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Did the Iran war work?
The Spectator ^ | Saturday, June 20, 2026, 5:00 AM | Vahid Beheshti

Posted on 06/20/2026 1:34:41 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

When Donald Trump signed the Memorandum of Understanding with Iran earlier this week, the accepted narrative was that it was an abject failure of US foreign policy. What had begun with the dramatic assassination of Ayatollah Khamenei in the opening seconds of the war had concluded with America’s hands tied.

But this rhetoric fails to align with the reality within Iran. Beneath the noise, the regime, with its nuclear capabilities and ballistic stockpile severely downgraded, is also in a vulnerable position – perhaps the most weak it has been in its 47 years. I fled the regime myself 28 years ago, and have coordinated protests from within and outside the country, including the bloodiest ones in its near five decade history earlier this year which saw tens of thousands of my fellow countrymen slaughtered. Despite relentless IRGC propaganda, the regime is on the brink.

The war has exposed deep divisions within the government. While the less radical part of it (a relative concept) understands they have no choice but to accept demands dictated by the US if they want to survive, there is no shortage of those that remain ideologically committed to a fight to the bitter end. This has fuelled nightly street protests, with each side accusing the other of betrayal and acting as agents of Mossad and the US.

An under-explored aspect of this conflict is the tension within the regime and the possibility that the two sides could turn their weapons on each other. Two hardliners thirsty for power are consolidating their power bases and engaged in a vicious briefing war: the current commander of the IRGC Ahmad Vahidi is pitted against Mohammad Bagher-Ghalibaf, the speaker of the Iranian parliament and lead negotiator for the regime.

Looming over this volatility is the continuing absence of the supposed...

(Excerpt) Read more at spectator.com ...


TOPICS: Military/Veterans
KEYWORDS: ayatollahstoinfinity
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To: Jamestown1630
How about waiting till the whole thing is over to ask that?

Trump has said it is over many times now.

https://x.com/i/grok/share/783994cf69b64ee0bdca4c24ce425cb8

You don't believe him?

21 posted on 06/20/2026 1:57:18 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Israel first!)
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To: sauropod

Bkmk


22 posted on 06/20/2026 1:57:33 PM PDT by sauropod
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Ask the socialist snowflake in the far-left “media”. Those princesses will tell you.


23 posted on 06/20/2026 1:59:02 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (No Kings. (Hakeem) No Nazi Snowflake Fuhrers (Platner) No Ayatollahs (Madmami). Throw them out!!!!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
The IRGC controls the national Treasury, the Police, the Prisons, the Courts, the News Media, and the Military.

As long as the IRGC dictatorship is willing to kill every domestic threat that challenges their authority - they will not lose power.

24 posted on 06/20/2026 2:00:21 PM PDT by zeestephen (2024 Trump Landslide - Kamala Harris Lost By 230,000 Votes In WI, MI, and PA.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The enemy is still in power and soon to be $300 billion richer so no.


25 posted on 06/20/2026 2:01:30 PM PDT by minnesota_bound (Making money now. Still want much more.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I always like to check out the author’s background.

Vahid Beheshti is a journalist and human rights activist who has been on hunger strike, protesting and camping out opposite the Foreign Office until the IRGC is proscribed. The strike is part of a protest to encourage the UK Government to proscribe the Islamic Revolutionary Guard (IRGC) as a terrorist organisation.


26 posted on 06/20/2026 2:03:44 PM PDT by McGruff
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Plenty of what the President says is tactical or diversionary.

We have an MOU. We don’t have a DEAL.

It will be quite a while before we know whether the effort ‘worked’ or not, or when it’s really over.

(The people who want to tear down Trump don’t seem to care how stupid they make themselves look in the process.)


27 posted on 06/20/2026 2:05:28 PM PDT by Jamestown1630 ("A Republic, if you can keep it.")
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Trump declares “total and complete victory” in Iran…

(old meme. Last count is about 50 times)

28 posted on 06/20/2026 2:05:33 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Import the third world. Become the second world.)
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To: Jamestown1630

Trump is the best President since George Washington. I support him 100%. 80% of what he does is fabulous. 20% is various degrees of suck. But it don’t get no better than that.

I do believe calling balls and strikes is necessary. Trummp course-corrects when he gets feedback from the right people.

I just want to be among those urging course-correction.


29 posted on 06/20/2026 2:09:42 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Israel first!)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Oh you so smart. Much smarter than Trump. How clever.


30 posted on 06/20/2026 2:12:42 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va
Oh you so smart. Much smarter than Trump. How clever.

So Trump is infallible, like the Pope?

31 posted on 06/20/2026 2:14:50 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Israel first!)
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To: Responsibility2nd

How funny a CNN inspired meme.


32 posted on 06/20/2026 2:15:43 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va

How funny a CNN inspired meme.

________________________________-

Not so funny. It WAS accurate. Now the number of times Trump has declared victory is far higher.

But I guess we can blame CNN for that?


33 posted on 06/20/2026 2:20:05 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Import the third world. Become the second world.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

the MOU reads like a farce in some paragraphs and a capitulation in others. A total disaster for USA as written.

our great USAF/USN were within just a couple days of achieving at least 3.5 of President Trump’s announced goals for this engagement. But this MOU thing snatches Defeat from the very jaws of Victory.

It is very very sad.


34 posted on 06/20/2026 2:24:52 PM PDT by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Give him a call. I’m sure your advice is superior to that of all those surrounding the President, and he will be anxious to benefit from it.


35 posted on 06/20/2026 2:50:40 PM PDT by Jamestown1630 ("A Republic, if you can keep it.")
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To: Mariner

If it’s classified how do you know?

BS


36 posted on 06/20/2026 3:02:34 PM PDT by Fledermaus (Don't Even Bother!)
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To: Fledermaus

It’s not classified


37 posted on 06/20/2026 3:24:40 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: sopo

What did he address?


38 posted on 06/20/2026 3:26:56 PM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

You don’t even know when the war started.


39 posted on 06/20/2026 3:31:14 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn)
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To: central_va
You don’t even know when the war started.

One thing I am sure of is it started on a day of your choosing and the rest of history does not exist.

It's what you do.

40 posted on 06/20/2026 3:37:31 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Israel first!)
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