Posted on 04/12/2025 9:46:10 AM PDT by Libloather
WASHINGTON — Russia could be forced to end the war in Ukraine because it will run out of money to pay its troops, according to experts at the DC-based Institute for the Study of War.
The country has burned through roughly half of its $106 billion liquid sovereign-wealth fund, which is used to pay troops’ salaries and new recruits bonuses, experts said.
Moscow can likely only afford another 12 to 16 months of fighting at its current pace, with about 30,000 to 45,000 Russian troops killed or injured in Ukraine each month since its 2022 invasion began, ISW’s Russia team lead George Barros told The Post.
“The system for generating fighters worked for 2.5 years but it’s starting to fail,” he said Friday. “Russia is constrained by the laws of economics, scarce resources, and there isn’t an endless manpower resource in Russia.”
The Kremlin’s cash has dwindled as troop salaries and recruiting bonuses balloon amid staggering inflation, according to Russian Finance Ministry data.
Even President Trump weighed in on Moscow’s prospects Friday, noting in a Truth Social post that “Russia has to get moving” on ending its war because “too many people (are) DYING, thousands a week.”
That reality could create an opening for the US to push Russian President Vladimir Putin harder for a peace deal. Putin has been stalling negotiations after rejecting Trump’s full cease-fire proposal — a deal Ukraine already agreed to — a month ago.
“The United States can use the enormous challenges Russia will face in 2025 as leverage to secure critical concessions in ongoing negotiations to end the war by continuing and even expanding military support to Ukraine,” ISW’s Christina Harward wrote in a recent report.
Reluctant fighters
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
You have never been there, like I have. You receive the computer commando award, and most likely are infected with the dreaded Russian Derangement Syndrome, created and perpetuated by the Democrats.
Dont let the facts influence your “ opinion”, you are not in the same league……Carry on, Private.
So? It's been selling enough for three years to fund the war while its economy grew at 3.9% rate last year.
Did the price of shovels go up?
.
“Their debt to GDP is 17 percent, not the 120 percent plus the US has…the US will go bankrupt way before Russia.”
In a country where more than half the population lives directly off state subsidies, where the poverty rate will exceed 13 percent in 2021 (even though poverty criteria are much lower than in the West), and where 62 percent of Russians have neither savings nor enough to buy more than clothes and food, the long-term risk for Russia is to find itself in an economic situation identical to that which preceded the fall of the Soviet Union.
https://warontherocks.com/2024/09/russia-is-on-a-slow-path-to-bankruptcy-but-how-slow/
“So? It’s been selling enough for three years to fund the war while its economy grew at 3.9% rate last year.”
Nope see. They have been draining their NWF which is going broke.
That GDP growth is a war economy. They cant keep that up. Much of which has been trashed on the battlefield.
“experts at the DC-based Institute for the Study of War. “
The Institute for the Study of war is too biased in favor of NATO. Victoria Nuland (CIA) helped overthrow the Ukraine in 2014, picked it’s puppet officials and in general cultivated the disaster known as the Ukrainian war. Nuland is related to the founder of the INstitute for the Study of War. This article is another Nuland psyop to create false hope in order to keep the war in the Ukraine going. She has oceanic levels of blood on her hands.
In the General/Chat forum, on a thread titled Russia won’t be able to afford troops in Ukraine past 2026 as economy struggles, experts say, EnderWiggin1970 wrote: No doubt this explains why the Russians are desperately trying to get the opposing side to come to the negotiating table before they collapse... ROFL :-)
This article is fake news.
Russia wanted negotiations to avoid the war in the first place. Victoria Nuland and NATO officials want war to force regime change in Russia. Why would Putin want to keep fighting forever as NATO tries to reverse its catastrophic losses. Putin lacks NATO's need for endless war.
These experts have been saying this for three years now.
as long as it was personally profitable, why would anyone care if they were wrong?
just think, some people may be nudge-brigade types and be paid based on ENGAGEMENT. FR is a farm for any such people.
Another of many Russia-is-going-broke stories. Kinda like the Putin-is-dying stories.
They claim Russia is losing 1000 to 1500 troops every day. I don’t find this credible, for a variety of reasons, and causes me to doubt whether this assessment is accurate.
March 4, 2022: The US imports crude oil and petroleum from Russia, but it's not a major source
The Russian life expectancy thing has been interesting for decades. There is a large gap between women and men LE.
The most careful studies were not able to declare it is the result of alcohol. It appears to be an Eastern Europe genetic issue.
You see similar 9+ year splits female/male in Moldova, Kazahkstan, Ukraine and others. Russian alcohol consumption is 7 liters per capita. This is lower than the UK and US.
Yeah, but Russian alcohol consumption is mostly vodka and US and UK alcohol consumption is mostly beer, isn’t it?
Don’t know. Alcohol is alcohol.
You’re smarter than that. Drinking a half gallon of beer is not the same as drinking a half gallon of vodka.
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“War on the Rocks sells podcast subscriptions for $150 a year, and $15 a month”
Delta7 charges $150 a month. I don’t know how much he pays to post his lies here.
There would be a different quantity of alcohol in the two, and the statistic was on alcohol intake, not beer or vodka intake.
This is not even me in this. People have noted men die early all over eastern europe/western asia and they do it without any huge alcohol differential.
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