Posted on 02/18/2016 4:31:30 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Ted Cruz has pinned his hopes on a big showing in the South. He could still do it, but it's far from certain
It's taken a while for the chattering classes to come around to the idea that Donald Trump may actually pull this thing off. It's hard to blame them. It's as if we all went to sleep one night and woke up in an alternate universe. But they do seem to have accepted it. He came close to winning Iowa, a notoriously buttoned up electorate, and won decisively in New Hampshire. All the polling going forward looks good. It's just become impossible to deny it any longer.
But what about his nemesis Ted Cruz? Are they ready to accept that he is likely to be the last man standing who can stop Trump? Until yesterday one would have had to say no. With South Carolina governor Nikki Haley's dagger to Jeb Bush's heart (her endorsement of Marco Rubio), the whole universe of political pundits were ready to call the number two slot for the Florida Senator. There seems to be a very deep desire to see this boyish neoconservative hawk survive despite his somewhat bizarre personality tics. (In this primary race, it's conventional political rhetoric that's the kiss of death.)
But at the end of the day, some new numbers came out that electrified the political press corps and changed the conversation once again....
(Excerpt) Read more at salon.com ...
Smells like, I don’t know ... victory!
When the libtards at Salon are salivating over Trump’s prospects, you know you’ve picked a winner... for the democrats.
Good job, Trumpettes.
C’mon 2nd - posting Salon? Really?
If Trump wins the nomination, Hillary becomes President.
Four years later Cruz becomes President.
APOCALYPSE NOW
The Horror
It's the liberal RedState....
Adios Ted!
I love that so many of you are 2013 thru 2016 sign-ups. Not all, by any means, but a lot of you. Or have you been here before under another screen name, perhaps?
LOL! Using your logic, then Trump should be beaten in the GOP primary.
“If Trump wins the nomination, Hillary becomes President.”
Why would you vote for Hillary?
After the primaries, Trump is going to get borked even worse than Bork was. He’s an easy target and has kindly provided the MSM with more than enough ammunition over the decades.
It is called a prediction.
And why would that matter?
Those signups don’t know how to use the search function, either. There is also a string of older signups with dead posting histories. They haven’t been here in a decade or more, so they don’t know the etiquette that has developed over the years. One of them tried to insult my intelligence by insisting I go back to elementary school. My transgression? I accused his/her post of being hugh and series. Ugh.
Second, I suspect the race is fluid.
Third, I think voters will move to Cruz or Rubio, from Bush, primarily because of Trump's lies about G.W. Bush vis-a-vis 9/11 and the justification for the Iraq war. I don't see South Carolina conservatives voting in mass for the new "CodePink" spokesman, certainly not 90% of the military veterans or active duty conservatives. (Yeah, I know that some Trump supporter will come in here and claimed he single handedly took Iwo Jima and knows 200,000 veterans who are hard core for Trump. Prove it at the polls, because the guys I know aren't supporting CodePink candidates.) They're not happy with Trump's war misdirection.)
Then again, the electorate is **PISSED**, and are apparently willing to throw the baby out with the bath water. Trump could win, but it won't be anywhere near the 20 point numbers some polls have been showing.
To me, it's Trump's primary to lose, Cruz has an edge over Rubio, simply because voters fed up with the GOP-e but not far enough over the edge to blow up the party by supporting Trump, will be looking for somewhere conservatively safe to land.
I think it's a 4-6% race between Trump and Cruz, with momentum swinging away from Trump. On the other hand, the same could be said for Rubio, if he can convince other GOP-e voters to abandon Kasich and Bush. Not sure he can do it. (Carson's numbers, unfortunately, are insignificant. He's lost all the voters he's going to lose, and his "true blue" believers will hang with him until he drops out.)
Really, the same thing can be side for both Bush and Kasich supporters. All that's left are their most loyal supporters, and they won't abandon them until those candidates officially withdraw. I think Cruz beats Rubio by at least 10 points, however the Trump-Cruz divide plays out.
We always attract new recruits during an election cycle. Plenty of new Cruizers here, too.
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