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Super El Nino is ‘off the charts’ — and that could be oddly good for NYC, but spell trouble for other parts of US this winter (only 4.25 years left)
NY Post ^ | 10/23/26 | Natalie O'Neill

Posted on 10/23/2026 3:39:37 AM PDT by Libloather

An off-the-charts Super El Niño that’s expected to peak this winter could be oddly good for New York City — while other parts of the US may be slammed by storms and flooding, forecasters said Thursday.

The “behemoth” weather system — measured by sea surface temperatures — could rise to more than six times that of a typical El Niño between November and January, according to the World Meteorological Organization.

“This is literally off the monitoring charts that we have used for the past four decades,” Celeste Saulo, secretary of the WMO, said Wednesday.

In the Big Apple, it could make weather feel like autumn into January — with up to a quarter less snow forecast this winter than last, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Matt Benz told The Post.

“Fall will linger longer this year,” Benz said. “We expect winter to arrive later.”

“In the middle to end of January, we will start to get taste of winter in the Tri-State area,” he said.

While a brutal 43 inches of snow fell last year in New York City, only 10 to 20 inches are forecast this year, he said.

Much of the Northeastern US is also expected to have a mild winter due to the weather system.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Outdoors; Science; Society; Weather
KEYWORDS: elnino; globalwarming; super; trouble; winter

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Meteorologist. The only occupation where you can be wrong 100% of the time and still have a job.
1 posted on 10/23/2026 3:39:37 AM PDT by Libloather
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To: Libloather

We, in AZ are looking forward!
El Nino is the year to fill our dams with much needed water.
It may stop this drought we are experiencing lately.
Let us hope!


2 posted on 10/23/2026 3:48:28 AM PDT by AZJeep (sane )
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To: Libloather

How is a quarter less snow, likely for Upstate, too, good news for NYC’s resevoirs?


3 posted on 10/23/2026 3:51:37 AM PDT by mewzilla (Swing away, Mr. President, swing away! 🇺🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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To: mewzilla

Something to keep an eye on...

https://www.nyc.gov/site/dep/water/reservoir-levels.page#


4 posted on 10/23/2026 3:53:17 AM PDT by mewzilla (Swing away, Mr. President, swing away! 🇺🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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To: Libloather

Here in Atlantic Kanuckistan, a mild winter will go down good.

Does this mean I can stop my processing firewood?


5 posted on 10/23/2026 3:55:47 AM PDT by Candor7 ( Ask not for whom the Trump Trolls,He trolls for thee!<img src="" width=300</img><a href="">tag</a>))
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To: mewzilla

From earlier this month...

https://gothamist.com/news/facing-drought-and-sea-level-rise-authority-looks-at-expanding-major-ny-reservoir


6 posted on 10/23/2026 3:57:23 AM PDT by mewzilla (Swing away, Mr. President, swing away! 🇺🇸 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿)
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To: Libloather

I thought we had 4.37 years left. Silly me. Always trying to keep my chin up.


7 posted on 10/23/2026 4:21:42 AM PDT by albie
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To: Libloather

Is there a mRNA vaccine for an El Niño?


8 posted on 10/23/2026 4:31:17 AM PDT by 2nd Amendment
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To: Libloather; Salamander
“El Niño is being supersized before our eyes. The science leaves no room for doubt: the planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up. Sea surface temperatures are rising, temperatures keep climbing, and the world is in the danger zone of extreme weather. The race now is between rising risks and our commitment to take climate action and protect people. We must win that race,” said UN Secretary-General António Guterres.


9 posted on 10/23/2026 4:40:39 AM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s²)
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To: Libloather

With billions in satellites, radar, weather stations, planes, etc., you would think they would get at least 50%, but they have a long way to go to get my trust.


10 posted on 10/23/2026 4:47:04 AM PDT by Omnivore-Dan (have to )
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To: Libloather

BS!


11 posted on 10/23/2026 4:53:21 AM PDT by Mlheureux
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To: Libloather

“Meteorologist. The only occupation where you can be wrong 100% of the time and still have a job.”

Almost, but not quite the only occupation-economist comes to mind ;)


12 posted on 10/23/2026 5:02:52 AM PDT by VMI70 (My Goal in Life is to be the Kind of Person My Dog Thinks I Am)
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To: Libloather

If the weatherman says it’s raining, call in the dog and see if he’s wet!


13 posted on 10/23/2026 5:04:22 AM PDT by Highest Authority (DemonRats are pure EVIL)
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To: Libloather

"In Spanish, 'El Niño' means...'The Niño'!"
14 posted on 10/23/2026 5:12:19 AM PDT by rlmorel (Gas prices are Temporary. Communism is Forever. Vote Republican.)
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To: Libloather
We are all Bill Belichick when it comes to weather now!


“When you play in New England, you have to be ready for everything. I’d say based on the forecasts we’ve gotten so far this year, none of them have been even very close to what game conditions were.

There was 100 percent chance of rain last week and the only water I saw was on the Gatorade table.

You know, it is what it is.

You know as well as I do, it could start one way and change during the game. we have to be ready for whatever it is, but my experience of going with the forecast in this area two days before the game, I mean I’d bet a lot that they’re wrong, just based on history because they’re almost always wrong. An hour before the game, maybe. You might have something to work with there.

I think if you start game planning for what the weather is going to be and you game plan wrong, you’ve wasted a lot of time. The forecasts are a bunch of hot air. Look, I’m not saying I could do it better than them, I’m just saying they’re wrong a lot.

That’s a fact. They’re wrong a lot.

We all make mistakes. I’m not being critical of them, I’m just saying I don’t think you can go based on that.”

15 posted on 10/23/2026 5:14:36 AM PDT by rlmorel (Gas prices are Temporary. Communism is Forever. Vote Republican.)
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To: 2nd Amendment

There’s no mRNA vax yet. We’ll have to rely on more taxes to fix it.

EC


16 posted on 10/23/2026 5:18:01 AM PDT by Ex-Con777 ("Journalism is about covering important stories-with a pillow, until they stop moving." ~ David Burg)
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To: AZJeep

you have hit on the big story.

the lake levels are rising! (except for lake meade) but lake powell is up 5 feet from its historic lows.


17 posted on 10/23/2026 5:18:55 AM PDT by ckilmer (`61)
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To: Libloather
"Much of the Northeastern US is also expected to have a mild winter due to the weather system."

Well, I guess that means I need to hurry up and make sure my snow blower and generator are in good working order.

18 posted on 10/23/2026 5:21:35 AM PDT by KevinB (Nepotism = affirmative action for white people. )
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To: Highest Authority

19 posted on 10/23/2026 5:25:03 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Libloather
"The “behemoth” weather system [...] could rise to more than six times that of a typical El Niño"

Or.. it could not

20 posted on 10/23/2026 5:27:33 AM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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