Posted on 10/24/2024 5:44:38 AM PDT by oldskoolwargamer2
Trump leading by three nationally, has led nationally in last four polls in RCP average. I am cautiously optimistic.
If this holds may be over on election day...
Vote! Vote! Vote!
Defeated?
Sounds like the young Turks are blaming Biden for not dropping out sooner
And the media for covering up him being senile
They bash the Morning joe show
Biden’s Latest Gaffe Is A MAJOR Headache For Harris Campaign
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=_lBInr4gI_4
Good. I gave money to Trump and to Dave McCormick (Senate) in PA. I’ll make a few more donations. Maybe Cruz (TX) and Rogers (MI)?
The Young Turks knew it, too. Anyone who watched Biden speak for just a few seconds over the last two years knew it.
We should encourage everyone to do early voting. Lock in the votes now.
May it be a trouncing, and a thorough one.
Ok, I’m repeating my self. I’ll just use the ‘official’ numbers, because even ignoring the margin of cheat, the numbers look bad for Dems.
2016 - Hillary ended +2% of the popular vote, she lost the election.
2020 - Biden ended +4.5% of the popular vote, he won by very narrow margins.
2024 - If Trump wins by +3% of the popular vote, he probably takes Minn. and VA in addition to all the swing states. In any case Trump just being even in the popular vote would be bad news for Harris.
I want to be optimistic, but I trust no polls
And the WSJ polling has been consistently over sampling Dems. All these polls showing Kamala ahead, or a tight race are now truing their polls to save face after the election. These polls have been nothing but push poll garbage to prop up the Deep State.
Go out and vote. We must beat the cheat.
I think it is clear now that Biden’s decision to run again was a massive unforced error for the Dems. Kamala still might have won an open primary but I guess it would have been a more moderate governor (Shapiro? Whitmer?) that would have at least given them a puncher’s chance.
VOTE! This needs to be too big to rig. Especially if you are in a swing state.
No doubt.
To paraphrase one of my mentors:
All polls are wrong. Some are useful.
This was originally said in reference to chemical process models but the concept holds true for public opinion polling as well.
To be honest I was skeptical as well but to see four straight different polls in the RCP average give similar results has me feeling pretty good about this election now.
The Young Turks knew it, too.
—
Yes they did and to their credit they starting talking about it in 2020 cycle
A popular vote tie suggests a comfortable EV win for DJT. With him winning by 3 points says 1984 (2.0).
I wish there was a way to donate to Kari Lake, Bernie Moreno, Dave McCormick, Sam Brown and even Ted Cruz ... all at once, and NOT via WinRed.
Anyone know of a way?
When you go to their direct campaign sites ... donations take you to WinRed.
That may be the only way.
And, I no longer trust Senate Conservatives Fund. :-(
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