mike Darancette]

A new poll indicates President Bush would narrowly beat Massachusetts Senator John Kerry in Florida if the election were held today.

Unlike a fine wine Kerry will not get better with age.

[no dems]

There is something we all must remember. This election will be DIFFERENT from 2000 in this very important regard: Since the 2000 election, the census has shifted electoral college votes FROM the Gore states TO the Bush States. I think at last count the states that Bush carried in 2000 picked up 10 more electoral votes and they all came from Gore states.
If I'm wrong on this, someone please correct me.

[Mike Darancette]

Rasmussen over-inflated Bush's numbers through most of 2000.

Rasmussen reports tracking every day so it is good at spotting a trend. Bush numbers started going up when he talked about protection of marriage.

[EllaMinnow]

I'm in a northern Florida county that has a registered voter ratio of 65% dem and 35% Republican.
I've seen one Dean sign, one Clark sign, 3 Clark bumper stickers, about a dozen Graham bumper stickers, and a woman who wore a Kucinich campaign hat to a funeral for a homeless man.

I haven't seen anything for Kerry. Not one sign, not one sticker, and we're just a week away from the primary. If he can't work up the enthusiasm of the dems around here, he has no hope of picking up any independents in November.

[metoooo]

kerry has been labeled as the most liberal senator...he is toast...

[Mr. Jeeves]

I hate seeing that 49% come up so often. I would feel better if 52-53% would start appearing. This is setting up to be a repeat of 2000, where if the Democrats can pull off enough vote fraud, they can steal the election at the wire.

[Voteamerica]

This is the low point, it's all up from here!

[Tanniker Smith]

Nice, but I'm not going to be happy until Bush is over 50 percent. "Don't Knows" and "Undecideds" lean heavily against the incumbent. You can't count on 2 or 3 percent going to Nader (be nice if they did) and you can't count on it going to Nader in the right places.

TS
...

[rushmom]

And this was a weekend poll.

[rushmom]

I hope so.

[jackbill]

I'm one of those 49%. I was polled by Rasmussen on Saturday. The results shown today represent Fri., Sat., and Sun. calls.

[SquirrelKing]

Hey, you're right. Hmmmm...